Pre-tourney Rankings
UNLV
Mountain West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.6#26
Expected Predictive Rating+12.2#27
Pace75.7#29
Improvement-4.1#310

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#57
Improvement-5.0#337

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#19
Improvement+0.9#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 43.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.9% n/a n/a
Second Round58.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen21.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.7% n/a n/a
Final Four2.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 100   Nevada W 71-67 83%     1 - 0 +5.4 -1.4 +6.8
  Nov 17, 2011 328   Canisius W 95-70 99%     2 - 0 +8.8 +2.3 +3.5
  Nov 20, 2011 266   Morgan St. W 92-55 96%     3 - 0 +27.4 +4.9 +18.6
  Nov 22, 2011 172   Cal Poly W 75-52 92%     4 - 0 +19.3 -0.3 +19.8
  Nov 25, 2011 219   USC W 66-55 91%     5 - 0 +7.9 +5.4 +3.7
  Nov 26, 2011 4   North Carolina W 90-80 25%     6 - 0 +28.6 +13.7 +13.5
  Nov 30, 2011 110   @ UC Santa Barbara W 94-88 2OT 65%     7 - 0 +13.5 +7.4 +5.1
  Dec 04, 2011 9   @ Wichita St. L 70-89 25%     7 - 1 -0.5 +14.6 -17.9
  Dec 10, 2011 12   @ Wisconsin L 51-62 27%     7 - 2 +7.1 -5.7 +11.6
  Dec 14, 2011 131   UTEP W 65-54 88%     8 - 2 +10.1 -4.8 +15.2
  Dec 17, 2011 77   Illinois W 64-48 69%     9 - 2 +22.6 -6.0 +27.9
  Dec 19, 2011 309   Louisiana Monroe W 81-63 98%     10 - 2 +4.1 +8.7 -2.6
  Dec 23, 2011 34   California W 85-68 66%     11 - 2 +24.3 +8.9 +14.1
  Dec 28, 2011 324   Central Arkansas W 124-75 99%     12 - 2 +33.1 +22.2 +2.4
  Dec 31, 2011 210   @ Hawaii W 74-69 84%     13 - 2 +6.0 -6.0 +11.6
  Jan 05, 2012 251   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 89-57 89%     14 - 2 +30.1 +10.7 +18.6
  Jan 14, 2012 46   @ San Diego St. L 67-69 48%     14 - 3 0 - 1 +10.1 -3.6 +13.9
  Jan 18, 2012 143   TCU W 101-78 89%     15 - 3 1 - 1 +21.3 +13.2 +5.4
  Jan 21, 2012 14   New Mexico W 80-63 54%     16 - 3 2 - 1 +27.5 +18.1 +10.3
  Jan 25, 2012 134   @ Boise St. W 77-72 OT 71%     17 - 3 3 - 1 +10.7 -2.7 +12.8
  Jan 28, 2012 173   @ Air Force W 65-63 OT 79%     18 - 3 4 - 1 +5.0 -5.7 +10.7
  Feb 01, 2012 72   Colorado St. W 82-63 78%     19 - 3 5 - 1 +22.4 +9.2 +13.8
  Feb 04, 2012 75   @ Wyoming L 66-68 56%     19 - 4 5 - 2 +8.1 +7.6 +0.3
  Feb 11, 2012 46   San Diego St. W 65-63 73%     20 - 4 6 - 2 +7.3 -2.4 +9.8
  Feb 14, 2012 143   @ TCU L 97-102 OT 73%     20 - 5 6 - 3 +0.1 +9.2 -8.4
  Feb 18, 2012 14   @ New Mexico L 45-65 29%     20 - 6 6 - 4 -2.7 -15.5 +11.8
  Feb 22, 2012 134   Boise St. W 75-58 88%     21 - 6 7 - 4 +15.9 +2.4 +13.9
  Feb 25, 2012 173   Air Force W 68-58 92%     22 - 6 8 - 4 +6.2 -8.2 +14.1
  Feb 29, 2012 72   @ Colorado St. L 59-66 55%     22 - 7 8 - 5 +3.2 -6.9 +9.4
  Mar 03, 2012 75   Wyoming W 74-63 79%     23 - 7 9 - 5 +14.3 +5.7 +8.5
  Mar 08, 2012 75   Wyoming W 56-48 79%     24 - 7 +11.3 -10.2 +21.7
  Mar 09, 2012 14   New Mexico L 67-72 41%     24 - 8 +8.9 +6.4 +2.2
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 9.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 100.0% 99.9% 99.9% 6.7 0.0 0.3 9.8 33.3 33.8 18.6 3.9 0.2 0.1 99.9%
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 99.9% 0.0% 99.9% 6.7 0.0 0.3 9.8 33.3 33.8 18.6 3.9 0.2 0.1 99.9%