Pre-tourney Rankings
Pacific
Big West
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#115
Expected Predictive Rating+4.6#102
Pace61.2#294
Improvement-0.2#176

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#86
Improvement-2.6#282

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#169
Improvement+2.4#49
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round11.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2012 99   @ Fresno St. L 61-66 33%     0 - 1 +3.0 +0.6 +2.0
  Nov 19, 2012 163   Oral Roberts L 67-69 74%     0 - 2 -5.1 +1.5 -6.9
  Nov 22, 2012 76   Xavier W 70-67 38%     1 - 2 +9.6 +12.2 -2.1
  Nov 23, 2012 23   St. Mary's W 76-66 19%     2 - 2 +22.8 +12.5 +11.2
  Nov 25, 2012 57   California L 58-78 31%     2 - 3 -11.5 -10.4 -0.8
  Dec 01, 2012 4   @ Gonzaga L 67-85 5%     2 - 4 +4.5 +8.7 -5.7
  Dec 04, 2012 149   Nevada W 78-72 OT 72%     3 - 4 +3.6 +3.5 +0.2
  Dec 08, 2012 136   San Francisco W 67-59 67%     4 - 4 +6.8 +0.8 +7.1
  Dec 15, 2012 81   Santa Clara L 71-75 54%     4 - 5 -1.5 -3.2 +1.8
  Dec 19, 2012 23   @ St. Mary's L 46-74 12%     4 - 6 -11.9 -16.6 +1.3
  Dec 29, 2012 142   @ Long Beach St. L 63-67 45%     4 - 7 0 - 1 +0.8 -6.5 +7.1
  Jan 05, 2013 199   @ UC Davis W 74-64 58%     5 - 7 1 - 1 +11.5 -2.2 +13.6
  Jan 10, 2013 205   UC Santa Barbara W 80-62 80%     6 - 7 2 - 1 +12.7 +18.3 -3.0
  Jan 12, 2013 132   Cal Poly W 77-55 67%     7 - 7 3 - 1 +21.1 +21.2 +5.6
  Jan 17, 2013 192   @ Hawaii L 52-60 56%     7 - 8 3 - 2 -6.0 -23.7 +17.9
  Jan 19, 2013 212   @ Cal St. Northridge W 74-62 61%     8 - 8 4 - 2 +12.7 +9.1 +5.2
  Jan 24, 2013 291   UC Riverside W 63-58 91%     9 - 8 5 - 2 -6.6 -1.5 -4.3
  Jan 26, 2013 196   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-67 79%     10 - 8 6 - 2 -0.8 -10.1 +9.2
  Feb 02, 2013 199   UC Davis W 77-64 79%     11 - 8 7 - 2 +8.1 +3.2 +5.6
  Feb 07, 2013 132   @ Cal Poly L 62-67 42%     11 - 9 7 - 3 +0.6 -0.1 -0.2
  Feb 09, 2013 205   @ UC Santa Barbara L 53-66 59%     11 - 10 7 - 4 -11.9 -13.0 +0.0
  Feb 14, 2013 212   Cal St. Northridge W 66-59 81%     12 - 10 8 - 4 +1.2 -7.7 +9.4
  Feb 16, 2013 192   Hawaii W 80-71 78%     13 - 10 9 - 4 +4.5 +10.0 -4.7
  Feb 20, 2013 135   @ UC Irvine L 59-68 43%     13 - 11 9 - 5 -3.6 -8.0 +4.2
  Feb 23, 2013 147   @ Western Michigan L 62-67 46%     13 - 12 -0.6 +3.6 -5.2
  Feb 28, 2013 196   @ Cal St. Fullerton W 64-55 57%     14 - 12 10 - 5 +10.6 -7.0 +18.4
  Mar 02, 2013 291   @ UC Riverside W 70-68 79%     15 - 12 11 - 5 -3.1 +9.5 -12.3
  Mar 07, 2013 135   UC Irvine W 70-62 67%     16 - 12 12 - 5 +6.9 +1.5 +5.8
  Mar 09, 2013 142   Long Beach St. W 71-51 69%     17 - 12 13 - 5 +18.4 +1.5 +18.6
  Mar 14, 2013 205   UC Santa Barbara W 71-68 71%     18 - 12 +0.9 +6.9 -5.6
  Mar 15, 2013 132   Cal Poly W 55-53 55%     19 - 12 +4.3 -6.2 +11.0
  Mar 16, 2013 135   UC Irvine W 64-55 55%     20 - 12 +11.2 +5.9 +7.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 13.0 - 5.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.2 0.0 7.6 68.0 24.4
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 7.6 68.0 24.4