Pre-tourney Rankings
Colorado
Pac-12
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.1#45
Expected Predictive Rating+10.9#42
Pace66.2#203
Improvement-0.7#203

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#90
Improvement-1.5#236

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#25
Improvement+0.8#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 91.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.1% n/a n/a
First Round88.9% n/a n/a
Second Round35.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen10.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.5% n/a n/a
Final Four0.9% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 249   Wofford W 74-59 95%     1 - 0 +6.6 +6.5 +0.6
  Nov 15, 2012 67   Dayton W 67-57 60%     2 - 0 +17.5 -8.5 +25.5
  Nov 16, 2012 37   Baylor W 60-58 46%     3 - 0 +13.3 -8.4 +21.6
  Nov 18, 2012 139   Murray St. W 81-74 79%     4 - 0 +8.6 +4.2 +4.0
  Nov 25, 2012 85   Air Force W 89-74 77%     5 - 0 +17.4 +15.2 +2.6
  Nov 27, 2012 170   Texas Southern W 85-80 2OT 89%     6 - 0 +1.5 -2.9 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2012 89   @ Wyoming L 69-76 56%     6 - 1 +1.6 +3.4 -2.0
  Dec 05, 2012 24   Colorado St. W 70-61 53%     7 - 1 +18.4 +3.6 +15.6
  Dec 08, 2012 5   @ Kansas L 54-90 15%     7 - 2 -14.5 -9.4 -3.6
  Dec 12, 2012 99   @ Fresno St. W 50-43 58%     8 - 2 +15.0 -9.3 +25.0
  Dec 21, 2012 307   Northern Arizona W 98-51 97%     9 - 2 +34.3 +13.5 +18.4
  Dec 29, 2012 219   Hartford W 80-52 93%     10 - 2 +21.5 +6.5 +14.4
  Jan 03, 2013 18   @ Arizona L 83-92 OT 26%     10 - 3 0 - 1 +7.8 +6.7 +2.3
  Jan 06, 2013 71   @ Arizona St. L 56-65 49%     10 - 4 0 - 2 +1.4 -7.4 +8.1
  Jan 10, 2013 100   USC W 66-60 80%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +7.4 -5.1 +12.4
  Jan 12, 2013 40   UCLA L 75-78 61%     11 - 5 1 - 3 +4.3 +2.7 +1.7
  Jan 16, 2013 77   @ Washington L 54-64 52%     11 - 6 1 - 4 -0.4 -9.1 +7.9
  Jan 19, 2013 91   @ Washington St. W 58-49 56%     12 - 6 2 - 4 +17.5 -3.3 +22.0
  Jan 24, 2013 46   Stanford W 75-54 62%     13 - 6 3 - 4 +27.9 +4.6 +23.2
  Jan 27, 2013 57   California W 81-71 68%     14 - 6 4 - 4 +15.2 +6.2 +8.3
  Feb 02, 2013 114   @ Utah L 55-58 63%     14 - 7 4 - 5 +3.8 -4.8 +8.2
  Feb 07, 2013 41   @ Oregon W 48-47 37%     15 - 7 5 - 5 +14.5 -5.8 +20.5
  Feb 10, 2013 103   @ Oregon St. W 72-68 59%     16 - 7 6 - 5 +11.8 +2.9 +9.0
  Feb 14, 2013 18   Arizona W 71-58 49%     17 - 7 7 - 5 +23.3 +11.6 +13.5
  Feb 16, 2013 71   Arizona St. L 62-63 OT 73%     17 - 8 7 - 6 +2.9 -3.2 +6.0
  Feb 21, 2013 114   Utah W 60-50 82%     18 - 8 8 - 6 +10.4 -5.1 +16.7
  Feb 27, 2013 46   @ Stanford W 65-63 38%     19 - 8 9 - 6 +15.3 +6.2 +9.4
  Mar 02, 2013 57   @ California L 46-62 44%     19 - 9 9 - 7 -4.3 -10.9 +3.5
  Mar 07, 2013 41   Oregon W 76-53 62%     20 - 9 10 - 7 +30.0 +6.8 +22.4
  Mar 09, 2013 103   Oregon St. L 58-64 80%     20 - 10 10 - 8 -4.7 -11.7 +6.5
  Mar 13, 2013 103   Oregon St. W 74-68 71%     21 - 10 +10.5 +3.0 +7.6
  Mar 14, 2013 18   Arizona L 69-79 37%     21 - 11 +3.6 +4.4 -1.2
Projected Record 21.0 - 11.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 91.3% 91.3% 10.1 0.0 0.3 5.8 16.9 33.8 29.2 5.4 8.7 91.3%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 91.3% 0.0% 91.3% 10.1 0.0 0.3 5.8 16.9 33.8 29.2 5.4 8.7 91.3%