Pre-tourney Rankings
Villanova
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#49
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#50
Pace71.4#88
Improvement+7.8#3

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#112
Improvement+1.8#88

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#20
Improvement+5.9#7
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 86.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 86.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four6.0% n/a n/a
First Round83.3% n/a n/a
Second Round33.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.1% n/a n/a
Final Four1.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2012 224   Marshall W 80-68 93%     1 - 0 +5.2 -0.8 +5.5
  Nov 15, 2012 73   Purdue W 89-81 OT 61%     2 - 0 +15.0 +1.7 +11.5
  Nov 16, 2012 68   Alabama L 55-77 60%     2 - 1 -14.6 -9.1 -6.4
  Nov 20, 2012 201   Columbia L 57-75 91%     2 - 2 -23.0 -17.3 -6.0
  Nov 25, 2012 55   @ La Salle L 74-77 OT 42%     2 - 3 +9.1 +2.0 +7.3
  Dec 01, 2012 84   @ Vanderbilt W 62-52 54%     3 - 3 +18.9 +3.0 +17.2
  Dec 05, 2012 58   Temple L 61-76 68%     3 - 4 -9.9 -13.8 +4.5
  Dec 08, 2012 244   @ Penn W 68-55 86%     4 - 4 +11.5 +0.8 +11.5
  Dec 11, 2012 75   Saint Joseph's W 65-61 73%     5 - 4 +7.5 -6.5 +14.0
  Dec 16, 2012 168   Delaware W 75-65 89%     6 - 4 +6.7 +0.7 +6.2
  Dec 22, 2012 308   @ Monmouth W 83-56 93%     7 - 4 +20.7 +6.6 +13.0
  Dec 28, 2012 266   NJIT W 70-60 95%     8 - 4 +0.7 -7.6 +8.0
  Jan 02, 2013 97   St. John's W 98-86 OT 79%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +13.6 +13.2 -1.7
  Jan 09, 2013 124   @ South Florida W 61-53 65%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +14.0 +0.1 +15.0
  Jan 12, 2013 11   @ Syracuse L 61-72 21%     10 - 5 2 - 1 +7.5 -2.4 +9.8
  Jan 16, 2013 8   Pittsburgh L 43-58 38%     10 - 6 2 - 2 -1.8 -22.8 +20.5
  Jan 19, 2013 63   @ Providence L 66-69 46%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +8.0 -7.2 +15.5
  Jan 22, 2013 1   Louisville W 73-64 23%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +26.7 +5.0 +21.0
  Jan 26, 2013 11   Syracuse W 75-71 OT 42%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +16.1 +6.7 +9.3
  Jan 30, 2013 30   @ Notre Dame L 60-65 30%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +10.4 +2.3 +7.3
  Feb 03, 2013 63   Providence L 52-55 70%     12 - 9 4 - 5 +1.5 -15.2 +16.6
  Feb 05, 2013 165   @ DePaul W 94-71 74%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +26.3 +14.1 +10.6
  Feb 09, 2013 124   South Florida W 68-40 84%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +27.5 +0.7 +29.1
  Feb 12, 2013 38   @ Cincinnati L 50-68 33%     14 - 10 6 - 6 -3.5 -9.9 +5.5
  Feb 16, 2013 51   @ Connecticut W 70-61 38%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +22.1 +8.6 +14.1
  Feb 18, 2013 98   Rutgers W 71-63 79%     16 - 10 8 - 6 +9.5 +9.7 +1.1
  Feb 23, 2013 22   Marquette W 60-56 51%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +13.6 -3.9 +18.0
  Feb 25, 2013 113   @ Seton Hall L 65-66 61%     17 - 11 9 - 7 +6.0 -2.3 +8.3
  Mar 03, 2013 8   @ Pittsburgh L 64-73 OT 18%     17 - 12 9 - 8 +10.7 +3.7 +6.5
  Mar 06, 2013 13   Georgetown W 67-57 42%     18 - 12 10 - 8 +22.0 +9.8 +13.0
  Mar 13, 2013 97   St. John's W 66-53 69%     19 - 12 +17.8 -0.9 +18.6
  Mar 14, 2013 1   Louisville L 55-74 15%     19 - 13 +2.0 -9.0 +12.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 86.2% 86.2% 10.1 0.2 6.4 17.0 29.5 26.6 6.5 0.0 13.8 86.2%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 86.2% 0.0% 86.2% 10.1 0.2 6.4 17.0 29.5 26.6 6.5 0.0 13.8 86.2%