Pre-tourney Rankings
Wagner
Northeast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#109
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#83
Pace72.2#69
Improvement-5.3#331

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#142
Improvement-2.9#302

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#84
Improvement-2.4#286
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 99   @ Princeton W 73-57 34%     1 - 0 +24.3 +2.2 +21.6
  Nov 14, 2011 36   @ Connecticut L 66-78 18%     1 - 1 +1.8 -1.6 +3.7
  Nov 16, 2011 222   NC Central W 87-83 84%     2 - 1 -2.7 +7.0 -10.0
  Nov 19, 2011 239   @ Lafayette W 76-70 69%     3 - 1 +4.9 +0.2 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2011 141   @ Penn W 71-65 45%     4 - 1 +11.5 +0.2 +11.3
  Nov 26, 2011 242   Delaware St. W 85-62 87%     5 - 1 +15.0 +3.8 +10.4
  Dec 01, 2011 162   @ LIU Brooklyn L 73-78 51%     5 - 2 0 - 1 -1.2 -9.2 +8.5
  Dec 03, 2011 227   St. Francis Brooklyn W 90-50 85%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +33.2 +8.6 +21.2
  Dec 06, 2011 218   Hofstra W 58-43 84%     7 - 2 +8.5 -17.6 +25.9
  Dec 10, 2011 81   Lehigh L 69-70 56%     7 - 3 +1.7 -4.8 +6.5
  Dec 23, 2011 68   @ Pittsburgh W 59-54 27%     8 - 3 +15.5 -2.3 +18.6
  Dec 29, 2011 173   Air Force W 72-61 67%     9 - 3 +10.6 +18.5 -5.0
  Dec 30, 2011 289   @ Santa Clara W 64-62 78%     10 - 3 -2.2 -8.3 +6.3
  Jan 05, 2012 337   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 88-64 93%     11 - 3 2 - 1 +11.9 +3.8 +5.8
  Jan 07, 2012 291   @ Monmouth W 89-79 79%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +5.7 +10.4 -5.2
  Jan 12, 2012 339   Bryant W 78-61 97%     13 - 3 4 - 1 -2.2 -3.5 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2012 229   Central Connecticut St. W 67-58 85%     14 - 3 5 - 1 +1.9 -5.8 +8.0
  Jan 19, 2012 227   @ St. Francis Brooklyn W 73-61 66%     15 - 3 6 - 1 +12.0 +2.4 +9.6
  Jan 21, 2012 162   LIU Brooklyn L 66-73 75%     15 - 4 6 - 2 -10.0 -13.8 +4.1
  Jan 26, 2012 246   @ Sacred Heart W 73-54 70%     16 - 4 7 - 2 +17.5 -0.3 +18.4
  Jan 28, 2012 160   @ Quinnipiac W 51-50 51%     17 - 4 8 - 2 +4.9 -6.9 +12.1
  Feb 02, 2012 148   Robert Morris W 80-69 72%     18 - 4 9 - 2 +9.0 +3.6 +5.1
  Feb 04, 2012 312   St. Francis (PA) W 72-54 95%     19 - 4 10 - 2 +3.6 -11.9 +14.5
  Feb 08, 2012 298   @ Mount St. Mary's W 59-44 81%     20 - 4 11 - 2 +9.8 -10.9 +21.7
  Feb 11, 2012 298   Mount St. Mary's W 74-57 93%     21 - 4 12 - 2 +5.0 +5.2 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2012 291   Monmouth W 74-67 91%     22 - 4 13 - 2 -4.1 -3.6 -0.5
  Feb 18, 2012 337   Fairleigh Dickinson W 90-70 97%     23 - 4 14 - 2 +1.1 -0.5 -0.9
  Feb 23, 2012 339   @ Bryant W 86-73 93%     24 - 4 15 - 2 +0.6 +2.9 -2.8
  Feb 25, 2012 229   @ Central Connecticut St. L 61-78 67%     24 - 5 15 - 3 -17.3 -16.5 +0.7
  Mar 01, 2012 229   Central Connecticut St. W 87-77 85%     25 - 5 +2.9 +4.8 -2.7
  Mar 04, 2012 148   Robert Morris L 64-71 72%     25 - 6 -9.0 -9.1 -0.1
Projected Record 25.0 - 6.0 15.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%