Pre-tourney Rankings
Furman
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.5#238
Expected Predictive Rating-4.0#235
Pace65.4#225
Improvement-0.6#198

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#268
Improvement-3.6#320

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#202
Improvement+3.1#47
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 192   @ Columbia W 62-58 27%     1 - 0 +5.8 -9.0 +14.8
  Nov 17, 2011 115   Mercer L 46-66 32%     1 - 1 -19.7 -20.9 -0.7
  Nov 20, 2011 275   Loyola Chicago W 63-51 70%     2 - 1 +2.0 +7.7 -1.6
  Nov 25, 2011 82   @ Clemson L 49-59 10%     2 - 2 -0.6 -8.9 +6.3
  Nov 30, 2011 261   @ Elon L 70-77 43%     2 - 3 0 - 1 -9.6 -4.2 -5.3
  Dec 03, 2011 74   @ Davidson L 65-86 9%     2 - 4 0 - 2 -10.9 -6.2 -4.4
  Dec 11, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 85-79 65%     3 - 4 -2.4 +3.3 -6.1
  Dec 17, 2011 188   @ Western Kentucky W 76-63 27%     4 - 4 +14.9 +11.2 +4.6
  Dec 20, 2011 253   @ Presbyterian L 71-75 41%     4 - 5 -6.0 +3.3 -9.8
  Dec 23, 2011 105   @ Georgia L 50-64 13%     4 - 6 -6.1 -7.8 -1.2
  Dec 30, 2011 236   @ UNC Wilmington L 61-72 37%     4 - 7 -12.0 -10.2 -2.4
  Jan 05, 2012 319   The Citadel W 77-45 85%     5 - 7 1 - 2 +16.5 +1.5 +16.7
  Jan 07, 2012 168   College of Charleston L 43-66 46%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -26.5 -27.6 -0.6
  Jan 12, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. L 50-56 41%     5 - 9 1 - 4 -8.2 -17.0 +7.9
  Jan 14, 2012 234   @ Western Carolina W 58-55 36%     6 - 9 2 - 4 +2.1 -10.1 +12.5
  Jan 19, 2012 237   Georgia Southern W 64-54 63%     7 - 9 3 - 4 +2.1 -9.5 +12.0
  Jan 21, 2012 199   Wofford L 72-79 53%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -12.3 +6.7 -19.9
  Jan 26, 2012 168   @ College of Charleston W 69-63 23%     8 - 10 4 - 5 +9.3 -1.4 +10.7
  Jan 28, 2012 319   @ The Citadel W 67-58 66%     9 - 10 5 - 5 +0.3 -4.9 +5.7
  Feb 01, 2012 74   Davidson L 53-71 23%     9 - 11 5 - 6 -14.7 -20.5 +5.8
  Feb 04, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro W 93-85 72%     10 - 11 6 - 6 -2.5 -1.2 -2.7
  Feb 06, 2012 237   @ Georgia Southern L 57-64 37%     10 - 12 6 - 7 -8.1 -12.9 +4.5
  Feb 09, 2012 255   Appalachian St. L 69-79 67%     10 - 13 6 - 8 -19.0 -9.5 -9.4
  Feb 11, 2012 234   Western Carolina W 80-66 62%     11 - 13 7 - 8 +6.3 +8.1 -0.7
  Feb 18, 2012 279   @ Samford L 49-55 46%     11 - 14 7 - 9 -9.5 -21.3 +11.0
  Feb 23, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 65-55 70%     12 - 14 8 - 9 +0.2 -9.4 +10.1
  Feb 25, 2012 199   @ Wofford L 52-67 28%     12 - 15 8 - 10 -13.5 -11.1 -5.0
  Mar 02, 2012 279   Samford W 75-66 59%     13 - 15 +2.1 +1.5 +1.3
  Mar 03, 2012 74   Davidson L 54-73 15%     13 - 16 -12.3 -15.0 +1.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 16.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%