Pre-tourney Rankings
Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#216
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#212
Pace75.4#30
Improvement-2.6#265

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#221
Improvement-3.0#305

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#214
Improvement+0.4#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 273   Gardner-Webb L 71-74 74%     0 - 1 -12.8 -12.3 -0.2
  Nov 17, 2011 77   @ Illinois L 64-79 12%     0 - 2 -5.0 -8.5 +5.1
  Nov 19, 2011 101   @ Illinois St. L 70-78 15%     0 - 3 +0.2 -0.3 +0.5
  Nov 22, 2011 307   SIU Edwardsville W 90-87 75%     1 - 3 -6.9 +0.6 -8.0
  Nov 23, 2011 246   Sacred Heart W 79-77 57%     2 - 3 -2.9 +3.1 -5.9
  Nov 28, 2011 212   Austin Peay W 67-59 62%     3 - 3 +2.0 -18.2 +19.1
  Dec 01, 2011 115   Mercer L 72-79 38%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -6.7 -8.4 +2.6
  Dec 03, 2011 314   Kennesaw St. W 75-52 86%     4 - 4 1 - 1 +8.2 -10.2 +17.6
  Dec 06, 2011 334   Tennessee Martin W 70-55 91%     5 - 4 -2.9 -11.3 +8.7
  Dec 10, 2011 180   @ Tennessee Tech L 87-89 OT 30%     5 - 5 +0.6 +0.8 +0.1
  Dec 15, 2011 42   @ Murray St. L 65-89 8%     5 - 6 -11.3 -0.2 -11.4
  Dec 19, 2011 10   @ Memphis L 75-85 3%     5 - 7 +8.5 +16.2 -8.5
  Dec 21, 2011 27   @ Iowa St. L 64-81 6%     5 - 8 -2.1 -5.0 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2012 248   @ Jacksonville W 77-71 45%     6 - 8 2 - 1 +4.4 +0.2 +3.9
  Jan 04, 2012 190   @ North Florida L 61-82 32%     6 - 9 2 - 2 -19.2 -12.3 -6.8
  Jan 06, 2012 24   @ Belmont W 85-74 5%     7 - 9 3 - 2 +26.4 +11.9 +14.0
  Jan 14, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast L 80-84 OT 54%     7 - 10 3 - 3 -8.1 -8.5 +1.0
  Jan 16, 2012 260   Stetson W 104-103 OT 73%     8 - 10 4 - 3 -8.2 +1.6 -10.1
  Jan 21, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. W 73-65 23%     9 - 10 5 - 3 +12.7 +7.4 +5.6
  Jan 23, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 52-61 23%     9 - 11 5 - 4 -4.2 -19.7 +15.9
  Jan 28, 2012 190   North Florida L 59-71 58%     9 - 12 5 - 5 -17.0 -24.3 +8.7
  Jan 30, 2012 248   Jacksonville W 82-68 70%     10 - 12 6 - 5 +5.6 +4.5 +0.9
  Feb 03, 2012 24   Belmont L 58-84 14%     10 - 13 6 - 6 -17.4 -10.4 -8.8
  Feb 11, 2012 260   @ Stetson W 99-91 OT 48%     11 - 13 7 - 6 +5.6 +1.8 +2.1
  Feb 13, 2012 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 68-89 29%     11 - 14 7 - 7 -18.3 -8.1 -9.4
  Feb 18, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate L 61-62 46%     11 - 15 7 - 8 -3.0 -8.2 +5.1
  Feb 20, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. L 57-66 47%     11 - 16 7 - 9 -11.1 -8.7 -3.5
  Feb 23, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 54-63 17%     11 - 17 7 - 10 -1.9 -6.6 +3.5
  Feb 25, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 74-71 69%     12 - 17 8 - 10 -5.0 -5.0 +0.0
  Feb 29, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 53-61 17%     12 - 18 -0.9 -8.7 +6.9
Projected Record 12.0 - 18.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%