Pre-tourney Rankings
Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#78
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#70
Pace86.1#3
Improvement+1.1#125

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#118
Improvement+1.4#91

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#57
Improvement-0.3#177
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.3% n/a n/a
First Round2.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 261   Elon W 85-67 92%     1 - 0 +8.6 -7.0 +12.6
  Nov 14, 2011 200   Northeastern W 83-67 86%     2 - 0 +10.7 +0.5 +8.7
  Nov 17, 2011 302   NJIT W 79-58 95%     3 - 0 +8.5 -3.9 +11.6
  Nov 21, 2011 252   @ Boston College W 82-46 79%     4 - 0 +34.0 +10.1 +23.9
  Nov 24, 2011 22   Florida St. L 53-73 27%     4 - 1 -7.3 -20.4 +16.6
  Nov 25, 2011 296   Utah W 89-75 91%     5 - 1 +5.6 +13.9 -8.2
  Nov 26, 2011 168   College of Charleston L 61-85 74%     5 - 2 -24.1 -11.7 -12.1
  Nov 30, 2011 331   Towson W 86-56 98%     6 - 2 +12.3 -5.0 +13.3
  Dec 03, 2011 41   @ Miami (FL) L 75-83 27%     6 - 3 +4.8 -1.3 +7.0
  Dec 06, 2011 138   @ East Carolina W 63-58 53%     7 - 3 +10.7 -12.6 +22.9
  Dec 09, 2011 233   Siena W 82-78 83%     8 - 3 +0.1 +4.6 -4.7
  Dec 17, 2011 160   Quinnipiac W 72-67 81%     9 - 3 +2.1 -5.5 +7.4
  Dec 22, 2011 74   Davidson W 73-65 62%     10 - 3 +11.3 -3.1 +14.1
  Dec 30, 2011 229   Central Connecticut St. W 97-65 89%     11 - 3 +24.9 +3.9 +15.1
  Jan 05, 2012 265   Fordham W 80-76 92%     12 - 3 1 - 0 -5.4 -4.0 -1.9
  Jan 08, 2012 53   @ La Salle L 75-82 31%     12 - 4 1 - 1 +4.6 -5.3 +11.3
  Jan 11, 2012 151   Charlotte W 85-75 79%     13 - 4 2 - 1 +7.9 +8.4 -1.1
  Jan 14, 2012 62   Saint Joseph's W 71-62 59%     14 - 4 3 - 1 +13.1 +3.0 +10.7
  Jan 18, 2012 114   @ Duquesne L 69-80 47%     14 - 5 3 - 2 -3.9 -11.7 +9.5
  Jan 21, 2012 111   @ Richmond W 79-68 46%     15 - 5 4 - 2 +18.5 +9.4 +9.3
  Jan 28, 2012 20   Saint Louis W 72-59 37%     16 - 5 5 - 2 +22.7 +0.1 +21.7
  Feb 01, 2012 215   @ Rhode Island L 78-81 OT 71%     16 - 6 5 - 3 -2.4 -12.1 +10.3
  Feb 04, 2012 167   @ George Washington W 86-75 62%     17 - 6 6 - 3 +14.3 +10.4 +3.2
  Feb 08, 2012 57   St. Bonaventure W 76-67 57%     18 - 6 7 - 3 +13.7 +0.6 +12.6
  Feb 11, 2012 62   @ Saint Joseph's L 62-73 33%     18 - 7 7 - 4 +0.0 -9.4 +9.8
  Feb 18, 2012 53   La Salle L 71-72 56%     18 - 8 7 - 5 +3.8 -4.0 +7.9
  Feb 21, 2012 61   Xavier W 80-73 58%     19 - 8 8 - 5 +11.3 +2.0 +8.6
  Feb 25, 2012 65   @ Dayton L 43-76 33%     19 - 9 8 - 6 -22.2 -25.7 +2.1
  Feb 29, 2012 35   @ Temple L 88-90 OT 23%     19 - 10 8 - 7 +12.0 -0.4 +12.9
  Mar 03, 2012 215   Rhode Island W 89-83 88%     20 - 10 9 - 7 -0.2 +0.8 -1.7
  Mar 06, 2012 114   Duquesne W 92-83 72%     21 - 10 +9.3 +8.6 -0.2
  Mar 09, 2012 35   Temple W 77-71 34%     22 - 10 +16.6 +3.7 +12.7
  Mar 10, 2012 57   St. Bonaventure L 80-84 44%     22 - 11 +4.1 +10.6 -6.6
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 5.5% 5.5% 12.5 0.2 2.7 2.4 0.2 94.5 5.5%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 5.5% 0.0% 5.5% 12.5 0.2 2.7 2.4 0.2 94.5 5.5%