Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2012-13


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
56 Akron 100.0%   12   25 - 6 14 - 2 25 - 6 14 - 2 +8.7      +3.0 100 +5.8 38 68.6 143 +9.7 52 +10.5 2
80 Ohio 0.1%   24 - 9 14 - 2 24 - 9 14 - 2 +5.9      +2.8 105 +3.1 92 71.5 86 +6.6 79 +11.4 1
117 Kent St. 0.0%   19 - 13 9 - 7 19 - 13 9 - 7 +3.4      +3.1 97 +0.3 162 69.5 123 +2.5 129 +0.8 4
147 Western Michigan 0.0%   19 - 12 10 - 6 19 - 12 10 - 6 +1.2      +0.4 168 +0.8 144 66.5 194 +1.9 142 +0.5 5
179 Buffalo 0.0%   12 - 20 7 - 9 12 - 20 7 - 9 -0.7      +1.3 142 -1.9 230 66.0 206 -2.6 207 -1.8 7
186 Toledo 0.0%   15 - 13 10 - 6 15 - 13 10 - 6 -1.0      +0.9 153 -1.9 224 71.2 92 -1.0 191 +1.1 3
210 Bowling Green 0.0%   11 - 19 7 - 9 11 - 19 7 - 9 -2.5      -3.8 271 +1.3 132 63.8 253 -4.8 240 -1.7 6
236 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   13 - 18 7 - 9 13 - 18 7 - 9 -4.3      -6.8 318 +2.4 106 58.8 323 -3.6 223 -3.6 9
239 Miami (OH) 0.0%   8 - 22 3 - 13 8 - 22 3 - 13 -4.4      -2.7 243 -1.8 220 66.5 196 -5.8 256 -9.1 11
245 Ball St. 0.0%   14 - 15 8 - 8 14 - 15 8 - 8 -4.7      -1.0 199 -3.8 275 66.6 189 -2.7 211 -1.9 8
250 Central Michigan 0.0%   10 - 20 4 - 12 10 - 20 4 - 12 -5.3      +2.0 124 -7.3 332 66.3 199 -5.2 245 -9.0 10
315 Northern Illinois 0.0%   4 - 25 3 - 13 4 - 25 3 - 13 -10.1      -10.7 341 +0.6 151 61.2 293 -12.6 324 -9.9 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Akron 1.0 100.0
Ohio 1.0 100.0
Kent St. 5.0 100.0
Western Michigan 3.0 100.0
Buffalo 7.0 100.0
Toledo 3.0 100.0
Bowling Green 7.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 7.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 11.0 100.0
Ball St. 6.0 100.0
Central Michigan 10.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 11.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Akron 14 - 2 100.0
Ohio 14 - 2 100.0
Kent St. 9 - 7 100.0
Western Michigan 10 - 6 100.0
Buffalo 7 - 9 100.0
Toledo 10 - 6 100.0
Bowling Green 7 - 9 100.0
Eastern Michigan 7 - 9 100.0
Miami (OH) 3 - 13 100.0
Ball St. 8 - 8 100.0
Central Michigan 4 - 12 100.0
Northern Illinois 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Akron 100.0% 100.0
Ohio 100.0% 100.0
Kent St.
Western Michigan
Buffalo
Toledo
Bowling Green
Eastern Michigan
Miami (OH)
Ball St.
Central Michigan
Northern Illinois


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Akron 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.1 0.5 4.9 70.2 24.3 0.0
Ohio 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1 0.0 99.9 0.1%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Akron 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 31.4% 10.8% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Ohio 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 99.9 0.1
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0 0.1
2nd Round 31.4% 0.3 68.6 31.4 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 10.8% 0.1 89.2 10.8
Elite Eight 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Final Four 0.6% 0.0 99.4 0.6
Final Game 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0