Pre-tourney Rankings
Portland
West Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#286
Expected Predictive Rating-6.8#274
Pace71.6#77
Improvement-1.1#216

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#249
Improvement-1.5#246

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#285
Improvement+0.4#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 70-65 31%     1 - 0 +2.6 -1.4 +4.2
  Nov 13, 2011 98   Georgia St. W 66-61 13%     2 - 0 +10.0 +2.7 +7.6
  Nov 14, 2011 67   @ Washington L 63-93 6%     2 - 1 -19.4 -9.4 -7.9
  Nov 20, 2011 136   Washington St. L 73-83 27%     2 - 2 -11.1 -10.9 +1.0
  Nov 22, 2011 110   @ UC Santa Barbara L 69-83 9%     2 - 3 -6.5 -1.8 -4.9
  Nov 26, 2011 1   @ Kentucky L 63-87 1%     2 - 4 +0.3 +0.1 +0.6
  Dec 03, 2011 20   @ Saint Louis L 53-73 2%     2 - 5 -3.5 -1.7 -5.0
  Dec 07, 2011 134   @ Boise St. L 70-92 11%     2 - 6 -16.3 +0.8 -17.6
  Dec 10, 2011 71   Ohio L 54-72 16%     2 - 7 -14.6 -17.5 +3.7
  Dec 17, 2011 95   Montana L 65-80 19%     2 - 8 -13.2 -3.2 -10.4
  Dec 19, 2011 296   @ Utah L 67-72 41%     2 - 9 -9.9 -2.4 -7.8
  Dec 22, 2011 100   @ Nevada L 60-78 8%     2 - 10 -9.7 -12.5 +3.9
  Dec 28, 2011 29   @ Gonzaga L 51-90 3%     2 - 11 0 - 1 -24.5 -18.0 -4.1
  Jan 05, 2012 289   Santa Clara W 84-74 64%     3 - 11 1 - 1 -1.0 -1.0 -0.3
  Jan 07, 2012 287   Pepperdine W 53-43 63%     4 - 11 2 - 1 -0.8 -15.5 +16.2
  Jan 12, 2012 137   @ San Francisco L 70-104 12%     4 - 12 2 - 2 -28.3 -11.2 -13.3
  Jan 14, 2012 38   @ St. Mary's L 61-69 4%     4 - 13 2 - 3 +5.5 -3.9 +8.9
  Jan 19, 2012 224   San Diego L 63-82 47%     4 - 14 2 - 4 -25.7 -9.1 -18.0
  Jan 21, 2012 137   San Francisco L 71-72 27%     4 - 15 2 - 5 -2.1 -9.3 +7.2
  Jan 26, 2012 29   Gonzaga L 62-74 9%     4 - 16 2 - 6 -4.3 -9.6 +5.7
  Jan 28, 2012 149   @ Loyola Marymount L 59-62 13%     4 - 17 2 - 7 +1.7 +0.0 +1.2
  Feb 02, 2012 289   @ Santa Clara W 84-78 38%     5 - 17 3 - 7 +1.8 -0.5 +1.9
  Feb 04, 2012 45   BYU L 60-79 12%     5 - 18 3 - 8 -13.6 -14.1 +2.4
  Feb 09, 2012 149   Loyola Marymount L 62-76 30%     5 - 19 3 - 9 -16.1 -4.4 -13.0
  Feb 16, 2012 224   @ San Diego L 75-78 OT 24%     5 - 20 3 - 10 -2.9 -5.5 +2.9
  Feb 18, 2012 287   @ Pepperdine L 65-70 37%     5 - 21 3 - 11 -9.0 -3.1 -6.2
  Feb 23, 2012 38   St. Mary's L 43-70 10%     5 - 22 3 - 12 -20.3 -25.6 +2.7
  Feb 25, 2012 45   @ BYU L 66-76 5%     5 - 23 3 - 13 +2.2 -0.7 +3.2
  Feb 29, 2012 289   Santa Clara W 74-70 51%     6 - 23 -3.6 +3.4 -6.4
  Mar 01, 2012 137   San Francisco L 66-87 18%     6 - 24 -18.7 -12.0 -5.7
Projected Record 6.0 - 24.0 3.0 - 13.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 100.0% 100.0
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%