Pre-tourney Rankings
American
Patriot League
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#174
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#156
Pace60.9#304
Improvement+2.2#82

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#210
Improvement-0.7#200

Defense
Total Defense+0.7#145
Improvement+2.9#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 111   @ Richmond L 56-66 23%     0 - 1 -2.5 -8.2 +4.4
  Nov 14, 2011 327   @ Maryland Eastern Shore L 62-64 OT 80%     0 - 2 -11.4 -11.2 -0.1
  Nov 16, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 62-56 70%     1 - 2 +0.2 -13.0 +13.3
  Nov 19, 2011 192   @ Columbia W 66-58 41%     2 - 2 +9.8 +1.5 +9.2
  Nov 22, 2011 160   Quinnipiac W 74-73 59%     3 - 2 -1.9 -3.5 +1.5
  Nov 27, 2011 204   @ Cornell W 65-63 43%     4 - 2 +3.4 -4.2 +7.6
  Nov 29, 2011 311   Howard W 77-66 90%     5 - 2 -3.4 -0.6 -2.9
  Dec 01, 2011 340   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-58 95%     6 - 2 -8.9 -11.4 +2.8
  Dec 04, 2011 62   Saint Joseph's W 66-60 33%     7 - 2 +10.1 +2.7 +8.3
  Dec 07, 2011 288   Hampton W 74-72 84%     8 - 2 -8.9 -1.9 -7.1
  Dec 10, 2011 312   @ St. Francis (PA) L 61-66 75%     8 - 3 -12.6 -8.6 -4.6
  Dec 17, 2011 17   @ Georgetown L 55-81 6%     8 - 4 -9.0 -5.1 -5.2
  Dec 22, 2011 83   @ Villanova L 52-73 18%     8 - 5 -11.7 -9.6 -5.1
  Dec 29, 2011 298   @ Mount St. Mary's L 42-49 68%     8 - 6 -12.2 -17.3 +2.8
  Jan 02, 2012 308   @ Brown W 70-61 72%     9 - 6 +2.4 +2.3 +1.2
  Jan 07, 2012 321   Colgate W 82-54 92%     10 - 6 1 - 0 +12.3 +7.5 +7.8
  Jan 11, 2012 81   @ Lehigh L 60-71 17%     10 - 7 1 - 1 -1.5 -8.2 +6.5
  Jan 14, 2012 228   Holy Cross W 67-54 74%     11 - 7 2 - 1 +5.9 +1.3 +6.4
  Jan 18, 2012 323   @ Navy W 67-60 79%     12 - 7 3 - 1 -2.0 +1.7 -2.6
  Jan 21, 2012 301   Army W 67-55 87%     13 - 7 4 - 1 -0.4 -0.2 +1.6
  Jan 25, 2012 106   @ Bucknell L 61-67 22%     13 - 8 4 - 2 +1.8 -1.6 +2.7
  Jan 28, 2012 239   @ Lafayette W 69-61 53%     14 - 8 5 - 2 +6.9 -1.1 +8.9
  Feb 04, 2012 321   @ Colgate W 59-58 79%     15 - 8 6 - 2 -7.9 -5.4 -2.3
  Feb 09, 2012 81   Lehigh W 71-62 38%     16 - 8 7 - 2 +11.7 +1.0 +11.0
  Feb 11, 2012 228   @ Holy Cross L 52-59 49%     16 - 9 7 - 3 -7.3 -14.0 +5.9
  Feb 15, 2012 323   Navy W 69-47 92%     17 - 9 8 - 3 +6.2 +10.9 +2.0
  Feb 18, 2012 301   @ Army W 74-50 69%     18 - 9 9 - 3 +18.4 +4.8 +15.0
  Feb 23, 2012 106   Bucknell L 50-55 44%     18 - 10 9 - 4 -4.0 -13.3 +8.4
  Feb 25, 2012 239   Lafayette W 76-69 76%     19 - 10 10 - 4 -0.9 -4.4 +3.6
  Feb 29, 2012 301   Army W 57-40 87%     20 - 10 +4.6 -15.4 +21.4
  Mar 03, 2012 81   @ Lehigh L 66-85 17%     20 - 11 -9.5 -5.4 -3.4
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.0%
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 100.0
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%