Pre-tourney Rankings
Arkansas St.
Sun Belt
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.8#150
Expected Predictive Rating-0.7#183
Pace66.3#202
Improvement+2.4#75

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#252
Improvement-1.3#224

Defense
Total Defense+3.7#79
Improvement+3.7#30
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 67   @ Dayton L 61-74 18%     0 - 1 -2.3 -5.6 +2.4
  Nov 16, 2012 334   @ Tennessee Martin W 77-73 3OT 86%     1 - 1 -6.9 -12.0 +4.6
  Nov 21, 2012 301   @ Central Arkansas W 73-72 74%     2 - 1 -4.9 -8.8 +3.9
  Nov 25, 2012 346   Lamar W 93-53 97%     3 - 1 +17.8 +8.9 +7.5
  Nov 29, 2012 187   @ Florida International L 61-80 45%     3 - 2 0 - 1 -16.9 -9.5 -7.7
  Dec 01, 2012 234   @ Florida Atlantic L 65-72 57%     3 - 3 0 - 2 -8.0 -6.6 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2012 119   St. Bonaventure W 73-70 53%     4 - 3 +2.9 -3.3 +6.3
  Dec 16, 2012 314   Austin Peay W 69-57 90%     5 - 3 -1.2 -13.9 +12.5
  Dec 19, 2012 139   Murray St. L 54-61 59%     5 - 4 -8.6 -18.3 +9.4
  Dec 22, 2012 117   @ Kent St. L 69-73 29%     5 - 5 +2.6 -5.3 +8.1
  Dec 27, 2012 233   Louisiana W 87-70 78%     6 - 5 1 - 2 +9.7 +4.0 +4.5
  Dec 29, 2012 202   @ South Alabama W 63-54 48%     7 - 5 2 - 2 +10.4 -8.4 +18.6
  Jan 03, 2013 52   Middle Tennessee W 66-60 OT 29%     8 - 5 3 - 2 +12.6 -5.3 +17.6
  Jan 05, 2013 183   Western Kentucky W 75-61 68%     9 - 5 4 - 2 +9.8 +7.4 +3.9
  Jan 10, 2013 187   Florida International L 64-66 69%     9 - 6 4 - 3 -6.4 -7.0 +0.5
  Jan 12, 2013 233   @ Louisiana L 56-61 56%     9 - 7 4 - 4 -5.8 -16.4 +10.4
  Jan 19, 2013 326   Louisiana Monroe W 63-39 92%     10 - 7 5 - 4 +8.7 -10.7 +21.9
  Jan 24, 2013 272   @ Troy L 67-74 OT 66%     10 - 8 5 - 5 -10.5 -5.4 -5.4
  Jan 26, 2013 234   Florida Atlantic W 63-38 78%     11 - 8 6 - 5 +17.6 -4.7 +25.7
  Jan 31, 2013 202   South Alabama W 74-62 71%     12 - 8 7 - 5 +6.9 -5.8 +11.6
  Feb 02, 2013 261   North Texas W 75-66 OT 82%     13 - 8 8 - 5 +0.0 -4.4 +4.0
  Feb 07, 2013 52   @ Middle Tennessee L 60-73 13%     13 - 9 8 - 6 +0.1 -0.9 +0.1
  Feb 09, 2013 183   @ Western Kentucky W 67-49 44%     14 - 9 9 - 6 +20.3 +0.8 +21.2
  Feb 14, 2013 223   Arkansas Little Rock W 86-62 76%     15 - 9 10 - 6 +17.3 +9.8 +6.8
  Feb 16, 2013 326   @ Louisiana Monroe W 87-54 82%     16 - 9 11 - 6 +24.2 +17.5 +9.6
  Feb 23, 2013 272   Troy W 58-50 84%     17 - 9 12 - 6 -1.9 -16.7 +15.3
  Feb 28, 2013 261   @ North Texas L 50-74 63%     17 - 10 12 - 7 -26.5 -23.8 -2.2
  Mar 02, 2013 223   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 71-78 54%     17 - 11 12 - 8 -7.2 +0.1 -7.3
  Mar 09, 2013 272   Troy W 68-63 OT 76%     18 - 11 -1.7 -8.2 +6.6
  Mar 10, 2013 183   Western Kentucky L 56-58 57%     18 - 12 -2.9 -17.1 +14.2
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 100.0% 100.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%