Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Horizon
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#129
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#128
Pace65.2#232
Improvement+2.4#79

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#245
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#34
Improvement+2.1#78
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 113   @ Evansville L 77-80 OT 33%     0 - 1 +4.2 -5.6 +10.3
  Nov 15, 2011 274   Chattanooga W 57-46 87%     1 - 1 +1.2 -13.9 +16.4
  Nov 19, 2011 19   Louisville L 53-69 25%     1 - 2 -6.3 -6.1 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2011 187   Savannah St. W 57-42 76%     2 - 2 +10.3 -6.1 +18.3
  Nov 23, 2011 273   Gardner-Webb W 68-66 87%     3 - 2 -7.8 +1.8 -9.3
  Nov 27, 2011 8   @ Indiana L 59-75 7%     3 - 3 +2.7 -8.7 +11.5
  Dec 03, 2011 144   Valparaiso L 71-77 OT 66%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -7.8 -9.4 +2.1
  Dec 07, 2011 61   Xavier L 61-73 43%     3 - 5 -7.7 -12.6 +5.6
  Dec 10, 2011 201   @ Ball St. L 55-58 54%     3 - 6 -1.5 -15.0 +13.4
  Dec 17, 2011 30   Purdue W 67-65 21%     4 - 6 +13.0 -0.5 +13.6
  Dec 20, 2011 29   @ Gonzaga L 55-71 13%     4 - 7 -1.5 -4.2 +0.7
  Dec 22, 2011 64   @ Stanford W 71-66 22%     5 - 7 +15.8 +8.3 +7.7
  Dec 29, 2011 176   Green Bay W 53-49 74%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +0.0 -18.1 +18.3
  Dec 31, 2011 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 54-50 68%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +1.7 -11.7 +13.9
  Jan 06, 2012 214   @ Wright St. W 63-62 58%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +1.6 -4.9 +6.6
  Jan 08, 2012 119   @ Detroit Mercy L 65-76 34%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -4.2 +0.4 -5.8
  Jan 13, 2012 88   Cleveland St. L 69-76 52%     8 - 9 3 - 3 -4.9 +1.1 -6.3
  Jan 15, 2012 169   Youngstown St. W 71-55 72%     9 - 9 4 - 3 +12.4 +1.4 +12.6
  Jan 19, 2012 280   @ Illinois-Chicago W 57-49 72%     10 - 9 5 - 3 +4.5 -11.9 +17.2
  Jan 21, 2012 275   @ Loyola Chicago W 63-57 71%     11 - 9 6 - 3 +2.8 -5.2 +8.5
  Jan 26, 2012 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 42-53 42%     11 - 10 6 - 4 -6.5 -24.2 +17.1
  Jan 28, 2012 176   @ Green Bay L 68-80 49%     11 - 11 6 - 5 -9.2 -3.0 -6.2
  Feb 02, 2012 214   Wright St. W 64-53 80%     12 - 11 7 - 5 +4.8 +3.5 +3.3
  Feb 04, 2012 119   Detroit Mercy L 61-65 60%     12 - 12 7 - 6 -4.0 -14.2 +10.3
  Feb 09, 2012 169   @ Youngstown St. W 68-59 47%     13 - 12 8 - 6 +12.2 -3.5 +16.0
  Feb 11, 2012 88   @ Cleveland St. W 52-49 27%     14 - 12 9 - 6 +11.9 -8.0 +20.3
  Feb 14, 2012 275   Loyola Chicago W 63-57 88%     15 - 12 10 - 6 -4.0 -6.5 +3.2
  Feb 18, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 75-54 63%     16 - 12 +20.0 -0.5 +19.5
  Feb 21, 2012 280   Illinois-Chicago W 69-44 88%     17 - 12 11 - 6 +14.7 +0.2 +17.8
  Feb 24, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 59-71 41%     17 - 13 11 - 7 -7.0 -6.7 -1.4
  Feb 28, 2012 214   Wright St. W 70-52 80%     18 - 13 +11.8 +7.5 +6.7
  Mar 02, 2012 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 71-49 56%     19 - 13 +23.1 +4.0 +20.1
  Mar 03, 2012 144   @ Valparaiso L 46-65 41%     19 - 14 -14.0 -17.5 +0.4
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%