Pre-tourney Rankings
Florida
Southeastern
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.3#2
Expected Predictive Rating+14.3#17
Pace60.8#298
Improvement-6.2#341

Offense
Total Offense+10.0#8
Improvement-5.8#345

Defense
Total Defense+10.3#4
Improvement-0.3#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 3.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 9.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 89.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round92.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen73.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight48.7% n/a n/a
Final Four32.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game20.8% n/a n/a
National Champion12.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 333   Alabama St. W 84-35 99.7%    1 - 0 +31.9 +2.1 +29.2
  Nov 14, 2012 14   Wisconsin W 74-56 79%     2 - 0 +29.9 +19.2 +12.7
  Nov 18, 2012 52   Middle Tennessee W 66-45 84%     3 - 0 +30.8 +11.3 +23.2
  Nov 20, 2012 221   Savannah St. W 58-40 99%     4 - 0 +11.4 +0.4 +14.0
  Nov 23, 2012 134   Central Florida W 79-66 97%     5 - 0 +12.0 +7.9 +4.6
  Nov 29, 2012 22   Marquette W 82-49 84%     6 - 0 +42.6 +23.7 +23.6
  Dec 05, 2012 109   @ Florida St. W 72-47 88%     7 - 0 +32.3 +8.3 +26.4
  Dec 15, 2012 18   @ Arizona L 64-65 63%     7 - 1 +15.8 +9.9 +5.7
  Dec 19, 2012 280   SE Louisiana W 82-43 99%     8 - 1 +28.4 +9.7 +21.0
  Dec 22, 2012 25   Kansas St. L 61-67 77%     8 - 2 +6.6 +0.1 +5.8
  Dec 29, 2012 85   Air Force W 78-61 91%     9 - 2 +22.7 +11.6 +12.9
  Jan 06, 2013 188   @ Yale W 79-58 94%     10 - 2 +23.1 +10.5 +13.7
  Jan 09, 2013 101   Georgia W 77-44 95%     11 - 2 1 - 0 +34.3 +19.4 +20.1
  Jan 12, 2013 92   @ LSU W 74-52 87%     12 - 2 2 - 0 +30.3 +9.9 +21.8
  Jan 17, 2013 95   @ Texas A&M W 68-47 87%     13 - 2 3 - 0 +29.2 +13.0 +20.1
  Jan 19, 2013 19   Missouri W 83-52 83%     14 - 2 4 - 0 +41.3 +8.7 +30.7
  Jan 23, 2013 101   @ Georgia W 64-47 87%     15 - 2 5 - 0 +24.8 +12.5 +16.3
  Jan 26, 2013 237   @ Mississippi St. W 82-47 97%     16 - 2 6 - 0 +33.9 +21.3 +16.1
  Jan 30, 2013 194   South Carolina W 75-36 98%     17 - 2 7 - 0 +34.4 +10.8 +29.4
  Feb 02, 2013 32   Mississippi W 78-64 86%     18 - 2 8 - 0 +22.5 +10.0 +12.8
  Feb 05, 2013 74   @ Arkansas L 69-80 83%     18 - 3 8 - 1 -0.8 +0.7 -1.4
  Feb 09, 2013 237   Mississippi St. W 83-58 99%     19 - 3 9 - 1 +17.4 +13.8 +4.4
  Feb 12, 2013 42   Kentucky W 69-52 89%     20 - 3 10 - 1 +24.0 +7.1 +19.1
  Feb 16, 2013 195   @ Auburn W 83-52 95%     21 - 3 11 - 1 +32.8 +17.8 +17.0
  Feb 19, 2013 19   @ Missouri L 60-63 63%     21 - 4 11 - 2 +13.7 -4.3 +17.9
  Feb 23, 2013 74   Arkansas W 71-54 93%     22 - 4 12 - 2 +20.7 +5.1 +16.7
  Feb 26, 2013 60   @ Tennessee L 58-64 80%     22 - 5 12 - 3 +5.4 -2.3 +7.0
  Mar 02, 2013 68   Alabama W 64-52 92%     23 - 5 13 - 3 +16.2 +6.4 +11.8
  Mar 06, 2013 84   Vanderbilt W 66-40 94%     24 - 5 14 - 3 +28.5 +10.9 +23.4
  Mar 09, 2013 42   @ Kentucky L 57-61 74%     24 - 6 14 - 4 +9.5 -6.3 +15.5
  Mar 15, 2013 92   LSU W 80-58 91%     25 - 6 +27.1 +11.6 +16.0
  Mar 16, 2013 68   Alabama W 61-51 88%     26 - 6 +17.4 +13.1 +7.4
  Mar 17, 2013 32   Mississippi L 63-66 79%     26 - 7 +8.7 -3.9 +12.5
Projected Record 26.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.5 3.0 6.5 40.8 39.5 9.3 0.9 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.5 3.0 6.5 40.8 39.5 9.3 0.9 0.0 100.0%