Pre-tourney Rankings
Dayton
Atlantic 10
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#67
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Pace68.0#157
Improvement-0.9#212

Offense
Total Offense+6.9#31
Improvement+2.0#84

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#155
Improvement-2.9#305
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 150   Arkansas St. W 74-61 82%     1 - 0 +10.5 +8.2 +3.2
  Nov 15, 2012 45   Colorado L 57-67 40%     1 - 1 +0.1 -11.7 +12.3
  Nov 16, 2012 93   Boston College W 87-71 59%     2 - 1 +21.0 +22.6 +0.2
  Nov 18, 2012 195   Auburn W 73-63 80%     3 - 1 +8.5 +0.7 +7.9
  Nov 24, 2012 154   Manhattan W 66-58 83%     4 - 1 +5.5 -2.6 +8.1
  Nov 28, 2012 105   Weber St. L 61-62 73%     4 - 2 +0.0 -9.6 +9.6
  Dec 01, 2012 315   Northern Illinois W 60-43 96%     5 - 2 +3.7 -8.4 +13.6
  Dec 05, 2012 68   @ Alabama W 81-76 38%     6 - 2 +15.7 +14.9 +0.7
  Dec 08, 2012 239   Miami (OH) W 83-61 91%     7 - 2 +14.3 +9.2 +5.8
  Dec 15, 2012 234   Florida Atlantic W 81-56 91%     8 - 2 +17.6 +1.9 +14.8
  Dec 19, 2012 65   Illinois St. L 73-74 62%     8 - 3 +3.4 -2.5 +5.9
  Dec 22, 2012 139   Murray St. W 77-68 80%     9 - 3 +7.4 +3.2 +4.3
  Dec 30, 2012 100   @ USC L 61-63 OT 48%     9 - 4 +5.9 -12.7 +18.9
  Jan 05, 2013 167   UAB W 78-71 84%     10 - 4 +3.7 +1.9 +1.6
  Jan 09, 2013 20   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-74 19%     10 - 5 0 - 1 +4.7 -5.9 +11.0
  Jan 12, 2013 44   Butler L 73-79 52%     10 - 6 0 - 2 +1.0 +5.5 -4.7
  Jan 16, 2013 55   @ La Salle L 70-72 33%     10 - 7 0 - 3 +10.1 +0.6 +9.6
  Jan 23, 2013 248   Fordham W 96-51 92%     11 - 7 1 - 3 +36.6 +19.7 +17.5
  Jan 26, 2013 240   Duquesne W 72-56 92%     12 - 7 2 - 3 +8.2 -0.6 +9.9
  Jan 30, 2013 76   @ Xavier L 61-66 41%     12 - 8 2 - 4 +4.8 +9.6 -6.0
  Feb 02, 2013 17   @ Saint Louis L 52-81 18%     12 - 9 2 - 5 -12.0 -9.6 -2.3
  Feb 06, 2013 75   Saint Joseph's W 60-54 65%     13 - 9 3 - 5 +9.5 +0.2 +10.5
  Feb 09, 2013 58   Temple L 71-72 59%     13 - 10 3 - 6 +4.1 -0.3 +4.4
  Feb 13, 2013 185   @ Rhode Island L 72-75 69%     13 - 11 3 - 7 -0.7 +1.6 -2.4
  Feb 16, 2013 76   Xavier W 70-59 65%     14 - 11 4 - 7 +14.4 +8.3 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2013 78   @ Massachusetts L 66-76 43%     14 - 12 4 - 8 -0.7 +0.5 -1.7
  Feb 27, 2013 130   @ Charlotte W 88-67 57%     15 - 12 5 - 8 +26.6 +18.6 +7.7
  Mar 02, 2013 82   Richmond W 78-74 68%     16 - 12 6 - 8 +6.5 +18.6 -11.3
  Mar 06, 2013 119   St. Bonaventure W 75-63 76%     17 - 12 7 - 8 +11.9 +8.2 +5.2
  Mar 09, 2013 112   @ George Washington L 80-81 OT 52%     17 - 13 7 - 9 +6.0 +5.5 +0.6
  Mar 14, 2013 44   Butler L 67-73 40%     17 - 14 +4.2 +4.4 -0.7
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%