Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.3#8
Expected Predictive Rating+15.4#11
Pace71.4#82
Improvement-2.7#269

Offense
Total Offense+11.7#4
Improvement-1.3#239

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#73
Improvement-1.4#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 6.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 94.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round77.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen51.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight24.2% n/a n/a
Final Four11.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.2% n/a n/a
National Champion2.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 158   Stony Brook W 96-66 94%     1 - 0 +27.3 +21.8 +5.4
  Nov 13, 2011 274   Chattanooga W 78-53 98%     2 - 0 +15.2 -8.7 +21.0
  Nov 16, 2011 113   @ Evansville W 94-73 78%     3 - 0 +28.2 +13.4 +13.0
  Nov 19, 2011 187   Savannah St. W 94-65 96%     4 - 0 +24.3 +24.5 +0.0
  Nov 21, 2011 273   Gardner-Webb W 73-49 98%     5 - 0 +14.2 -1.5 +16.0
  Nov 27, 2011 129   Butler W 75-59 93%     6 - 0 +15.2 +5.5 +9.6
  Nov 30, 2011 43   @ North Carolina St. W 86-75 61%     7 - 0 +23.4 +12.4 +10.4
  Dec 04, 2011 260   Stetson W 84-50 98%     8 - 0 +24.8 +2.2 +21.5
  Dec 10, 2011 1   Kentucky W 73-72 42%     9 - 0 +18.5 +7.2 +11.3
  Dec 17, 2011 40   Notre Dame W 69-58 70%     10 - 0 +20.9 +6.3 +15.5
  Dec 19, 2011 311   Howard W 107-50 99%     11 - 0 +42.6 +24.2 +15.3
  Dec 22, 2011 340   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-47 99.6%    12 - 0 +22.1 +3.4 +17.4
  Dec 28, 2011 3   @ Michigan St. L 65-80 24%     12 - 1 0 - 1 +7.8 +7.7 -0.6
  Dec 31, 2011 2   Ohio St. W 74-70 45%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +20.6 +7.4 +13.1
  Jan 05, 2012 23   Michigan W 73-71 73%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +11.1 +4.8 +6.4
  Jan 08, 2012 128   @ Penn St. W 88-82 81%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +12.0 +16.2 -4.4
  Jan 12, 2012 56   Minnesota L 74-77 84%     15 - 2 3 - 2 +1.7 +6.3 -4.7
  Jan 15, 2012 2   @ Ohio St. L 63-80 22%     15 - 3 3 - 3 +6.4 +3.0 +2.9
  Jan 18, 2012 142   @ Nebraska L 69-70 83%     15 - 4 3 - 4 +4.4 +0.7 +3.7
  Jan 22, 2012 128   Penn St. W 73-54 93%     16 - 4 4 - 4 +18.2 +15.3 +6.7
  Jan 26, 2012 12   @ Wisconsin L 50-57 39%     16 - 5 4 - 5 +11.1 +2.0 +7.1
  Jan 29, 2012 91   Iowa W 103-89 89%     17 - 5 5 - 5 +16.0 +20.5 -5.5
  Feb 01, 2012 23   @ Michigan L 56-68 48%     17 - 6 5 - 6 +3.9 +0.1 +1.5
  Feb 04, 2012 30   @ Purdue W 78-61 53%     18 - 6 6 - 6 +31.5 +8.2 +23.2
  Feb 09, 2012 77   Illinois W 84-71 87%     19 - 6 7 - 6 +16.2 +17.4 -0.8
  Feb 15, 2012 58   Northwestern W 71-66 84%     20 - 6 8 - 6 +9.5 +3.8 +6.3
  Feb 19, 2012 91   @ Iowa L 66-78 73%     20 - 7 8 - 7 -3.2 -3.4 -0.1
  Feb 22, 2012 222   NC Central W 75-56 97%     21 - 7 +12.3 +8.6 +5.7
  Feb 26, 2012 56   @ Minnesota W 69-50 65%     22 - 7 9 - 7 +30.5 +5.0 +26.2
  Feb 28, 2012 3   Michigan St. W 70-55 47%     23 - 7 10 - 7 +31.0 +18.9 +14.8
  Mar 04, 2012 30   Purdue W 85-74 77%     24 - 7 11 - 7 +18.6 +10.6 +7.8
  Mar 08, 2012 128   Penn St. W 75-58 88%     25 - 7 +19.6 +9.9 +10.9
  Mar 09, 2012 12   Wisconsin L 71-79 53%     25 - 8 +6.7 +16.8 -11.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 8.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.4 5.6 55.3 33.5 5.2 0.1 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.4 0.4 5.6 55.3 33.5 5.2 0.1 100.0%