Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#74
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#74
Pace72.6#59
Improvement+0.1#163

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#41
Improvement-0.5#195

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#140
Improvement+0.6#137
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round22.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2011 111   Richmond W 74-61 72%     1 - 0 +13.7 -1.9 +15.4
  Nov 18, 2011 15   @ Duke L 69-82 16%     1 - 1 +4.3 -1.5 +6.4
  Nov 21, 2011 253   Presbyterian W 68-54 92%     2 - 1 +5.2 -5.5 +12.0
  Nov 26, 2011 236   @ UNC Wilmington W 70-67 77%     3 - 1 +2.0 -3.4 +5.4
  Dec 01, 2011 199   @ Wofford W 72-69 69%     4 - 1 1 - 0 +4.5 +5.7 -0.9
  Dec 03, 2011 238   Furman W 86-65 91%     5 - 1 2 - 0 +13.1 +9.1 +3.7
  Dec 07, 2011 13   Vanderbilt L 83-87 35%     5 - 2 +6.6 +7.0 -0.1
  Dec 10, 2011 151   @ Charlotte L 61-84 58%     5 - 3 -18.3 -9.9 -7.4
  Dec 19, 2011 5   Kansas W 80-74 14%     6 - 3 +24.4 +9.2 +14.6
  Dec 22, 2011 78   @ Massachusetts L 65-73 38%     6 - 4 +1.8 -4.0 +6.1
  Dec 29, 2011 141   Penn W 75-70 78%     7 - 4 +3.7 -0.2 +3.8
  Jan 05, 2012 284   @ UNC Greensboro W 92-63 84%     8 - 4 3 - 0 +25.3 +15.4 +9.2
  Jan 07, 2012 237   Georgia Southern W 96-74 91%     9 - 4 4 - 0 +14.1 +16.8 -3.4
  Jan 12, 2012 234   Western Carolina W 88-67 90%     10 - 4 5 - 0 +13.3 +14.3 +0.0
  Jan 14, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. W 83-79 80%     11 - 4 6 - 0 +1.8 +8.8 -7.0
  Jan 19, 2012 168   College of Charleston W 87-69 83%     12 - 4 7 - 0 +14.5 +7.6 +5.6
  Jan 21, 2012 319   The Citadel W 80-51 97%     13 - 4 8 - 0 +13.5 +0.7 +12.9
  Jan 26, 2012 274   @ Chattanooga W 64-63 82%     14 - 4 9 - 0 -2.0 -13.0 +11.0
  Jan 28, 2012 279   @ Samford L 74-77 83%     14 - 5 9 - 1 -6.5 +4.7 -11.6
  Feb 01, 2012 238   @ Furman W 71-53 77%     15 - 5 10 - 1 +16.9 -1.1 +18.0
  Feb 04, 2012 274   Chattanooga W 88-61 93%     16 - 5 11 - 1 +17.2 +14.4 +4.0
  Feb 06, 2012 199   Wofford W 76-54 87%     17 - 5 12 - 1 +16.7 +7.2 +11.3
  Feb 09, 2012 319   @ The Citadel W 77-66 92%     18 - 5 13 - 1 +2.3 -1.6 +3.6
  Feb 11, 2012 168   @ College of Charleston L 78-86 63%     18 - 6 13 - 2 -4.7 +2.9 -7.1
  Feb 15, 2012 279   Samford W 81-54 93%     19 - 6 14 - 2 +16.7 +3.4 +14.4
  Feb 18, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 74-91 31%     19 - 7 -5.3 +4.0 -9.1
  Feb 23, 2012 261   Elon W 66-45 92%     20 - 7 15 - 2 +11.6 -10.1 +22.2
  Feb 25, 2012 237   @ Georgia Southern W 71-54 77%     21 - 7 16 - 2 +15.9 -2.4 +18.1
  Mar 03, 2012 238   Furman W 73-54 85%     22 - 7 +14.5 +3.0 +12.5
  Mar 04, 2012 261   Elon W 83-67 88%     23 - 7 +10.0 +9.5 +0.9
  Mar 05, 2012 234   Western Carolina W 93-91 2OT 85%     24 - 7 -2.3 +0.5 -3.2
Projected Record 24.0 - 7.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.7 0.1 2.7 30.9 64.0 2.4
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.1 2.7 30.9 64.0 2.4