Pre-tourney Rankings
Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#200
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#173
Pace64.9#237
Improvement-0.1#172

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#229
Improvement+0.6#137

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#174
Improvement-0.7#200
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 191   @ Boston University W 82-74 OT 36%     1 - 0 +9.8 +4.7 +4.4
  Nov 14, 2011 78   @ Massachusetts L 67-83 14%     1 - 1 -6.2 -6.1 +1.5
  Nov 19, 2011 217   Southern Illinois W 64-57 67%     2 - 1 +0.6 -4.8 +6.1
  Nov 26, 2011 146   @ St. John's W 78-64 26%     3 - 1 +18.9 +8.8 +10.3
  Nov 30, 2011 53   @ La Salle L 51-68 11%     3 - 2 -5.4 -17.2 +12.6
  Dec 03, 2011 107   Old Dominion L 59-69 40%     3 - 3 0 - 1 -9.2 -9.1 -0.2
  Dec 06, 2011 256   @ Bradley L 68-79 51%     3 - 4 -13.2 -13.7 +2.1
  Dec 18, 2011 99   Princeton L 62-71 37%     3 - 5 -7.5 -8.2 +0.5
  Dec 20, 2011 185   @ Louisiana Tech L 53-56 35%     3 - 6 -0.9 -19.5 +18.7
  Dec 22, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. L 59-88 10%     3 - 7 -16.6 -7.5 -10.0
  Dec 30, 2011 139   @ Vermont W 53-51 24%     4 - 7 +7.6 -3.9 +12.0
  Jan 02, 2012 331   @ Towson W 57-48 80%     5 - 7 1 - 1 -1.9 -3.4 +4.0
  Jan 04, 2012 236   UNC Wilmington L 62-70 72%     5 - 8 1 - 2 -15.8 -10.7 -5.8
  Jan 07, 2012 249   @ James Madison W 68-56 49%     6 - 8 2 - 2 +10.3 +0.2 +11.3
  Jan 11, 2012 218   @ Hofstra W 64-62 41%     7 - 8 3 - 2 +2.3 +0.1 +2.5
  Jan 14, 2012 290   William & Mary W 64-50 81%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +2.9 -6.0 +11.0
  Jan 18, 2012 98   Georgia St. W 60-57 37%     9 - 8 5 - 2 +4.6 -0.6 +5.6
  Jan 21, 2012 63   @ Drexel L 53-71 12%     9 - 9 5 - 3 -7.1 -6.9 -2.4
  Jan 23, 2012 107   @ Old Dominion L 57-69 19%     9 - 10 5 - 4 -4.4 -7.6 +3.0
  Jan 25, 2012 166   Delaware W 62-61 56%     10 - 10 6 - 4 -2.3 -7.0 +4.7
  Jan 28, 2012 218   Hofstra W 58-51 67%     11 - 10 7 - 4 +0.5 -7.6 +9.3
  Feb 01, 2012 63   Drexel L 53-61 28%     11 - 11 7 - 5 -3.9 -6.6 +1.2
  Feb 04, 2012 52   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 56-59 11%     11 - 12 7 - 6 +8.7 +0.3 +7.8
  Feb 08, 2012 98   @ Georgia St. L 59-61 17%     11 - 13 7 - 7 +6.4 +2.3 +3.8
  Feb 11, 2012 290   @ William & Mary L 54-79 59%     11 - 14 7 - 8 -29.3 -19.8 -10.5
  Feb 14, 2012 331   Towson W 70-51 92%     12 - 14 8 - 8 +1.3 -3.1 +6.1
  Feb 18, 2012 158   Stony Brook L 69-76 53%     12 - 15 -9.7 +3.0 -13.5
  Feb 22, 2012 112   George Mason W 85-82 OT 40%     13 - 15 9 - 8 +3.6 +5.2 -1.9
  Feb 25, 2012 166   @ Delaware L 72-82 30%     13 - 16 9 - 9 -6.5 -1.6 -4.6
  Mar 02, 2012 290   William & Mary W 57-49 71%     14 - 16 +0.3 -12.6 +14.1
  Mar 03, 2012 52   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-75 17%     14 - 17 -1.7 -3.6 +2.0
Projected Record 14.0 - 17.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%