Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.3#4
Expected Predictive Rating+21.3#1
Pace66.3#198
Improvement+1.1#125

Offense
Total Offense+11.9#3
Improvement-1.2#217

Defense
Total Defense+7.4#21
Improvement+2.3#55
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 15.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 57.5% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 91.6% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round96.8% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen73.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight51.1% n/a n/a
Final Four32.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game19.2% n/a n/a
National Champion10.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 313   Southern Utah W 103-65 99%     1 - 0 +24.9 +11.0 +8.3
  Nov 12, 2012 121   West Virginia W 84-50 95%     2 - 0 +33.9 +10.9 +23.0
  Nov 18, 2012 247   South Dakota W 96-58 99%     3 - 0 +29.7 +0.9 +23.4
  Nov 22, 2012 111   Clemson W 57-49 92%     4 - 0 +11.9 -1.2 +14.5
  Nov 23, 2012 43   Oklahoma W 72-47 80%     5 - 0 +35.2 +6.4 +29.9
  Nov 25, 2012 70   Davidson W 81-67 87%     6 - 0 +21.2 +7.0 +14.0
  Dec 01, 2012 115   Pacific W 85-67 95%     7 - 0 +18.3 +17.6 +2.1
  Dec 05, 2012 91   @ Washington St. W 71-69 84%     8 - 0 +10.5 +2.8 +7.8
  Dec 08, 2012 48   Illinois L 74-85 88%     8 - 1 -4.2 +4.8 -9.1
  Dec 15, 2012 25   Kansas St. W 68-52 74%     9 - 1 +28.6 +2.5 +26.8
  Dec 19, 2012 298   Campbell W 74-52 99%     10 - 1 +9.8 -1.5 +12.7
  Dec 28, 2012 37   Baylor W 94-87 85%     11 - 1 +15.0 +16.0 -1.6
  Dec 31, 2012 21   @ Oklahoma St. W 69-68 60%     12 - 1 +17.6 +15.4 +2.4
  Jan 03, 2013 218   @ Pepperdine W 78-62 95%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +16.1 +12.1 +5.1
  Jan 05, 2013 81   @ Santa Clara W 81-74 83%     14 - 1 2 - 0 +16.0 +19.9 -3.1
  Jan 10, 2013 23   St. Mary's W 83-78 82%     15 - 1 3 - 0 +14.6 +12.9 +1.7
  Jan 17, 2013 253   @ Portland W 71-49 97%     16 - 1 4 - 0 +19.9 +8.8 +14.0
  Jan 19, 2013 44   @ Butler L 63-64 71%     16 - 2 +12.4 +8.1 +4.2
  Jan 24, 2013 62   BYU W 83-63 91%     17 - 2 5 - 0 +24.8 +10.6 +13.7
  Jan 26, 2013 136   San Francisco W 66-52 96%     18 - 2 6 - 0 +12.8 -5.0 +18.8
  Jan 31, 2013 207   @ Loyola Marymount W 88-43 95%     19 - 2 7 - 0 +45.9 +22.7 +26.0
  Feb 02, 2013 162   @ San Diego W 65-63 92%     20 - 2 8 - 0 +5.4 -0.4 +6.0
  Feb 07, 2013 218   Pepperdine W 82-56 98%     21 - 2 9 - 0 +19.6 +13.2 +8.3
  Feb 09, 2013 207   Loyola Marymount W 74-55 98%     22 - 2 10 - 0 +13.5 +6.6 +8.5
  Feb 14, 2013 23   @ St. Mary's W 77-60 62%     23 - 2 11 - 0 +33.1 +19.5 +16.0
  Feb 16, 2013 136   @ San Francisco W 71-61 90%     24 - 2 12 - 0 +15.3 +2.3 +13.5
  Feb 20, 2013 81   Santa Clara W 85-42 93%     25 - 2 13 - 0 +45.5 +21.1 +29.3
  Feb 23, 2013 162   San Diego W 81-50 97%     26 - 2 14 - 0 +27.9 +12.9 +17.6
  Feb 28, 2013 62   @ BYU W 70-65 78%     27 - 2 15 - 0 +16.2 +4.0 +12.3
  Mar 02, 2013 253   Portland W 81-52 99%     28 - 2 16 - 0 +20.4 +13.1 +9.8
  Mar 09, 2013 207   Loyola Marymount W 66-48 97%     29 - 2 +15.7 -0.5 +17.8
  Mar 11, 2013 23   St. Mary's W 65-51 73%     30 - 2 +26.8 +7.9 +21.7
Projected Record 30.0 - 2.0 16.0 - 0.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.5 57.5 34.1 8.0 0.3
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.5 57.5 34.1 8.0 0.3