Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#83
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#117
Pace73.5#48
Improvement-1.2#224

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#70
Improvement-1.9#264

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#118
Improvement+0.7#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 291   Monmouth W 106-70 93%     1 - 0 +24.9 +10.7 +8.4
  Nov 15, 2011 53   La Salle W 76-69 OT 54%     2 - 0 +11.8 -2.1 +13.1
  Nov 18, 2011 166   Delaware W 79-69 81%     3 - 0 +6.7 +5.4 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2011 268   UC Riverside W 71-46 87%     4 - 0 +18.8 +13.3 +10.0
  Nov 25, 2011 20   Saint Louis L 68-80 25%     4 - 1 +1.1 +6.8 -6.4
  Nov 27, 2011 289   Santa Clara L 64-65 89%     4 - 2 -8.6 -12.4 +3.8
  Dec 03, 2011 141   Penn W 73-65 76%     5 - 2 +6.7 +2.4 +4.6
  Dec 06, 2011 6   Missouri L 71-81 13%     5 - 3 +8.3 +1.2 +7.1
  Dec 10, 2011 35   @ Temple L 67-78 22%     5 - 4 +3.0 -3.4 +6.7
  Dec 13, 2011 191   Boston University W 68-43 85%     6 - 4 +20.0 -6.0 +25.9
  Dec 17, 2011 62   @ Saint Joseph's L 58-74 31%     6 - 5 -5.0 -8.6 +2.8
  Dec 22, 2011 174   American W 73-52 82%     7 - 5 +17.1 +9.8 +10.4
  Dec 28, 2011 37   @ West Virginia L 69-83 23%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -0.2 +3.7 -4.3
  Jan 01, 2012 18   @ Marquette L 77-81 15%     7 - 7 0 - 2 +13.0 +7.5 +5.7
  Jan 05, 2012 55   South Florida L 57-74 55%     7 - 8 0 - 3 -12.3 -1.9 -12.6
  Jan 08, 2012 156   DePaul W 87-71 79%     8 - 8 1 - 3 +13.6 -5.1 +15.9
  Jan 11, 2012 7   Syracuse L 66-79 23%     8 - 9 1 - 4 +0.8 -4.3 +5.9
  Jan 14, 2012 33   @ Cincinnati L 78-82 22%     8 - 10 1 - 5 +10.1 +8.3 +2.1
  Jan 18, 2012 44   Seton Hall W 84-76 52%     9 - 10 2 - 5 +13.4 +9.7 +3.2
  Jan 21, 2012 146   @ St. John's W 79-76 OT 54%     10 - 10 3 - 5 +7.9 -7.4 +14.7
  Jan 25, 2012 19   @ Louisville L 74-84 16%     10 - 11 3 - 6 +6.5 +11.1 -4.2
  Jan 28, 2012 18   Marquette L 78-82 34%     10 - 12 3 - 7 +6.2 -2.0 +8.8
  Feb 05, 2012 68   @ Pittsburgh L 70-79 33%     10 - 13 3 - 8 +1.5 -1.3 +3.0
  Feb 07, 2012 121   Providence W 74-72 72%     11 - 13 4 - 8 +1.8 -1.3 +3.1
  Feb 15, 2012 55   @ South Florida L 51-65 30%     11 - 14 4 - 9 -2.5 -6.4 +2.4
  Feb 18, 2012 40   Notre Dame L 70-74 OT 48%     11 - 15 4 - 10 +2.5 -0.2 +2.7
  Feb 20, 2012 36   Connecticut L 70-73 OT 46%     11 - 16 4 - 11 +4.0 -2.3 +6.4
  Feb 25, 2012 17   @ Georgetown L 46-67 15%     11 - 17 4 - 12 -4.0 -13.7 +8.2
  Mar 01, 2012 117   @ Rutgers W 77-71 46%     12 - 17 5 - 12 +12.9 +8.3 +4.5
  Mar 03, 2012 33   Cincinnati L 68-72 45%     12 - 18 5 - 13 +3.3 +10.0 -7.3
  Mar 06, 2012 117   Rutgers W 70-49 59%     13 - 18 +24.5 +6.2 +19.8
  Mar 07, 2012 55   South Florida L 47-56 42%     13 - 19 -0.9 -10.3 +8.0
Projected Record 13.0 - 19.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 100.0 100.0 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%