Pre-tourney Rankings
Southern
2011-12


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
74 Davidson 100.0%   14   24 - 7 16 - 2 24 - 7 16 - 2 +6.7      +5.7 41 +1.0 140 72.6 59 +7.0 74 +6.7 1
168 College of Charleston 0.0%   19 - 12 10 - 8 19 - 12 10 - 8 -0.1      -1.0 201 +0.8 144 70.7 96 +1.3 149 -3.4 4
199 Wofford 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 -1.9      -1.2 209 -0.7 193 59.4 321 -1.4 187 +0.1 3
234 Western Carolina 0.0%   15 - 18 8 - 10 15 - 18 8 - 10 -4.3      -0.8 191 -3.6 274 67.4 172 -4.0 234 -6.4 9
237 Georgia Southern 0.0%   13 - 15 12 - 6 13 - 15 12 - 6 -4.5      -3.1 255 -1.4 216 67.0 182 -3.3 222 +0.3 2
238 Furman 0.0%   13 - 16 8 - 10 13 - 16 8 - 10 -4.5      -3.4 268 -1.0 202 65.4 225 -4.0 235 -5.5 7
255 Appalachian St. 0.0%   11 - 18 7 - 11 11 - 18 7 - 11 -5.6      -2.3 233 -3.3 270 67.7 164 -5.9 259 -7.4 10
261 Elon 0.0%   13 - 16 9 - 9 13 - 16 9 - 9 -6.0      -3.1 256 -2.9 262 74.4 37 -4.2 236 -5.2 6
274 Chattanooga 0.0%   8 - 21 5 - 13 8 - 21 5 - 13 -6.4      -3.2 260 -3.2 267 72.4 67 -10.2 306 -10.3 11
279 Samford 0.0%   9 - 19 8 - 10 9 - 19 8 - 10 -6.9      -0.4 178 -6.5 326 60.8 305 -7.2 280 -5.7 8
284 UNC Greensboro 0.0%   12 - 19 10 - 8 12 - 19 10 - 8 -7.1      -3.8 276 -3.3 268 80.4 11 -4.9 245 -3.4 5
319 The Citadel 0.0%   4 - 24 3 - 15 4 - 24 3 - 15 -12.1      -7.1 312 -5.0 300 64.8 241 -13.5 324 -13.0 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Davidson 1.0 100.0
College of Charleston 4.0 100.0
Wofford 2.0 100.0
Western Carolina 7.0 100.0
Georgia Southern 2.0 100.0
Furman 7.0 100.0
Appalachian St. 10.0 100.0
Elon 6.0 100.0
Chattanooga 11.0 100.0
Samford 7.0 100.0
UNC Greensboro 4.0 100.0
The Citadel 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Davidson 16 - 2 100.0
College of Charleston 10 - 8 100.0
Wofford 12 - 6 100.0
Western Carolina 8 - 10 100.0
Georgia Southern 12 - 6 100.0
Furman 8 - 10 100.0
Appalachian St. 7 - 11 100.0
Elon 9 - 9 100.0
Chattanooga 5 - 13 100.0
Samford 8 - 10 100.0
UNC Greensboro 10 - 8 100.0
The Citadel 3 - 15 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Davidson 100.0% 100.0
College of Charleston
Wofford
Western Carolina
Georgia Southern
Furman
Appalachian St.
Elon
Chattanooga
Samford
UNC Greensboro
The Citadel


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Davidson 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14   0.1 2.7 30.9 64.0 2.4
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Davidson 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 22.7% 7.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Wofford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Carolina 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Georgia Southern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Furman 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Appalachian St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Chattanooga 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Samford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Greensboro 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
The Citadel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 22.7% 0.2 77.3 22.7
Sweet Sixteen 7.3% 0.1 92.7 7.3
Elite Eight 1.4% 0.0 98.6 1.4
Final Four 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0