Pre-tourney Rankings
Bucknell
Patriot League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#106
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#101
Pace62.4#281
Improvement+1.8#91

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#97
Improvement-1.1#225

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#129
Improvement+2.9#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 56   @ Minnesota L 58-70 25%     0 - 1 -0.5 -6.0 +4.9
  Nov 15, 2011 13   @ Vanderbilt L 68-80 12%     0 - 2 +5.4 +5.5 -0.7
  Nov 19, 2011 312   St. Francis (PA) W 73-42 95%     1 - 2 +16.6 -4.4 +22.1
  Nov 22, 2011 258   @ Marist W 74-68 74%     2 - 2 +3.7 +6.7 -2.5
  Nov 25, 2011 99   Princeton W 62-56 61%     3 - 2 +7.5 -1.4 +9.7
  Nov 27, 2011 203   Morehead St. W 54-50 82%     4 - 2 -1.4 -7.8 +7.4
  Nov 30, 2011 112   @ George Mason L 57-61 38%     4 - 3 +3.4 -4.1 +7.1
  Dec 03, 2011 53   @ La Salle L 52-78 24%     4 - 4 -14.4 -12.4 -2.8
  Dec 06, 2011 341   @ Binghamton W 77-63 94%     5 - 4 +0.4 +0.6 +0.0
  Dec 17, 2011 111   Richmond W 79-65 64%     6 - 4 +14.7 +10.1 +5.6
  Dec 20, 2011 7   @ Syracuse L 61-80 7%     6 - 5 +1.6 +2.5 -2.1
  Dec 22, 2011 191   @ Boston University W 75-61 60%     7 - 5 +15.8 +16.0 +1.9
  Dec 28, 2011 135   Loyola Maryland L 67-72 70%     7 - 6 -6.1 +0.4 -6.9
  Dec 31, 2011 204   Cornell W 63-60 82%     8 - 6 -2.4 -4.8 +2.6
  Jan 03, 2012 294   @ Dartmouth W 67-59 81%     9 - 6 +3.1 +6.5 -2.0
  Jan 07, 2012 301   @ Army W 75-59 83%     10 - 6 1 - 0 +10.4 +7.7 +4.1
  Jan 11, 2012 321   Colgate W 70-57 96%     11 - 6 2 - 0 -2.7 -6.2 +4.8
  Jan 14, 2012 239   @ Lafayette W 79-65 70%     12 - 6 3 - 0 +12.9 +12.8 +2.1
  Jan 18, 2012 81   @ Lehigh W 68-61 31%     13 - 6 4 - 0 +16.5 +4.4 +12.6
  Jan 21, 2012 228   Holy Cross W 75-41 86%     14 - 6 5 - 0 +26.9 -3.1 +28.5
  Jan 25, 2012 174   American W 67-61 78%     15 - 6 6 - 0 +2.1 +1.0 +1.8
  Jan 28, 2012 323   @ Navy W 66-51 89%     16 - 6 7 - 0 +6.0 +0.6 +7.8
  Feb 04, 2012 301   Army W 81-68 93%     17 - 6 8 - 0 +0.6 +8.7 -7.3
  Feb 08, 2012 321   @ Colgate W 66-50 89%     18 - 6 9 - 0 +7.1 -12.7 +20.1
  Feb 11, 2012 239   Lafayette W 90-78 87%     19 - 6 10 - 0 +4.1 +10.8 -6.5
  Feb 16, 2012 81   Lehigh L 53-56 57%     19 - 7 10 - 1 -0.3 -12.1 +11.3
  Feb 18, 2012 228   @ Holy Cross L 52-54 68%     19 - 8 10 - 2 -2.3 -10.4 +7.8
  Feb 23, 2012 174   @ American W 55-50 56%     20 - 8 11 - 2 +7.9 -4.7 +13.6
  Feb 25, 2012 323   Navy W 64-55 96%     21 - 8 12 - 2 -6.8 -8.7 +2.8
  Feb 29, 2012 323   Navy W 87-63 96%     22 - 8 +8.2 +18.6 -7.4
  Mar 03, 2012 239   Lafayette W 79-52 87%     23 - 8 +19.1 -1.1 +20.5
  Mar 07, 2012 81   Lehigh L 77-82 57%     23 - 9 -2.3 +0.8 -2.9
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2 100.0% 100.0
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%