Pre-tourney Rankings
Indiana
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+20.0#3
Expected Predictive Rating+17.8#5
Pace73.1#56
Improvement-5.3#328

Offense
Total Offense+13.3#1
Improvement-3.4#313

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#27
Improvement-1.9#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 16.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 59.4% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 94.8% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round97.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen76.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight55.2% n/a n/a
Final Four36.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game22.9% n/a n/a
National Champion13.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 172   Bryant W 97-54 98%     1 - 0 +39.5 +9.2 +26.9
  Nov 12, 2012 94   North Dakota St. W 87-61 95%     2 - 0 +27.8 +16.5 +11.3
  Nov 15, 2012 235   Sam Houston St. W 99-45 99%     3 - 0 +46.5 +30.1 +18.6
  Nov 19, 2012 101   Georgia W 66-53 92%     4 - 0 +17.6 +4.0 +14.8
  Nov 20, 2012 13   Georgetown W 82-72 OT 68%     5 - 0 +25.2 +17.8 +7.1
  Nov 25, 2012 245   Ball St. W 101-53 99%     6 - 0 +40.0 +15.3 +21.2
  Nov 27, 2012 26   North Carolina W 83-59 84%     7 - 0 +33.3 +5.3 +25.7
  Dec 01, 2012 317   Coppin St. W 87-51 99%     8 - 0 +22.6 +9.4 +13.4
  Dec 08, 2012 265   Central Connecticut St. W 100-69 99%     9 - 0 +21.7 +8.2 +9.6
  Dec 15, 2012 44   Butler L 86-88 OT 82%     9 - 1 +8.2 +7.2 +1.3
  Dec 19, 2012 204   Mount St. Mary's W 93-54 98%     10 - 1 +33.7 +14.0 +18.9
  Dec 21, 2012 234   Florida Atlantic W 88-52 99%     11 - 1 +28.6 +10.1 +17.8
  Dec 28, 2012 296   Jacksonville W 93-59 99%     12 - 1 +22.1 +7.5 +11.9
  Dec 31, 2012 36   @ Iowa W 69-65 70%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +18.6 -0.9 +19.2
  Jan 07, 2013 143   @ Penn St. W 74-51 92%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +27.8 +3.7 +24.0
  Jan 12, 2013 27   Minnesota W 88-81 85%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +16.1 +12.0 +3.5
  Jan 15, 2013 14   Wisconsin L 59-64 78%     15 - 2 3 - 1 +6.9 +5.5 +0.6
  Jan 20, 2013 125   @ Northwestern W 67-59 90%     16 - 2 4 - 1 +14.0 +14.3 +1.7
  Jan 23, 2013 143   Penn St. W 72-49 97%     17 - 2 5 - 1 +21.3 +1.3 +20.8
  Jan 27, 2013 10   Michigan St. W 75-70 77%     18 - 2 6 - 1 +17.3 +8.6 +8.7
  Jan 30, 2013 73   @ Purdue W 97-60 82%     19 - 2 7 - 1 +47.3 +30.4 +16.5
  Feb 02, 2013 9   Michigan W 81-73 75%     20 - 2 8 - 1 +20.9 +9.1 +11.7
  Feb 07, 2013 48   @ Illinois L 72-74 74%     20 - 3 8 - 2 +11.2 +11.7 -0.6
  Feb 10, 2013 7   @ Ohio St. W 81-68 51%     21 - 3 9 - 2 +32.9 +22.7 +10.8
  Feb 13, 2013 123   Nebraska W 76-47 96%     22 - 3 10 - 2 +28.6 +19.2 +15.1
  Feb 16, 2013 73   Purdue W 83-55 93%     23 - 3 11 - 2 +31.8 +14.7 +17.2
  Feb 19, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. W 72-68 55%     24 - 3 12 - 2 +22.8 +10.1 +12.8
  Feb 26, 2013 27   @ Minnesota L 73-77 67%     24 - 4 12 - 3 +11.6 +11.0 +0.5
  Mar 02, 2013 36   Iowa W 73-60 86%     25 - 4 13 - 3 +21.2 +3.9 +16.9
  Mar 05, 2013 7   Ohio St. L 58-67 74%     25 - 5 13 - 4 +4.4 -2.8 +6.4
  Mar 10, 2013 9   @ Michigan W 72-71 53%     26 - 5 14 - 4 +20.3 +6.4 +13.9
  Mar 15, 2013 48   Illinois W 80-64 83%     27 - 5 +26.0 +13.9 +12.5
  Mar 16, 2013 14   Wisconsin L 56-68 68%     27 - 6 +3.1 -0.2 +2.2
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.5 59.4 35.4 5.2 0.1 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.5 59.4 35.4 5.2 0.1 100.0%