Pre-tourney Rankings
Creighton
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.5#15
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#24
Pace65.4#220
Improvement-4.8#322

Offense
Total Offense+11.5#5
Improvement-3.1#294

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#91
Improvement-1.7#261
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 25.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round63.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen27.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight14.3% n/a n/a
Final Four6.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.6% n/a n/a
National Champion1.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 261   North Texas W 71-51 98%     1 - 0 +11.0 -4.1 +15.4
  Nov 14, 2012 167   UAB W 77-60 94%     2 - 0 +13.7 +8.2 +6.5
  Nov 18, 2012 338   Presbyterian W 87-58 99%     3 - 0 +11.2 +15.3 +0.3
  Nov 20, 2012 341   Longwood W 105-57 99%     4 - 0 +29.6 +13.6 +13.0
  Nov 23, 2012 14   Wisconsin W 84-74 48%     5 - 0 +25.1 +24.2 +1.1
  Nov 24, 2012 71   Arizona St. W 87-73 76%     6 - 0 +21.1 +6.0 +13.3
  Nov 28, 2012 47   Boise St. L 70-83 77%     6 - 1 -6.2 +3.0 -10.0
  Dec 01, 2012 75   Saint Joseph's W 80-51 85%     7 - 1 +32.5 +10.4 +23.0
  Dec 06, 2012 123   @ Nebraska W 64-42 79%     8 - 1 +28.1 +1.3 +28.8
  Dec 09, 2012 56   Akron W 77-61 80%     9 - 1 +21.5 +14.3 +8.4
  Dec 15, 2012 57   @ California W 74-64 61%     10 - 1 +21.7 +3.9 +17.2
  Dec 19, 2012 175   Tulsa W 71-54 95%     11 - 1 +13.2 -2.6 +15.6
  Dec 29, 2012 79   Evansville W 87-70 86%     12 - 1 1 - 0 +19.8 +17.5 +2.5
  Jan 02, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. W 79-72 64%     13 - 1 2 - 0 +17.9 +13.2 +4.9
  Jan 05, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 79-66 88%     14 - 1 3 - 0 +14.7 +18.0 -1.8
  Jan 08, 2013 118   Drake W 91-61 91%     15 - 1 4 - 0 +30.0 +19.9 +11.3
  Jan 11, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. W 74-52 88%     16 - 1 5 - 0 +23.6 +16.0 +12.1
  Jan 15, 2013 64   Northern Iowa W 79-68 83%     17 - 1 6 - 0 +15.5 +11.9 +3.9
  Jan 19, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. L 64-67 49%     17 - 2 6 - 1 +11.9 +1.5 +10.3
  Jan 23, 2013 118   @ Drake L 69-74 78%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +1.5 -3.4 +4.9
  Jan 27, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois W 81-51 85%     18 - 3 7 - 2 +33.5 +17.9 +18.8
  Jan 30, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 91-77 95%     19 - 3 8 - 2 +9.2 +22.2 -11.9
  Feb 02, 2013 159   Bradley W 75-58 94%     20 - 3 9 - 2 +14.3 +10.1 +6.3
  Feb 06, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. L 57-76 73%     20 - 4 9 - 3 -10.8 -3.8 -9.1
  Feb 09, 2013 65   Illinois St. L 72-75 83%     20 - 5 9 - 4 +1.4 +3.8 -2.5
  Feb 13, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa L 54-61 64%     20 - 6 9 - 5 +4.0 -7.7 +11.1
  Feb 16, 2013 79   @ Evansville W 71-68 70%     21 - 6 10 - 5 +12.3 +10.8 +1.7
  Feb 19, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 59-45 94%     22 - 6 11 - 5 +11.0 -6.4 +19.7
  Feb 23, 2013 23   @ St. Mary's L 66-74 44%     22 - 7 +8.1 +5.1 +2.1
  Feb 27, 2013 159   @ Bradley W 80-62 84%     23 - 7 12 - 5 +21.8 +13.1 +9.6
  Mar 02, 2013 34   Wichita St. W 91-79 72%     24 - 7 13 - 5 +20.4 +29.6 -8.4
  Mar 08, 2013 118   Drake W 65-53 85%     25 - 7 +15.2 -2.9 +19.1
  Mar 09, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 64-43 82%     26 - 7 +25.9 +7.2 +22.6
  Mar 10, 2013 34   Wichita St. W 68-65 61%     27 - 7 +14.6 +11.4 +3.6
Projected Record 27.0 - 7.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 7.1 0.0 0.4 5.4 19.6 41.6 25.3 6.6 1.0 0.1
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 7.1 0.0 0.4 5.4 19.6 41.6 25.3 6.6 1.0 0.1