Pre-tourney Rankings
Mid-American
2013-14


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
99 Buffalo 0.0%   18 - 10 13 - 5 18 - 10 13 - 5 +4.7      +3.5 90 +1.1 144 71.7 87 +3.0 129 +4.7 3
107 Toledo 1.7%   26 - 6 14 - 4 26 - 6 14 - 4 +4.0      +7.1 24 -3.1 252 72.4 70 +8.8 64 +6.8 2
119 Western Michigan 100.0%   12   22 - 9 14 - 4 22 - 9 14 - 4 +3.3      +1.7 131 +1.6 127 68.6 155 +5.4 91 +7.0 1
125 Ohio 0.0%   22 - 11 11 - 7 22 - 11 11 - 7 +3.0      +1.9 126 +1.1 146 66.3 212 +4.4 109 +3.1 5
126 Eastern Michigan 0.0%   18 - 14 10 - 8 18 - 14 10 - 8 +2.8      -4.9 287 +7.7 20 65.4 241 +2.9 130 +0.6 6
136 Akron 0.0%   21 - 12 12 - 6 21 - 12 12 - 6 +2.0      -1.1 200 +3.1 94 66.0 225 +4.1 112 +3.8 4
186 Kent St. 0.0%   15 - 16 7 - 11 15 - 16 7 - 11 -1.3      -1.1 199 -0.2 177 68.7 153 -1.3 183 -3.1 9
196 Northern Illinois 0.0%   14 - 17 8 - 10 14 - 17 8 - 10 -1.8      -7.4 329 +5.5 48 61.9 312 -2.1 197 -1.5 8
201 Bowling Green 0.0%   11 - 20 6 - 12 11 - 20 6 - 12 -2.2      -8.1 335 +5.9 43 68.5 159 -3.4 221 -3.6 10
208 Miami (OH) 0.0%   13 - 17 8 - 10 13 - 17 8 - 10 -2.5      -3.9 272 +1.4 132 68.1 166 -0.8 180 -1.2 7
282 Central Michigan 0.0%   8 - 21 3 - 15 8 - 21 3 - 15 -7.0      +1.9 125 -8.9 343 65.1 247 -7.6 279 -9.6 11
287 Ball St. 0.0%   3 - 25 2 - 16 3 - 25 2 - 16 -8.1      -5.4 297 -2.7 242 69.8 127 -11.3 319 -11.8 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th
Buffalo 3.0 100.0
Toledo 1.0 100.0
Western Michigan 1.0 100.0
Ohio 5.0 100.0
Eastern Michigan 6.0 100.0
Akron 4.0 100.0
Kent St. 9.0 100.0
Northern Illinois 7.0 100.0
Bowling Green 10.0 100.0
Miami (OH) 7.0 100.0
Central Michigan 11.0 100.0
Ball St. 12.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Buffalo 13 - 5 100.0
Toledo 14 - 4 100.0
Western Michigan 14 - 4 100.0
Ohio 11 - 7 100.0
Eastern Michigan 10 - 8 100.0
Akron 12 - 6 100.0
Kent St. 7 - 11 100.0
Northern Illinois 8 - 10 100.0
Bowling Green 6 - 12 100.0
Miami (OH) 8 - 10 100.0
Central Michigan 3 - 15 100.0
Ball St. 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Buffalo
Toledo 100.0% 100.0
Western Michigan 100.0% 100.0
Ohio
Eastern Michigan
Akron
Kent St.
Northern Illinois
Bowling Green
Miami (OH)
Central Michigan
Ball St.


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Toledo 1.7% 0.0% 1.7% 0.1 1.6 0.0 98.3 1.7%
Western Michigan 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.1 57.5 41.8 0.6
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Buffalo 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Toledo 1.7% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Western Michigan 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.0% 2.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ohio 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Eastern Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Akron 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Kent St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Northern Illinois 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bowling Green 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Miami (OH) 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Central Michigan 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ball St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 98.3 1.7
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 99.5 0.5
2nd Round 14.1% 0.1 85.9 14.1 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 2.4% 0.0 97.6 2.4
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0