Pre-tourney Rankings
Jacksonville
Atlantic Sun
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.0#248
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#263
Pace68.3#145
Improvement+2.9#70

Offense
Total Offense-2.5#239
Improvement+0.2#159

Defense
Total Defense-2.5#252
Improvement+2.7#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 22   @ Florida St. L 67-79 4%     0 - 1 +4.1 +3.1 +1.3
  Nov 16, 2011 187   @ Savannah St. L 70-73 OT 25%     0 - 2 -0.9 -2.2 +1.5
  Nov 18, 2011 279   Samford W 70-57 69%     1 - 2 +2.7 -5.9 +9.6
  Nov 21, 2011 257   @ Bethune-Cookman W 65-55 39%     2 - 2 +7.7 -2.1 +11.2
  Nov 25, 2011 16   @ Florida L 62-107 3%     2 - 3 -27.7 -12.6 -11.1
  Nov 28, 2011 18   @ Marquette L 56-88 3%     2 - 4 -15.0 -7.2 -8.6
  Dec 03, 2011 190   @ North Florida L 58-80 26%     2 - 5 0 - 1 -20.2 -13.4 -7.3
  Dec 11, 2011 238   @ Furman L 79-85 35%     2 - 6 -7.1 +2.5 -9.3
  Dec 15, 2011 264   Winthrop L 45-59 66%     2 - 7 -23.4 -23.5 -1.7
  Dec 18, 2011 199   @ Wofford L 57-63 26%     2 - 8 -4.5 -12.2 +7.4
  Dec 22, 2011 124   @ UAB L 65-70 14%     2 - 9 +1.4 -1.1 +2.4
  Dec 29, 2011 32   @ Alabama L 55-72 5%     2 - 10 -2.8 -3.8 -0.2
  Jan 02, 2012 216   Lipscomb L 71-77 55%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -12.4 -7.8 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2012 24   Belmont L 63-75 11%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -3.4 -9.5 +6.1
  Jan 07, 2012 260   @ Stetson L 61-73 40%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -14.4 -16.2 +2.1
  Jan 09, 2012 178   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 66-77 23%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -8.3 -11.9 +4.4
  Jan 14, 2012 152   East Tennessee St. L 58-72 39%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -16.1 -6.4 -11.7
  Jan 16, 2012 147   South Carolina Upstate W 77-74 OT 38%     3 - 15 1 - 6 +1.0 +5.7 -4.6
  Jan 21, 2012 314   @ Kennesaw St. W 66-50 61%     4 - 15 2 - 6 +8.0 -7.0 +16.5
  Jan 23, 2012 115   @ Mercer L 65-75 13%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -2.9 +2.4 -6.1
  Jan 28, 2012 24   @ Belmont L 71-85 4%     4 - 17 2 - 8 +1.4 +7.5 -7.1
  Jan 30, 2012 216   @ Lipscomb L 68-82 30%     4 - 18 2 - 9 -13.6 -4.8 -8.7
  Feb 04, 2012 178   Florida Gulf Coast L 55-65 46%     4 - 19 2 - 10 -14.1 -21.9 +7.8
  Feb 06, 2012 260   Stetson W 74-63 66%     5 - 19 3 - 10 +1.8 -5.8 +7.5
  Feb 11, 2012 147   @ South Carolina Upstate L 66-70 18%     5 - 20 3 - 11 +0.8 -1.4 +2.1
  Feb 13, 2012 152   @ East Tennessee St. W 61-55 18%     6 - 20 4 - 11 +10.7 +3.0 +8.7
  Feb 18, 2012 115   Mercer W 81-75 30%     7 - 20 5 - 11 +6.3 +6.3 -0.2
  Feb 20, 2012 314   Kennesaw St. W 73-71 82%     8 - 20 6 - 11 -12.8 -6.2 -6.5
  Feb 24, 2012 190   North Florida L 64-70 50%     8 - 21 6 - 12 -11.0 -12.8 +1.9
  Feb 29, 2012 24   Belmont L 62-76 7%     8 - 22 -2.0 -9.0 +7.1
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%