Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2010-11 - 2011-12 - 2012-13
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.0#95
Expected Predictive Rating+5.2#98
Pace63.9#261
Improvement+0.9#126

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#66
Improvement+0.3#154

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#148
Improvement+0.6#132


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 174   @ Fresno St. L 47-55 58%     0 - 1 -5.2 -20.1 +14.3
  Nov 17, 2011 308   SIU Edwardsville W 68-38 95%     1 - 1 +16.5 -13.1 +29.1
  Nov 19, 2011 215   Lipscomb W 78-70 85%     2 - 1 +1.9 +1.4 +0.3
  Nov 22, 2011 116   Rutgers W 76-70 55%     3 - 1 +9.6 +6.9 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2011 75   Illinois L 59-63 44%     3 - 2 +2.6 +4.5 -2.8
  Nov 27, 2011 256   Bethune-Cookman W 75-51 90%     4 - 2 +15.0 +20.1 +2.8
  Nov 30, 2011 333   Chicago St. W 85-41 97%     5 - 2 +26.2 +7.6 +19.3
  Dec 03, 2011 237   UNC Wilmington L 54-63 88%     5 - 3 -16.7 -17.4 -0.4
  Dec 07, 2011 203   @ Morehead St. W 78-73 64%     6 - 3 +6.2 +15.9 -9.1
  Dec 18, 2011 185   Norfolk St. W 68-36 82%     7 - 3 +27.3 -6.9 +34.2
  Dec 20, 2011 183   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-65 82%     8 - 3 +2.4 +3.5 -0.8
  Dec 29, 2011 84   Northern Iowa W 65-61 60%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +6.4 -1.5 +8.2
  Jan 01, 2012 223   @ Southern Illinois L 71-86 68%     9 - 4 1 - 1 -14.9 +2.8 -18.5
  Jan 04, 2012 102   @ Missouri St. W 68-60 38%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +16.1 +2.3 +14.1
  Jan 07, 2012 125   Evansville W 75-73 70%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +1.7 +6.2 -4.3
  Jan 10, 2012 12   @ Wichita St. L 62-65 12%     11 - 5 3 - 2 +14.9 +4.7 +9.8
  Jan 13, 2012 32   Creighton L 78-87 41%     11 - 6 3 - 3 -1.6 +1.9 -3.4
  Jan 15, 2012 141   @ Drake L 60-77 49%     11 - 7 3 - 4 -11.8 -2.4 -11.0
  Jan 18, 2012 142   Indiana St. W 67-54 74%     12 - 7 4 - 4 +11.4 -0.2 +12.6
  Jan 21, 2012 125   @ Evansville L 71-79 44%     12 - 8 4 - 5 -1.5 +1.9 -3.9
  Jan 25, 2012 102   Missouri St. W 76-69 OT 64%     13 - 8 5 - 5 +8.4 +5.2 +3.1
  Jan 28, 2012 223   Southern Illinois W 60-40 86%     14 - 8 6 - 5 +13.4 -7.1 +23.3
  Feb 01, 2012 32   @ Creighton L 74-102 19%     14 - 9 6 - 6 -13.9 +1.8 -15.5
  Feb 04, 2012 259   Bradley W 78-48 90%     15 - 9 7 - 6 +20.8 +4.4 +16.9
  Feb 08, 2012 141   Drake W 64-53 74%     16 - 9 8 - 6 +9.4 -1.6 +12.1
  Feb 11, 2012 84   @ Northern Iowa L 63-78 34%     16 - 10 8 - 7 -5.9 -2.4 -4.0
  Feb 14, 2012 142   @ Indiana St. L 77-83 OT 49%     16 - 11 8 - 8 -0.8 +6.4 -7.0
  Feb 18, 2012 149   Oakland W 79-75 75%     17 - 11 +2.1 +1.0 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2012 12   Wichita St. L 55-68 28%     17 - 12 8 - 9 -1.9 -9.9 +7.1
  Feb 25, 2012 259   @ Bradley W 54-53 76%     18 - 12 9 - 9 -1.5 -13.0 +11.6
  Mar 02, 2012 84   Northern Iowa W 54-42 47%     19 - 12 +17.8 -10.0 +29.0
  Mar 03, 2012 12   Wichita St. W 65-64 18%     20 - 12 +15.5 -0.1 +15.6
  Mar 04, 2012 32   Creighton L 79-83 OT 29%     20 - 13 +6.8 +5.2 +1.6
  Mar 14, 2012 87   @ Mississippi W 96-93 OT 35%     21 - 13 +12.0 +19.1 -7.4
  Mar 19, 2012 38   @ Stanford L 88-92 OT 21%     21 - 14 +9.3 +13.1 -3.3
Projected Record 21 - 14 9 - 9