Pre-tourney Rankings
Washington
Pac-12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.2#67
Expected Predictive Rating+8.4#59
Pace77.5#21
Improvement-0.6#199

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#68
Improvement-2.3#275

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#81
Improvement+1.7#88
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.6 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.6% n/a n/a
First Round5.5% n/a n/a
Second Round1.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 98   Georgia St. W 91-74 71%     1 - 0 +18.6 +12.3 +4.4
  Nov 13, 2011 208   Florida Atlantic W 77-71 88%     2 - 0 +0.2 -8.1 +7.5
  Nov 14, 2011 286   Portland W 93-63 94%     3 - 0 +19.3 +7.5 +9.7
  Nov 20, 2011 20   @ Saint Louis L 64-77 19%     3 - 1 +3.5 +3.0 +0.1
  Nov 25, 2011 325   Houston Baptist W 88-65 97%     4 - 1 +7.0 -6.6 +9.7
  Dec 02, 2011 100   @ Nevada L 73-76 OT 46%     4 - 2 +5.3 -0.3 +5.7
  Dec 06, 2011 18   Marquette L 77-79 27%     4 - 3 +11.6 +6.5 +5.2
  Dec 10, 2011 15   Duke L 80-86 26%     4 - 4 +7.9 -0.2 +8.9
  Dec 16, 2011 110   UC Santa Barbara W 87-80 73%     5 - 4 +7.7 +6.9 +0.4
  Dec 18, 2011 60   South Dakota St. L 73-92 61%     5 - 5 -14.6 +3.9 -19.9
  Dec 22, 2011 305   Cal St. Northridge W 74-51 96%     6 - 5 +9.9 -15.0 +22.5
  Dec 29, 2011 92   Oregon St. W 95-80 69%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +17.0 +10.8 +4.7
  Dec 31, 2011 66   Oregon W 76-60 63%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +19.9 +1.1 +18.4
  Jan 05, 2012 86   @ Colorado L 69-87 42%     8 - 6 2 - 1 -8.9 -4.9 -2.0
  Jan 07, 2012 296   @ Utah W 57-53 87%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -0.9 -2.2 +2.3
  Jan 10, 2012 223   Seattle W 91-83 90%     10 - 6 +1.3 -2.1 +1.9
  Jan 15, 2012 136   Washington St. W 75-65 78%     11 - 6 4 - 1 +8.9 +3.2 +6.3
  Jan 19, 2012 34   California L 66-69 50%     11 - 7 4 - 2 +4.3 -3.9 +8.2
  Jan 21, 2012 64   Stanford W 76-63 62%     12 - 7 5 - 2 +17.0 +3.1 +13.2
  Jan 26, 2012 225   @ Arizona St. W 60-54 75%     13 - 7 6 - 2 +6.0 -8.3 +14.9
  Jan 28, 2012 47   @ Arizona W 69-67 32%     14 - 7 7 - 2 +14.1 +5.9 +8.3
  Feb 02, 2012 59   UCLA W 71-69 60%     15 - 7 8 - 2 +6.5 +1.4 +5.1
  Feb 04, 2012 219   USC W 69-41 90%     16 - 7 9 - 2 +21.5 -2.3 +23.1
  Feb 09, 2012 66   @ Oregon L 57-82 37%     16 - 8 9 - 3 -14.3 -13.7 -0.1
  Feb 12, 2012 92   @ Oregon St. W 75-72 44%     17 - 8 10 - 3 +11.8 -4.0 +15.5
  Feb 16, 2012 225   Arizona St. W 77-69 90%     18 - 8 11 - 3 +1.2 -0.3 +1.5
  Feb 18, 2012 47   Arizona W 79-70 57%     19 - 8 12 - 3 +14.3 +14.4 +0.4
  Feb 25, 2012 136   @ Washington St. W 59-55 56%     20 - 8 13 - 3 +9.7 -12.9 +22.6
  Mar 01, 2012 219   @ USC W 80-58 75%     21 - 8 14 - 3 +22.3 +16.5 +6.5
  Mar 03, 2012 59   @ UCLA L 69-75 34%     21 - 9 14 - 4 +5.3 +1.0 +4.4
  Mar 08, 2012 92   Oregon St. L 84-86 57%     21 - 10 +3.4 +5.4 -1.8
Projected Record 21.0 - 10.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 11.1% 11.1% 12.6 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.4 0.9 0.0 89.0 11.1%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.1% 0.0% 11.1% 12.6 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.4 0.9 0.0 89.0 11.1%