Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.9#22
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#15
Pace64.5#240
Improvement+1.7#101

Offense
Total Offense+8.3#16
Improvement-0.6#192

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#57
Improvement+2.2#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 73.4% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 4.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round71.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.0% n/a n/a
Final Four5.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 267   Colgate W 84-63 97%     1 - 0 +11.7 +6.4 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2012 280   SE Louisiana W 64-53 97%     2 - 0 +0.4 -11.6 +12.3
  Nov 19, 2012 44   Butler L 71-72 60%     2 - 1 +9.2 +6.4 +2.8
  Nov 20, 2012 237   Mississippi St. W 89-62 94%     3 - 1 +22.6 +16.5 +5.5
  Nov 21, 2012 100   USC W 72-64 78%     4 - 1 +12.7 +10.4 +3.1
  Nov 26, 2012 303   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 79-46 98%     5 - 1 +20.5 +1.0 +20.0
  Nov 29, 2012 2   @ Florida L 49-82 16%     5 - 2 -9.5 -5.0 -9.1
  Dec 08, 2012 14   Wisconsin W 60-50 54%     6 - 2 +21.9 +0.7 +21.8
  Dec 15, 2012 221   Savannah St. W 71-51 95%     7 - 2 +13.4 +4.3 +9.2
  Dec 19, 2012 126   @ Green Bay L 47-49 75%     7 - 3 +3.9 -10.9 +14.3
  Dec 22, 2012 92   LSU W 84-80 85%     8 - 3 +5.9 +5.4 +0.1
  Dec 29, 2012 177   NC Central W 75-66 93%     9 - 3 +5.2 +4.9 +0.5
  Jan 01, 2013 51   Connecticut W 82-76 OT 73%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +12.6 +8.3 +4.0
  Jan 05, 2013 13   Georgetown W 49-48 54%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +13.0 -0.8 +14.1
  Jan 12, 2013 8   @ Pittsburgh W 74-67 OT 26%     12 - 3 3 - 0 +26.7 +12.6 +14.3
  Jan 16, 2013 113   Seton Hall W 69-62 87%     13 - 3 4 - 0 +7.5 +3.0 +5.1
  Jan 19, 2013 38   @ Cincinnati L 69-71 OT 44%     13 - 4 4 - 1 +12.5 +5.5 +7.1
  Jan 26, 2013 63   Providence W 81-71 79%     14 - 4 5 - 1 +14.5 +16.2 -1.1
  Jan 28, 2013 124   South Florida W 63-50 89%     15 - 4 6 - 1 +12.5 -1.2 +15.5
  Feb 03, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 51-70 15%     15 - 5 6 - 2 +5.2 -2.6 +6.0
  Feb 06, 2013 124   @ South Florida W 70-47 75%     16 - 5 7 - 2 +29.0 +11.4 +21.2
  Feb 09, 2013 165   DePaul W 89-78 92%     17 - 5 8 - 2 +7.8 +17.5 -9.1
  Feb 11, 2013 13   @ Georgetown L 55-63 30%     17 - 6 8 - 3 +10.4 -1.7 +11.7
  Feb 16, 2013 8   Pittsburgh W 79-69 49%     18 - 6 9 - 3 +23.2 +21.2 +3.2
  Feb 19, 2013 113   @ Seton Hall W 67-46 71%     19 - 6 10 - 3 +28.0 +7.6 +23.3
  Feb 23, 2013 49   @ Villanova L 56-60 49%     19 - 7 10 - 4 +9.2 -2.3 +11.1
  Feb 25, 2013 11   Syracuse W 74-71 53%     20 - 7 11 - 4 +15.1 +17.0 -1.5
  Mar 02, 2013 30   Notre Dame W 72-64 65%     21 - 7 12 - 4 +16.9 +3.0 +14.1
  Mar 05, 2013 98   @ Rutgers W 60-54 68%     22 - 7 13 - 4 +14.0 +1.6 +13.5
  Mar 09, 2013 97   @ St. John's W 69-67 OT 68%     23 - 7 14 - 4 +10.0 +1.7 +8.2
  Mar 14, 2013 30   Notre Dame L 65-73 53%     23 - 8 +4.2 -2.6 +6.5
Projected Record 23.0 - 8.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.1 0.8 22.5 50.0 24.1 2.5 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4.0 0.1 0.8 22.5 50.0 24.1 2.5 0.0 100.0%