Pre-tourney Rankings
Xavier
Atlantic 10
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#61
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#51
Pace71.6#76
Improvement-2.6#264

Offense
Total Offense+3.2#92
Improvement+0.8#128

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#53
Improvement-3.3#312
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 84.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 84.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.0% n/a n/a
First Round82.5% n/a n/a
Second Round30.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.9% n/a n/a
Final Four0.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 266   Morgan St. W 74-63 94%     1 - 0 +1.4 -9.4 +10.0
  Nov 15, 2011 269   Purdue Fort Wayne W 86-63 94%     2 - 0 +13.4 +0.6 +10.7
  Nov 18, 2011 189   Miami (OH) W 66-60 88%     3 - 0 +1.1 -8.9 +10.1
  Nov 25, 2011 105   Georgia W 70-56 74%     4 - 0 +15.1 +1.3 +14.3
  Nov 28, 2011 13   @ Vanderbilt W 82-70 OT 18%     5 - 0 +29.4 +6.2 +21.7
  Dec 03, 2011 30   Purdue W 66-63 50%     6 - 0 +10.6 -4.6 +15.3
  Dec 07, 2011 129   @ Butler W 73-61 57%     7 - 0 +18.0 +2.8 +14.5
  Dec 10, 2011 33   Cincinnati W 76-53 51%     8 - 0 +30.3 +9.2 +21.6
  Dec 18, 2011 87   Oral Roberts L 42-64 70%     8 - 1 -19.7 -29.4 +7.8
  Dec 22, 2011 39   Long Beach St. L 58-68 41%     8 - 2 +0.0 -5.8 +5.0
  Dec 24, 2011 210   Hawaii L 82-84 OT 83%     8 - 3 -4.4 -6.2 +2.1
  Dec 25, 2011 217   Southern Illinois W 87-77 84%     9 - 3 +7.0 +6.1 +0.1
  Dec 31, 2011 29   Gonzaga L 65-72 50%     9 - 4 +0.7 -6.5 +7.5
  Jan 04, 2012 53   @ La Salle L 70-80 35%     9 - 5 0 - 1 +1.6 -2.5 +5.0
  Jan 07, 2012 265   @ Fordham W 67-59 83%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +5.4 -0.8 +6.7
  Jan 11, 2012 114   Duquesne W 78-50 76%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +28.3 +19.5 +14.4
  Jan 14, 2012 57   St. Bonaventure W 77-64 62%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +17.7 +4.0 +13.4
  Jan 18, 2012 62   Saint Joseph's W 68-55 64%     13 - 5 4 - 1 +17.1 +0.1 +17.9
  Jan 21, 2012 65   @ Dayton L 72-87 38%     13 - 6 4 - 2 -4.2 +1.7 -5.9
  Jan 25, 2012 20   Saint Louis L 68-73 42%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +4.7 +2.0 +2.6
  Jan 28, 2012 151   @ Charlotte W 74-70 62%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +8.7 +8.9 -0.1
  Feb 01, 2012 167   @ George Washington W 59-58 67%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +4.3 -7.1 +11.5
  Feb 04, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 68-72 16%     15 - 8 +14.5 +4.3 +10.1
  Feb 08, 2012 215   Rhode Island W 84-66 90%     16 - 8 7 - 3 +11.8 -4.4 +13.9
  Feb 11, 2012 35   @ Temple L 72-85 27%     16 - 9 7 - 4 +1.0 +2.8 -1.6
  Feb 18, 2012 65   Dayton W 86-83 OT 64%     17 - 9 8 - 4 +7.0 +0.5 +6.1
  Feb 21, 2012 78   @ Massachusetts L 73-80 42%     17 - 10 8 - 5 +2.8 -1.1 +4.6
  Feb 25, 2012 111   Richmond W 65-57 75%     18 - 10 9 - 5 +8.7 -2.3 +11.9
  Feb 28, 2012 20   @ Saint Louis L 59-70 20%     18 - 11 9 - 6 +5.5 -1.2 +6.1
  Mar 03, 2012 151   Charlotte W 72-63 82%     19 - 11 10 - 6 +6.9 +2.9 +4.3
  Mar 09, 2012 65   Dayton W 70-69 51%     20 - 11 +8.4 +2.5 +6.0
  Mar 10, 2012 20   Saint Louis W 71-64 30%     21 - 11 +20.1 +13.0 +7.8
  Mar 11, 2012 57   St. Bonaventure L 56-67 49%     21 - 12 -2.9 -9.2 +5.3
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 84.5% 84.5% 10.3 0.0 1.1 11.9 38.5 28.8 4.0 0.0 15.6 84.5%
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 84.5% 0.0% 84.5% 10.3 0.0 1.1 11.9 38.5 28.8 4.0 0.0 15.6 84.5%