Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.0#48
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#30
Pace67.8#162
Improvement-1.8#251

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#53
Improvement-3.6#318

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#56
Improvement+1.8#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round97.8% n/a n/a
Second Round41.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen9.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight3.5% n/a n/a
Final Four1.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.2% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 267   Colgate W 75-55 95%     1 - 0 +10.7 -3.7 +14.0
  Nov 12, 2012 227   St. Francis Brooklyn W 89-64 93%     2 - 0 +18.0 +12.2 +6.2
  Nov 17, 2012 192   @ Hawaii W 78-77 OT 78%     3 - 0 +3.0 -3.0 +5.9
  Nov 19, 2012 100   USC W 94-64 70%     4 - 0 +34.7 +19.1 +13.6
  Nov 21, 2012 44   Butler W 78-61 49%     5 - 0 +27.2 +17.7 +11.2
  Nov 25, 2012 198   Gardner-Webb W 63-62 91%     6 - 0 -3.9 -8.2 +4.3
  Nov 28, 2012 102   Georgia Tech W 75-62 80%     7 - 0 +14.3 +7.2 +7.3
  Dec 04, 2012 256   Western Carolina W 72-64 95%     8 - 0 -0.7 -5.5 +4.9
  Dec 08, 2012 4   @ Gonzaga W 85-74 12%     9 - 0 +33.5 +21.9 +11.7
  Dec 11, 2012 217   Norfolk St. W 64-54 93%     10 - 0 +3.7 -4.5 +8.9
  Dec 16, 2012 122   Eastern Kentucky W 66-53 83%     11 - 0 +12.7 -8.6 +21.8
  Dec 22, 2012 19   Missouri L 73-82 37%     11 - 1 +4.5 -2.4 +7.9
  Dec 29, 2012 195   Auburn W 81-79 86%     12 - 1 +0.5 +3.6 -3.2
  Jan 02, 2013 73   @ Purdue L 61-68 49%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +3.3 -1.2 +4.1
  Jan 05, 2013 7   Ohio St. W 74-55 37%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +32.4 +4.0 +27.4
  Jan 09, 2013 27   Minnesota L 67-84 53%     13 - 3 1 - 2 -7.9 -1.8 -6.0
  Jan 12, 2013 14   @ Wisconsin L 51-74 21%     13 - 4 1 - 3 -4.6 -0.1 -8.5
  Jan 17, 2013 125   Northwestern L 54-68 84%     13 - 5 1 - 4 -14.5 -12.9 -3.3
  Jan 22, 2013 123   @ Nebraska W 71-51 65%     14 - 5 2 - 4 +26.1 +9.7 +18.5
  Jan 27, 2013 9   Michigan L 60-74 39%     14 - 6 2 - 5 -1.1 -8.2 +6.5
  Jan 31, 2013 10   @ Michigan St. L 75-80 20%     14 - 7 2 - 6 +13.8 +17.0 -3.6
  Feb 03, 2013 14   Wisconsin L 68-74 43%     14 - 8 2 - 7 +5.9 +4.5 +1.4
  Feb 07, 2013 3   Indiana W 74-72 26%     15 - 8 3 - 7 +18.8 +12.8 +6.1
  Feb 10, 2013 27   @ Minnesota W 57-53 29%     16 - 8 4 - 7 +19.6 +4.9 +15.6
  Feb 13, 2013 73   Purdue W 79-59 73%     17 - 8 5 - 7 +23.8 +11.2 +12.8
  Feb 17, 2013 125   @ Northwestern W 62-41 65%     18 - 8 6 - 7 +27.0 -0.7 +30.1
  Feb 21, 2013 143   Penn St. W 64-59 86%     19 - 8 7 - 7 +3.3 -3.1 +6.9
  Feb 24, 2013 9   @ Michigan L 58-71 19%     19 - 9 7 - 8 +6.3 -3.3 +8.3
  Mar 02, 2013 123   Nebraska W 72-65 83%     20 - 9 8 - 8 +6.6 +7.8 -0.4
  Mar 05, 2013 36   @ Iowa L 55-63 33%     20 - 10 8 - 9 +6.6 -8.1 +14.7
  Mar 10, 2013 7   @ Ohio St. L 55-68 18%     20 - 11 8 - 10 +6.9 -3.0 +8.7
  Mar 14, 2013 27   Minnesota W 51-49 41%     21 - 11 +14.4 -0.9 +15.9
  Mar 15, 2013 3   Indiana L 64-80 17%     21 - 12 +4.0 -0.3 +3.9
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 97.9% 97.9% 8.7 0.0 0.8 7.3 32.4 35.8 17.9 3.5 0.1 2.1 97.9%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.9% 0.0% 97.9% 8.7 0.0 0.8 7.3 32.4 35.8 17.9 3.5 0.1 2.1 97.9%