Pre-tourney Rankings
Lafayette
Patriot League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#239
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#237
Pace68.4#141
Improvement-0.3#185

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#119
Improvement-2.1#268

Defense
Total Defense-6.6#327
Improvement+1.7#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 53   @ La Salle L 53-79 7%     0 - 1 -14.4 -10.8 -4.7
  Nov 14, 2011 312   @ St. Francis (PA) W 84-81 62%     1 - 1 -4.6 +14.5 -18.9
  Nov 16, 2011 227   St. Francis Brooklyn W 79-73 59%     2 - 1 -0.8 +5.2 -6.0
  Nov 19, 2011 109   Wagner L 70-76 31%     2 - 2 -5.3 +0.2 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2011 337   Fairleigh Dickinson W 85-74 90%     3 - 2 -7.9 -1.2 -7.6
  Nov 26, 2011 166   @ Delaware L 78-81 22%     3 - 3 +0.5 +7.0 -6.6
  Nov 30, 2011 99   @ Princeton L 54-69 12%     3 - 4 -6.7 -5.3 -4.0
  Dec 05, 2011 162   LIU Brooklyn L 80-82 44%     3 - 5 -5.0 -9.1 +4.4
  Dec 07, 2011 128   @ Penn St. W 61-57 16%     4 - 5 +10.0 -2.0 +12.3
  Dec 11, 2011 246   @ Sacred Heart L 79-84 38%     4 - 6 -6.5 -3.5 -2.6
  Dec 21, 2011 13   @ Vanderbilt L 58-89 3%     4 - 7 -13.6 -8.0 -5.4
  Dec 28, 2011 291   Monmouth W 69-54 74%     5 - 7 +3.9 -9.8 +13.5
  Dec 30, 2011 192   @ Columbia L 67-77 27%     5 - 8 -8.2 +1.9 -11.2
  Jan 02, 2012 302   @ NJIT L 58-78 54%     5 - 9 -25.7 -17.6 -8.3
  Jan 04, 2012 141   Penn L 73-78 38%     5 - 10 -6.3 +1.6 -8.0
  Jan 07, 2012 323   @ Navy W 65-63 67%     6 - 10 1 - 0 -7.0 +1.1 -7.7
  Jan 11, 2012 301   Army W 75-63 77%     7 - 10 2 - 0 -0.4 -7.6 +6.3
  Jan 14, 2012 106   Bucknell L 65-79 30%     7 - 11 2 - 1 -13.0 +1.4 -16.4
  Jan 19, 2012 228   @ Holy Cross W 54-43 34%     8 - 11 3 - 1 +10.7 -12.8 +24.4
  Jan 22, 2012 81   Lehigh L 76-90 25%     8 - 12 3 - 2 -11.3 +7.4 -19.4
  Jan 25, 2012 321   @ Colgate W 82-76 66%     9 - 12 4 - 2 -2.9 +8.4 -10.8
  Jan 28, 2012 174   American L 61-69 47%     9 - 13 4 - 3 -11.9 -6.1 -6.6
  Feb 04, 2012 323   Navy W 62-41 85%     10 - 13 5 - 3 +5.2 -7.7 +16.1
  Feb 08, 2012 301   @ Army W 90-74 54%     11 - 13 6 - 3 +10.4 +9.0 +0.1
  Feb 11, 2012 106   @ Bucknell L 78-90 13%     11 - 14 6 - 4 -4.2 +10.0 -14.4
  Feb 15, 2012 228   Holy Cross L 63-70 60%     11 - 15 6 - 5 -14.1 -9.9 -4.4
  Feb 18, 2012 81   @ Lehigh L 53-72 10%     11 - 16 6 - 6 -9.5 -14.5 +4.4
  Feb 22, 2012 321   Colgate W 84-67 85%     12 - 16 7 - 6 +1.3 +9.5 -6.5
  Feb 25, 2012 174   @ American L 69-76 24%     12 - 17 7 - 7 -4.1 -0.8 -3.3
  Feb 29, 2012 228   @ Holy Cross W 84-76 34%     13 - 17 +7.7 +13.1 -5.4
  Mar 03, 2012 106   @ Bucknell L 52-79 13%     13 - 18 -19.2 -17.0 -2.5
Projected Record 13.0 - 18.0 7.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 100.0
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%