Pre-tourney Rankings
Arizona
Pac-12
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#18
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#19
Pace69.9#115
Improvement-5.1#324

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#23
Improvement-2.7#284

Defense
Total Defense+5.6#40
Improvement-2.4#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 23.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 96.6% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round66.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen34.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight13.5% n/a n/a
Final Four5.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 189   Charleston Southern W 82-73 94%     1 - 0 +4.6 +9.6 -4.8
  Nov 15, 2012 110   UTEP W 72-51 88%     2 - 0 +21.7 +9.6 +14.7
  Nov 19, 2012 142   Long Beach St. W 94-72 91%     3 - 0 +20.4 +12.2 +6.8
  Nov 28, 2012 307   Northern Arizona W 93-50 98%     4 - 0 +30.3 +15.1 +15.9
  Dec 01, 2012 226   @ Texas Tech W 85-57 90%     5 - 0 +27.5 +9.9 +17.3
  Dec 04, 2012 59   Southern Miss W 63-55 79%     6 - 0 +13.0 -10.3 +23.1
  Dec 08, 2012 111   @ Clemson W 66-54 73%     7 - 0 +19.1 +3.8 +16.1
  Dec 15, 2012 2   Florida W 65-64 37%     8 - 0 +18.0 +12.5 +5.8
  Dec 18, 2012 163   Oral Roberts W 89-64 93%     9 - 0 +21.9 +2.6 +16.4
  Dec 22, 2012 324   East Tennessee St. W 73-53 98%     10 - 0 +8.6 -8.6 +16.6
  Dec 23, 2012 12   Miami (FL) W 69-50 44%     11 - 0 +34.2 +10.9 +25.3
  Dec 25, 2012 28   San Diego St. W 68-67 55%     12 - 0 +13.3 +4.7 +8.6
  Jan 03, 2013 45   Colorado W 92-83 OT 74%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +15.9 +12.5 +2.2
  Jan 05, 2013 114   Utah W 60-57 89%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +3.4 +0.3 +3.7
  Jan 10, 2013 41   @ Oregon L 66-70 50%     14 - 1 2 - 1 +9.5 +4.4 +5.0
  Jan 12, 2013 103   @ Oregon St. W 80-70 71%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +17.8 +1.9 +15.0
  Jan 19, 2013 71   @ Arizona St. W 71-54 62%     16 - 1 4 - 1 +27.4 +8.4 +20.3
  Jan 24, 2013 40   UCLA L 73-84 73%     16 - 2 4 - 2 -3.7 -4.9 +2.4
  Jan 26, 2013 100   USC W 74-50 87%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +25.4 -1.2 +25.1
  Jan 31, 2013 77   @ Washington W 57-53 65%     18 - 2 6 - 2 +13.6 -13.6 +27.0
  Feb 02, 2013 91   @ Washington St. W 79-65 69%     19 - 2 7 - 2 +22.5 +13.1 +10.1
  Feb 06, 2013 46   Stanford W 73-66 74%     20 - 2 8 - 2 +13.9 +4.7 +9.4
  Feb 10, 2013 57   California L 69-77 79%     20 - 3 8 - 3 -2.8 +3.9 -7.1
  Feb 14, 2013 45   @ Colorado L 58-71 51%     20 - 4 8 - 4 +0.4 +1.3 -2.7
  Feb 17, 2013 114   @ Utah W 68-64 74%     21 - 4 9 - 4 +10.8 +2.9 +8.1
  Feb 20, 2013 77   Washington W 70-52 84%     22 - 4 10 - 4 +21.2 +2.7 +19.3
  Feb 23, 2013 91   Washington St. W 73-56 86%     23 - 4 11 - 4 +19.0 +14.0 +8.2
  Feb 27, 2013 100   @ USC L 78-89 71%     23 - 5 11 - 5 -3.1 +3.1 -5.1
  Mar 02, 2013 40   @ UCLA L 69-74 49%     23 - 6 11 - 6 +8.8 +4.5 +4.1
  Mar 09, 2013 71   Arizona St. W 73-58 82%     24 - 6 12 - 6 +18.9 +6.8 +13.1
  Mar 14, 2013 45   Colorado W 79-69 63%     25 - 6 +20.1 +16.1 +4.4
  Mar 15, 2013 40   UCLA L 64-66 61%     25 - 7 +8.6 +0.1 +8.4
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.0 3.0 20.2 47.7 25.7 3.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.0 3.0 20.2 47.7 25.7 3.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%