Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.0#186
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#191
Pace71.2#92
Improvement+1.3#115

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#153
Improvement+0.7#132

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#224
Improvement+0.6#147
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 171   @ Loyola Chicago L 50-62 35%     0 - 1 -9.0 -18.3 +8.5
  Nov 12, 2012 27   @ Minnesota L 56-82 7%     0 - 2 -10.4 -13.3 +4.9
  Nov 14, 2012 64   @ Northern Iowa L 81-84 OT 13%     0 - 3 +8.0 +5.2 +3.1
  Nov 21, 2012 287   Samford W 82-69 75%     1 - 3 +4.9 +2.6 +2.1
  Nov 22, 2012 140   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 66-72 29%     1 - 4 -1.1 -8.9 +8.2
  Nov 28, 2012 310   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 80-68 87%     2 - 4 -0.9 -1.5 +0.3
  Dec 01, 2012 260   @ Cleveland St. L 73-78 56%     2 - 5 -7.5 +3.9 -11.8
  Dec 05, 2012 69   @ Detroit Mercy L 73-79 14%     2 - 6 +4.5 -3.8 +8.7
  Dec 08, 2012 271   @ Eastern Illinois W 67-59 59%     3 - 6 +4.7 +0.9 +5.0
  Dec 29, 2012 193   Illinois-Chicago W 74-55 64%     4 - 6 +14.4 +7.3 +8.6
  Dec 31, 2012 290   Chicago St. L 53-58 84%     4 - 7 -16.5 -14.4 -2.8
  Jan 09, 2013 117   @ Kent St. W 70-58 23%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +18.6 +1.0 +18.0
  Jan 12, 2013 250   Central Michigan W 76-72 OT 76%     6 - 7 2 - 0 -4.5 -5.4 +0.8
  Jan 16, 2013 147   @ Western Michigan L 56-79 30%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -18.6 -14.5 -4.0
  Jan 19, 2013 80   @ Ohio L 67-76 17%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +0.2 +3.0 -3.4
  Jan 23, 2013 56   Akron L 56-71 27%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -9.5 -8.4 -2.3
  Jan 26, 2013 210   Bowling Green W 75-62 68%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +7.3 +4.9 +2.9
  Jan 30, 2013 245   @ Ball St. W 85-78 52%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +5.5 +14.7 -8.8
  Feb 02, 2013 315   @ Northern Illinois W 69-64 71%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -1.8 -1.5 -0.3
  Feb 06, 2013 239   Miami (OH) W 65-64 74%     10 - 10 6 - 3 -6.7 +1.8 -8.3
  Feb 09, 2013 236   Eastern Michigan W 60-52 74%     11 - 10 7 - 3 +0.4 -10.7 +11.3
  Feb 13, 2013 179   @ Buffalo L 60-75 36%     11 - 11 7 - 4 -12.4 -11.3 -1.6
  Feb 16, 2013 250   @ Central Michigan W 73-64 54%     12 - 11 8 - 4 +6.9 -6.1 +13.0
  Feb 23, 2013 299   McNeese St. W 79-66 85%     13 - 11 +0.7 -2.7 +3.0
  Feb 27, 2013 147   Western Michigan L 62-65 54%     13 - 12 8 - 5 -5.1 -12.2 +7.2
  Mar 02, 2013 245   Ball St. L 72-86 75%     13 - 13 8 - 6 -22.0 -9.5 -11.8
  Mar 05, 2013 315   Northern Illinois W 70-46 87%     14 - 13 9 - 6 +10.7 +1.1 +11.2
  Mar 09, 2013 236   @ Eastern Michigan W 78-67 50%     15 - 13 10 - 6 +9.9 +14.9 -4.2
Projected Record 15.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 100.0% 100.0
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%