Pre-tourney Rankings
Chattanooga
Southern
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#274
Expected Predictive Rating-10.2#306
Pace72.4#67
Improvement-1.3#225

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#260
Improvement+0.8#127

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#267
Improvement-2.0#273
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 8   @ Indiana L 53-78 2%     0 - 1 -6.3 -20.6 +17.3
  Nov 15, 2011 129   @ Butler L 46-57 13%     0 - 2 -5.0 -14.3 +8.0
  Nov 18, 2011 314   Kennesaw St. L 59-65 79%     0 - 3 -20.8 -23.3 +2.4
  Nov 25, 2011 187   Savannah St. W 65-63 44%     1 - 3 -2.7 -1.5 -1.1
  Nov 27, 2011 273   Gardner-Webb L 74-76 OT 63%     1 - 4 -11.8 -8.8 -2.8
  Dec 01, 2011 237   @ Georgia Southern L 76-84 30%     1 - 5 0 - 1 -9.1 +1.0 -9.8
  Dec 03, 2011 168   @ College of Charleston L 85-87 2OT 18%     1 - 6 0 - 2 +1.3 -0.8 +2.5
  Dec 10, 2011 115   @ Mercer L 56-67 11%     1 - 7 -3.9 -8.9 +4.5
  Dec 17, 2011 1   @ Kentucky L 62-87 1%     1 - 8 -0.7 -4.6 +5.8
  Dec 29, 2011 342   Longwood W 85-50 90%     2 - 8 +14.5 -13.3 +23.8
  Dec 30, 2011 240   Utah Valley W 74-59 56%     3 - 8 +7.1 +6.1 +2.8
  Jan 02, 2012 51   @ Tennessee L 63-76 6%     3 - 9 -1.3 -4.7 +3.8
  Jan 05, 2012 234   Western Carolina W 78-62 55%     4 - 9 1 - 2 +8.3 +4.9 +4.4
  Jan 07, 2012 255   Appalachian St. W 65-63 60%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -7.0 -9.0 +2.1
  Jan 12, 2012 199   Wofford W 51-48 46%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -2.3 -19.4 +17.3
  Jan 14, 2012 279   @ Samford L 70-81 39%     6 - 10 3 - 3 -14.5 -4.4 -10.6
  Jan 19, 2012 284   @ UNC Greensboro L 72-81 40%     6 - 11 3 - 4 -12.7 -3.6 -9.0
  Jan 21, 2012 261   @ Elon L 87-88 35%     6 - 12 3 - 5 -3.6 +1.0 -4.5
  Jan 26, 2012 74   Davidson L 63-64 18%     6 - 13 3 - 6 +2.3 -13.2 +15.6
  Jan 28, 2012 237   Georgia Southern L 72-75 56%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -10.9 -6.7 -4.0
  Feb 02, 2012 234   @ Western Carolina L 76-82 30%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -6.9 -2.8 -3.8
  Feb 04, 2012 74   @ Davidson L 61-88 7%     6 - 16 3 - 9 -16.9 -6.3 -11.9
  Feb 09, 2012 261   Elon W 83-75 61%     7 - 16 4 - 9 -1.4 +7.5 -8.7
  Feb 11, 2012 284   UNC Greensboro L 76-77 66%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -11.5 -10.3 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. L 70-79 34%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -11.2 -3.3 -8.1
  Feb 18, 2012 319   The Citadel L 46-48 81%     7 - 19 4 - 12 -17.5 -20.7 +2.6
  Feb 23, 2012 238   @ Furman L 55-65 30%     7 - 20 4 - 13 -11.1 -14.3 +2.7
  Feb 25, 2012 279   Samford W 86-78 65%     8 - 20 5 - 13 -2.3 -2.7 -0.3
  Mar 02, 2012 237   Georgia Southern L 70-76 42%     8 - 21 -10.5 -5.9 -4.4
Projected Record 8.0 - 21.0 5.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%