Pre-tourney Rankings
Pittsburgh
Big East
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#8
Expected Predictive Rating+13.3#23
Pace55.9#341
Improvement-2.3#265

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#11
Improvement-3.1#297

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#22
Improvement+0.9#125
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 2.7% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 39.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.5% n/a n/a
Second Round71.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen37.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight21.2% n/a n/a
Final Four10.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game5.2% n/a n/a
National Champion2.4% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 204   Mount St. Mary's W 80-48 97%     1 - 0 +26.7 +19.2 +14.0
  Nov 12, 2012 248   Fordham W 86-51 98%     2 - 0 +26.6 +17.6 +12.7
  Nov 13, 2012 106   Lehigh W 78-53 92%     3 - 0 +26.0 +13.4 +15.4
  Nov 17, 2012 206   Oakland W 72-62 OT 97%     4 - 0 +4.6 -3.3 +8.5
  Nov 21, 2012 9   Michigan L 62-67 51%     4 - 1 +11.1 +0.6 +9.9
  Nov 23, 2012 168   Delaware W 85-59 93%     5 - 1 +26.0 +25.4 +5.0
  Nov 27, 2012 327   Howard W 70-46 99%     6 - 1 +8.6 +3.0 +8.0
  Dec 01, 2012 69   Detroit Mercy W 74-61 87%     7 - 1 +17.1 +7.6 +11.0
  Dec 05, 2012 240   Duquesne W 66-45 96%     8 - 1 +16.5 -3.4 +21.9
  Dec 08, 2012 257   North Florida W 89-47 98%     9 - 1 +33.2 +23.6 +15.8
  Dec 15, 2012 273   Bethune-Cookman W 89-40 98%     10 - 1 +39.0 +30.7 +19.4
  Dec 19, 2012 283   Delaware St. W 71-43 99%     11 - 1 +17.3 +18.3 +9.1
  Dec 23, 2012 336   Kennesaw St. W 59-43 99.5%    12 - 1 -1.7 -5.2 +8.1
  Dec 31, 2012 38   Cincinnati L 61-70 79%     12 - 2 0 - 1 -1.0 +2.5 -4.5
  Jan 05, 2013 98   @ Rutgers L 62-67 79%     12 - 3 0 - 2 +3.0 -0.6 +3.0
  Jan 08, 2013 13   @ Georgetown W 73-45 42%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +46.4 +26.9 +24.8
  Jan 12, 2013 22   Marquette L 67-74 OT 74%     13 - 4 1 - 3 +2.6 -0.6 +3.0
  Jan 16, 2013 49   @ Villanova W 58-43 62%     14 - 4 2 - 3 +28.2 -4.0 +32.7
  Jan 19, 2013 51   Connecticut W 69-61 82%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +14.6 +8.3 +7.3
  Jan 22, 2013 63   @ Providence W 68-64 70%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +15.0 +7.6 +7.8
  Jan 26, 2013 165   DePaul W 93-55 96%     17 - 4 5 - 3 +34.8 +2.0 +26.9
  Jan 28, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 61-64 23%     17 - 5 5 - 4 +21.2 +15.3 +5.3
  Feb 02, 2013 11   Syracuse W 65-55 66%     18 - 5 6 - 4 +22.1 +3.0 +19.8
  Feb 04, 2013 113   Seton Hall W 56-46 92%     19 - 5 7 - 4 +10.5 -5.5 +17.8
  Feb 09, 2013 38   @ Cincinnati W 62-52 58%     20 - 5 8 - 4 +24.5 +8.7 +17.3
  Feb 16, 2013 22   @ Marquette L 69-79 51%     20 - 6 8 - 5 +6.1 +10.5 -5.5
  Feb 18, 2013 30   Notre Dame L 42-51 76%     20 - 7 8 - 6 -0.1 -19.1 +17.0
  Feb 24, 2013 97   @ St. John's W 63-47 79%     21 - 7 9 - 6 +24.0 +3.3 +22.0
  Feb 27, 2013 124   South Florida W 64-44 93%     22 - 7 10 - 6 +19.5 +3.6 +19.8
  Mar 03, 2013 49   Villanova W 73-64 OT 82%     23 - 7 11 - 6 +15.7 +10.0 +6.2
  Mar 09, 2013 165   @ DePaul W 81-66 89%     24 - 7 12 - 6 +18.3 +22.2 -1.3
  Mar 14, 2013 11   Syracuse L 59-62 54%     24 - 8 +12.3 +5.1 +6.6
Projected Record 24.0 - 8.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.5% 99.5% 6.7 0.3 2.4 12.8 23.8 40.6 15.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 99.5%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.5% 0.0% 99.5% 6.7 0.3 2.4 12.8 23.8 40.6 15.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 0.5 99.5%