Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.7#47
Expected Predictive Rating+7.9#66
Pace65.5#220
Improvement-0.1#174

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#80
Improvement+0.9#118

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#37
Improvement-1.1#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.6% n/a n/a
First Round3.2% n/a n/a
Second Round1.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2011 144   Valparaiso W 73-64 84%     1 - 0 +7.2 -4.8 +11.7
  Nov 09, 2011 114   Duquesne W 67-59 79%     2 - 0 +8.3 -6.8 +15.1
  Nov 13, 2011 201   Ball St. W 73-63 90%     3 - 0 +4.7 -0.9 +5.7
  Nov 17, 2011 146   St. John's W 81-72 75%     4 - 0 +10.5 +13.5 -2.5
  Nov 18, 2011 70   Mississippi St. L 57-67 57%     4 - 1 -3.1 -10.7 +6.8
  Nov 23, 2011 46   San Diego St. L 57-61 63%     4 - 2 +1.3 -10.7 +11.9
  Nov 29, 2011 50   @ New Mexico St. W 83-76 38%     5 - 2 +18.9 +12.5 +6.1
  Dec 03, 2011 338   Northern Arizona W 53-39 99%     6 - 2 -5.0 -6.3 +7.2
  Dec 07, 2011 16   @ Florida L 72-78 OT 21%     6 - 3 +11.3 -1.1 +12.7
  Dec 10, 2011 82   Clemson W 63-47 72%     7 - 3 +18.6 -2.5 +22.4
  Dec 17, 2011 29   Gonzaga L 60-71 41%     7 - 4 +0.1 +0.0 -1.2
  Dec 20, 2011 153   Oakland W 85-73 85%     8 - 4 +9.8 +0.6 +8.7
  Dec 22, 2011 339   Bryant W 100-60 99%     9 - 4 +20.8 +16.6 +4.2
  Dec 31, 2011 225   Arizona St. W 68-51 92%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +10.2 -4.6 +15.9
  Jan 05, 2012 59   UCLA L 58-65 53%     10 - 5 1 - 1 +0.9 -9.1 +9.9
  Jan 08, 2012 219   @ USC W 57-46 79%     11 - 5 2 - 1 +11.3 -5.5 +17.5
  Jan 12, 2012 92   Oregon St. W 81-73 OT 74%     12 - 5 3 - 1 +10.0 +3.3 +6.5
  Jan 14, 2012 66   Oregon L 57-59 68%     12 - 6 3 - 2 +1.9 -8.9 +10.6
  Jan 19, 2012 296   @ Utah W 77-51 89%     13 - 6 4 - 2 +21.1 +6.0 +15.9
  Jan 21, 2012 86   @ Colorado L 63-64 48%     13 - 7 4 - 3 +8.1 +1.6 +6.5
  Jan 26, 2012 136   Washington St. W 85-61 82%     14 - 7 5 - 3 +22.9 +8.3 +14.4
  Jan 28, 2012 67   Washington L 67-69 68%     14 - 8 5 - 4 +1.8 -1.5 +3.2
  Feb 02, 2012 34   @ California W 78-74 30%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +18.1 +10.5 +7.6
  Feb 04, 2012 64   @ Stanford W 56-43 42%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +23.8 -2.8 +28.1
  Feb 09, 2012 86   Colorado W 71-57 73%     17 - 8 8 - 4 +16.3 +2.0 +14.5
  Feb 11, 2012 296   Utah W 70-61 96%     18 - 8 9 - 4 -2.8 +4.7 -5.9
  Feb 16, 2012 136   @ Washington St. W 76-72 61%     19 - 8 10 - 4 +9.7 +9.8 +0.3
  Feb 18, 2012 67   @ Washington L 70-79 43%     19 - 9 10 - 5 +1.6 +6.3 -5.3
  Feb 23, 2012 219   USC W 70-54 92%     20 - 9 11 - 5 +9.5 +4.8 +5.7
  Feb 25, 2012 59   UCLA W 65-63 66%     21 - 9 12 - 5 +6.5 -5.7 +12.2
  Mar 04, 2012 225   @ Arizona St. L 80-87 79%     21 - 10 12 - 6 -7.0 +8.0 -15.1
  Mar 08, 2012 59   UCLA W 66-58 53%     22 - 10 +15.9 -4.3 +20.0
  Mar 09, 2012 92   Oregon St. W 72-61 62%     23 - 10 +16.4 +1.9 +15.0
  Mar 10, 2012 86   Colorado L 51-53 61%     23 - 11 +3.7 -7.2 +10.6
Projected Record 23.0 - 11.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 5.6% 5.6% 12.8 0.1 1.7 3.2 0.7 94.4 5.6%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.6% 0.0% 5.6% 12.8 0.1 1.7 3.2 0.7 94.4 5.6%