Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#66
Expected Predictive Rating+8.9#54
Pace70.8#92
Improvement+5.2#24

Offense
Total Offense+6.0#36
Improvement+5.6#11

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#134
Improvement-0.4#183
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 23.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four21.4% n/a n/a
First Round11.5% n/a n/a
Second Round2.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.2% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 13   @ Vanderbilt L 64-78 17%     0 - 1 +3.4 -4.3 +8.3
  Nov 17, 2011 213   Eastern Washington W 73-65 89%     1 - 1 +1.9 -10.8 +11.9
  Nov 20, 2011 230   Southeast Missouri St. W 86-61 90%     2 - 1 +17.9 +4.6 +12.6
  Nov 23, 2011 142   @ Nebraska W 83-76 57%     3 - 1 +12.4 +8.8 +3.3
  Nov 29, 2011 131   UTEP W 64-59 78%     4 - 1 +4.1 -3.4 +7.8
  Dec 03, 2011 45   BYU L 65-79 44%     4 - 2 -5.2 -5.5 +1.2
  Dec 10, 2011 177   Fresno St. W 74-70 86%     5 - 2 -0.1 +2.2 -2.2
  Dec 12, 2011 207   Portland St. W 79-70 89%     6 - 2 +3.2 +1.6 +2.1
  Dec 18, 2011 31   Virginia L 54-67 49%     6 - 3 -5.5 -3.0 -4.6
  Dec 20, 2011 222   NC Central W 58-45 90%     7 - 3 +6.3 -14.4 +21.1
  Dec 21, 2011 330   Prairie View W 74-66 98%     8 - 3 -8.4 -9.7 +0.4
  Dec 22, 2011 161   Stephen F. Austin W 55-45 83%     9 - 3 +7.1 -6.2 +14.8
  Dec 29, 2011 136   @ Washington St. W 92-75 56%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +22.7 +19.3 +3.4
  Dec 31, 2011 67   @ Washington L 60-76 37%     10 - 4 1 - 1 -5.4 -9.3 +4.2
  Jan 05, 2012 64   Stanford W 78-67 63%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +15.0 +13.7 +2.0
  Jan 08, 2012 34   California L 60-77 50%     11 - 5 2 - 2 -9.7 -6.7 -3.9
  Jan 12, 2012 225   @ Arizona St. W 67-58 76%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +9.0 +6.3 +4.4
  Jan 14, 2012 47   @ Arizona W 59-57 32%     13 - 5 4 - 2 +14.1 +0.5 +13.8
  Jan 19, 2012 219   USC W 65-62 90%     14 - 5 5 - 2 -3.5 +1.0 -4.2
  Jan 21, 2012 59   UCLA W 75-68 61%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +11.5 +6.2 +5.4
  Jan 29, 2012 92   Oregon St. L 71-76 70%     15 - 6 6 - 3 -3.0 -11.2 +8.8
  Feb 02, 2012 296   @ Utah W 79-68 87%     16 - 6 7 - 3 +6.1 +10.7 -3.9
  Feb 04, 2012 86   @ Colorado L 71-72 43%     16 - 7 7 - 4 +8.1 -0.4 +8.6
  Feb 09, 2012 67   Washington W 82-57 63%     17 - 7 8 - 4 +28.8 +9.2 +19.1
  Feb 11, 2012 136   Washington St. W 78-69 79%     18 - 7 9 - 4 +7.9 +16.9 -7.3
  Feb 16, 2012 34   @ California L 83-86 26%     18 - 8 9 - 5 +11.1 +10.4 +0.9
  Feb 19, 2012 64   @ Stanford W 68-64 37%     19 - 8 10 - 5 +14.8 +2.2 +12.6
  Feb 26, 2012 92   @ Oregon St. W 74-73 44%     20 - 8 11 - 5 +9.8 +4.3 +5.6
  Mar 01, 2012 86   Colorado W 90-81 69%     21 - 8 12 - 5 +11.3 +19.6 -8.3
  Mar 03, 2012 296   Utah W 94-48 95%     22 - 8 13 - 5 +34.2 +23.0 +14.2
  Mar 08, 2012 86   Colorado L 62-63 56%     22 - 9 +4.7 -1.7 +6.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 23.1% 23.1% 12.5 0.0 0.2 1.7 9.4 10.5 1.2 77.0 23.1%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 23.1% 0.0% 23.1% 12.5 0.0 0.2 1.7 9.4 10.5 1.2 77.0 23.1%