Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#63
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#76
Pace67.7#165
Improvement+1.6#107

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#83
Improvement+0.3#153

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#64
Improvement+1.3#106
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.5% n/a n/a
First Round0.2% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 266   NJIT W 64-63 93%     1 - 0 -8.3 -12.4 +4.1
  Nov 12, 2012 172   Bryant W 81-49 85%     2 - 0 +28.5 +8.5 +23.0
  Nov 15, 2012 78   Massachusetts L 75-77 57%     2 - 1 +4.1 +6.1 -2.1
  Nov 16, 2012 143   Penn St. L 52-55 OT 72%     2 - 2 -1.4 -14.6 +12.8
  Nov 18, 2012 215   UNC Asheville W 72-67 84%     3 - 2 +2.0 -3.5 +5.4
  Nov 23, 2012 155   Fairfield W 66-47 84%     4 - 2 +16.4 +1.1 +16.7
  Nov 27, 2012 232   Holy Cross W 61-42 91%     5 - 2 +11.7 -9.5 +23.1
  Dec 01, 2012 237   Mississippi St. W 73-63 92%     6 - 2 +2.4 -0.5 +2.7
  Dec 06, 2012 185   Rhode Island W 72-57 87%     7 - 2 +10.8 -6.6 +16.4
  Dec 18, 2012 267   Colgate W 79-45 94%     8 - 2 +24.7 +5.1 +21.1
  Dec 22, 2012 93   @ Boston College L 68-71 48%     8 - 3 +5.3 -1.4 +6.6
  Dec 28, 2012 222   @ Brown L 68-69 78%     8 - 4 -1.2 +3.7 -5.0
  Jan 02, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 62-80 7%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +6.2 +7.6 -2.6
  Jan 05, 2013 165   DePaul L 73-83 85%     8 - 6 0 - 2 -13.2 -16.0 +4.5
  Jan 09, 2013 11   Syracuse L 66-72 34%     8 - 7 0 - 3 +6.1 +5.8 -0.4
  Jan 13, 2013 113   @ Seton Hall W 67-55 53%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +19.0 +4.8 +15.3
  Jan 16, 2013 13   @ Georgetown L 65-74 16%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +9.4 +6.2 +3.1
  Jan 19, 2013 49   Villanova W 69-66 54%     10 - 8 2 - 4 +9.7 -4.5 +14.0
  Jan 22, 2013 8   Pittsburgh L 64-68 30%     10 - 9 2 - 5 +9.2 +3.1 +5.7
  Jan 26, 2013 22   @ Marquette L 71-81 21%     10 - 10 2 - 6 +6.1 +9.2 -3.7
  Jan 31, 2013 51   Connecticut L 79-82 OT 55%     10 - 11 2 - 7 +3.6 +3.5 +0.4
  Feb 03, 2013 49   @ Villanova W 55-52 30%     11 - 11 3 - 7 +16.2 -5.6 +22.0
  Feb 06, 2013 38   Cincinnati W 54-50 49%     12 - 11 4 - 7 +12.0 -0.2 +13.0
  Feb 13, 2013 124   @ South Florida W 76-66 57%     13 - 11 5 - 7 +16.0 +15.9 +1.3
  Feb 16, 2013 30   Notre Dame W 71-54 45%     14 - 11 6 - 7 +25.9 +7.5 +20.1
  Feb 20, 2013 11   @ Syracuse L 59-84 16%     14 - 12 6 - 8 -6.5 -8.8 +3.9
  Feb 23, 2013 98   @ Rutgers W 76-72 49%     15 - 12 7 - 8 +12.0 +10.4 +1.8
  Mar 02, 2013 97   St. John's W 62-59 72%     16 - 12 8 - 8 +4.6 -6.1 +10.6
  Mar 05, 2013 113   Seton Hall W 76-66 76%     17 - 12 9 - 8 +10.5 +3.6 +6.8
  Mar 09, 2013 51   @ Connecticut L 59-63 OT 30%     17 - 13 9 - 9 +9.1 -6.8 +15.8
  Mar 13, 2013 38   Cincinnati L 44-61 37%     17 - 14 -5.8 -13.6 +5.4
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 0.5% 0.5% 12.2 0.4 0.1 99.5 0.5%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 12.2 0.4 0.1 99.5 0.5%