Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#77
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#65
Pace65.3#230
Improvement-5.2#328

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#137
Improvement-1.9#263

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#29
Improvement-3.3#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.4% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.9% n/a n/a
First Round1.9% n/a n/a
Second Round0.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 275   Loyola Chicago W 67-49 93%     1 - 0 +8.0 -4.8 +14.1
  Nov 14, 2011 307   SIU Edwardsville W 66-46 96%     2 - 0 +6.7 -14.4 +20.9
  Nov 17, 2011 216   Lipscomb W 79-64 88%     3 - 0 +8.6 -5.3 +12.3
  Nov 22, 2011 111   Richmond W 70-61 60%     4 - 0 +13.1 +2.4 +11.4
  Nov 23, 2011 101   Illinois St. W 63-59 57%     5 - 0 +8.8 +5.4 +4.2
  Nov 27, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 90-43 98%     6 - 0 +29.2 +10.2 +18.5
  Nov 29, 2011 125   @ Maryland W 71-62 51%     7 - 0 +15.3 +8.3 +8.1
  Dec 03, 2011 29   Gonzaga W 82-75 46%     8 - 0 +14.7 +9.5 +5.0
  Dec 07, 2011 57   St. Bonaventure W 48-43 57%     9 - 0 +9.7 -15.6 +26.1
  Dec 11, 2011 277   Coppin St. W 80-63 93%     10 - 0 +6.7 +6.3 +2.6
  Dec 17, 2011 26   UNLV L 48-64 31%     10 - 1 -4.4 -20.1 +16.3
  Dec 19, 2011 204   Cornell W 64-60 87%     11 - 1 -1.4 -3.0 +1.9
  Dec 22, 2011 6   Missouri L 74-78 14%     11 - 2 +14.3 +0.7 +13.8
  Dec 27, 2011 56   Minnesota W 81-72 2OT 57%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +13.7 -1.5 +13.8
  Dec 31, 2011 30   @ Purdue L 60-75 23%     12 - 3 1 - 1 -0.5 -6.8 +5.6
  Jan 04, 2012 58   @ Northwestern W 57-56 32%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +12.3 -8.1 +20.6
  Jan 07, 2012 142   Nebraska W 59-54 78%     14 - 3 3 - 1 +3.6 -8.1 +12.3
  Jan 10, 2012 2   Ohio St. W 79-74 17%     15 - 3 4 - 1 +21.6 +17.2 +4.6
  Jan 19, 2012 128   @ Penn St. L 52-54 52%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +4.0 -6.2 +9.8
  Jan 22, 2012 12   Wisconsin L 63-67 32%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +7.3 +0.8 +6.3
  Jan 28, 2012 56   @ Minnesota L 72-77 OT 32%     15 - 6 4 - 4 +6.5 -0.7 +7.6
  Jan 31, 2012 3   Michigan St. W 42-41 19%     16 - 6 5 - 4 +17.0 -14.2 +31.4
  Feb 05, 2012 58   Northwestern L 70-74 58%     16 - 7 5 - 5 +0.5 +6.8 -6.9
  Feb 09, 2012 8   @ Indiana L 71-84 13%     16 - 8 5 - 6 +5.7 +5.6 -0.2
  Feb 12, 2012 23   @ Michigan L 61-70 19%     16 - 9 5 - 7 +6.9 +1.7 +4.0
  Feb 15, 2012 30   Purdue L 62-67 46%     16 - 10 5 - 8 +2.6 -7.3 +9.7
  Feb 18, 2012 142   @ Nebraska L 57-80 55%     16 - 11 5 - 9 -17.6 -12.3 -5.7
  Feb 21, 2012 2   @ Ohio St. L 67-83 7%     16 - 12 5 - 10 +7.4 +5.9 +1.3
  Feb 26, 2012 91   Iowa W 65-54 67%     17 - 12 6 - 10 +13.0 -7.0 +20.5
  Mar 01, 2012 23   Michigan L 61-72 40%     17 - 13 6 - 11 -1.9 -4.0 +1.1
  Mar 04, 2012 12   @ Wisconsin L 56-70 14%     17 - 14 6 - 12 +4.1 +1.2 +1.0
  Mar 08, 2012 91   Iowa L 61-64 54%     17 - 15 +2.4 -2.9 +4.9
Projected Record 17.0 - 15.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 3.4% 3.4% 12.0 0.5 2.3 0.6 96.6 3.4%
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 0.0% 3.4% 12.0 0.5 2.3 0.6 96.6 3.4%