Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.0#79
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#96
Pace66.5#195
Improvement+4.2#34

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#119
Improvement+2.8#60

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#75
Improvement+1.4#102
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2012 30   @ Notre Dame L 49-58 19%     0 - 1 +6.4 -14.2 +19.8
  Nov 15, 2012 179   Buffalo L 50-56 82%     0 - 2 -9.9 -23.4 +13.2
  Nov 16, 2012 188   Yale W 66-56 84%     1 - 2 +5.6 -0.1 +7.1
  Nov 17, 2012 176   Western Illinois W 49-44 74%     2 - 2 +4.4 -9.4 +14.9
  Nov 20, 2012 278   @ Tennessee Tech W 62-50 82%     3 - 2 +8.3 -0.2 +10.7
  Nov 26, 2012 339   Alabama A&M W 72-46 98%     4 - 2 +8.0 -5.7 +14.7
  Dec 01, 2012 24   @ Colorado St. L 72-79 18%     4 - 3 +8.9 +4.1 +4.8
  Dec 05, 2012 239   Miami (OH) W 94-68 89%     5 - 3 +18.3 +25.5 -5.1
  Dec 08, 2012 139   Murray St. L 70-82 77%     5 - 4 -13.6 -6.5 -6.7
  Dec 15, 2012 333   Alabama St. W 80-67 97%     6 - 4 -4.1 -2.3 -2.0
  Dec 22, 2012 44   @ Butler L 67-75 24%     6 - 5 +5.4 -1.7 +7.3
  Dec 29, 2012 15   @ Creighton L 70-87 14%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +0.8 +2.8 -2.2
  Jan 02, 2013 197   Missouri St. W 62-59 OT 85%     7 - 6 1 - 1 -1.8 -11.3 +9.6
  Jan 05, 2013 161   Southern Illinois W 85-68 80%     8 - 6 2 - 1 +14.0 +18.2 -2.5
  Jan 09, 2013 64   @ Northern Iowa W 62-59 32%     9 - 6 3 - 1 +14.0 +3.9 +10.5
  Jan 13, 2013 34   Wichita St. W 71-67 41%     10 - 6 4 - 1 +12.4 +5.0 +7.4
  Jan 16, 2013 118   @ Drake L 69-83 48%     10 - 7 4 - 2 -7.5 -10.1 +4.0
  Jan 19, 2013 96   @ Indiana St. L 62-72 42%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -1.8 +2.3 -5.3
  Jan 23, 2013 159   Bradley W 66-56 80%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +7.3 -2.1 +10.3
  Jan 26, 2013 65   @ Illinois St. L 62-67 32%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +5.9 -5.1 +10.8
  Jan 29, 2013 64   Northern Iowa W 54-51 OT 56%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +7.5 -12.7 +20.4
  Feb 02, 2013 197   @ Missouri St. L 61-62 66%     12 - 10 6 - 5 +0.6 -7.0 +7.6
  Feb 05, 2013 159   @ Bradley L 70-76 59%     12 - 11 6 - 6 -2.2 -1.1 -1.1
  Feb 10, 2013 118   Drake W 84-78 OT 72%     13 - 11 7 - 6 +6.0 +1.2 +4.2
  Feb 13, 2013 161   @ Southern Illinois L 56-65 60%     13 - 12 7 - 7 -5.5 -10.9 +4.6
  Feb 16, 2013 15   Creighton L 68-71 30%     13 - 13 7 - 8 +8.3 +3.5 +4.5
  Feb 20, 2013 65   Illinois St. W 79-62 56%     14 - 13 8 - 8 +21.4 +5.8 +15.3
  Feb 23, 2013 129   @ Wright St. W 70-58 51%     15 - 13 +17.7 +10.9 +7.9
  Feb 27, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. W 59-56 20%     16 - 13 9 - 8 +17.9 +2.6 +15.6
  Mar 02, 2013 96   Indiana St. W 84-68 66%     17 - 13 10 - 8 +17.7 +8.0 +8.6
  Mar 08, 2013 96   Indiana St. L 50-51 54%     17 - 14 +3.9 -7.9 +11.6
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%