Pre-tourney Rankings
Toledo
Mid-American
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#107
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#64
Pace72.4#70
Improvement-3.1#301

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#24
Improvement-3.5#317

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#252
Improvement+0.4#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.7% n/a n/a
First Round0.5% n/a n/a
Second Round0.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2013 130   @ Boston College W 95-92 45%     1 - 0 +8.4 +16.8 -8.5
  Nov 18, 2013 302   Florida A&M W 79-69 92%     2 - 0 -2.0 -0.3 -2.2
  Nov 22, 2013 172   Stony Brook W 103-99 67%     3 - 0 +3.6 +20.1 -16.9
  Nov 23, 2013 191   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-78 61%     4 - 0 +3.2 +6.1 -2.9
  Nov 24, 2013 239   Florida Atlantic W 94-74 79%     5 - 0 +15.7 +13.7 +0.7
  Dec 04, 2013 191   Detroit Mercy W 91-75 79%     6 - 0 +11.6 +14.3 -3.3
  Dec 07, 2013 197   @ Robert Morris W 80-77 62%     7 - 0 +3.9 +13.2 -9.1
  Dec 14, 2013 212   Sam Houston St. W 77-61 82%     8 - 0 +10.3 +4.0 +7.2
  Dec 17, 2013 161   @ Arkansas St. W 78-65 53%     9 - 0 +16.1 +6.2 +10.0
  Dec 21, 2013 93   Cleveland St. W 71-67 55%     10 - 0 +6.8 +1.1 +5.8
  Dec 28, 2013 295   Coppin St. W 85-66 92%     11 - 0 +7.5 +7.1 +0.9
  Dec 30, 2013 4   @ Kansas L 83-93 7%     11 - 1 +10.3 +12.7 -1.7
  Jan 08, 2014 119   @ Western Michigan L 76-87 42%     11 - 2 0 - 1 -4.9 +1.2 -5.4
  Jan 11, 2014 282   Central Michigan W 86-71 90%     12 - 2 1 - 1 +5.2 +4.0 +1.4
  Jan 15, 2014 99   Buffalo W 67-65 58%     13 - 2 2 - 1 +3.9 -2.1 +6.1
  Jan 18, 2014 136   @ Akron W 75-61 47%     14 - 2 3 - 1 +18.8 +9.6 +9.8
  Jan 22, 2014 196   Northern Illinois W 77-68 79%     15 - 2 4 - 1 +4.4 +10.6 -6.0
  Jan 26, 2014 186   Kent St. W 81-78 78%     16 - 2 5 - 1 -1.1 +1.6 -2.9
  Jan 29, 2014 208   @ Miami (OH) W 83-70 64%     17 - 2 6 - 1 +13.3 +5.4 +6.7
  Feb 01, 2014 125   @ Ohio L 90-95 OT 43%     17 - 3 6 - 2 +0.8 +9.6 -8.3
  Feb 05, 2014 201   Bowling Green W 83-76 80%     18 - 3 7 - 2 +2.0 +12.2 -10.4
  Feb 08, 2014 287   @ Ball St. W 80-73 81%     19 - 3 8 - 2 +1.7 -2.6 +3.5
  Feb 12, 2014 125   Ohio W 82-76 65%     20 - 3 9 - 2 +6.2 +11.6 -5.2
  Feb 15, 2014 126   @ Eastern Michigan L 44-65 44%     20 - 4 9 - 3 -15.4 -16.0 -1.2
  Feb 20, 2014 201   @ Bowling Green W 60-58 63%     21 - 4 10 - 3 +2.5 -4.9 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2014 287   Ball St. W 85-74 91%     22 - 4 11 - 3 +0.1 +9.6 -9.3
  Feb 26, 2014 196   @ Northern Illinois L 66-74 62%     22 - 5 11 - 4 -7.0 +1.1 -8.2
  Mar 01, 2014 119   Western Michigan W 96-85 OT 63%     23 - 5 12 - 4 +11.5 +14.1 -3.6
  Mar 04, 2014 282   @ Central Michigan W 73-69 78%     24 - 5 13 - 4 -0.2 +5.7 -5.2
  Mar 08, 2014 126   Eastern Michigan W 77-66 65%     25 - 5 14 - 4 +11.0 +13.2 -1.8
  Mar 14, 2014 126   Eastern Michigan W 59-44 55%     26 - 5 +17.8 +10.2 +11.8
  Mar 15, 2014 119   Western Michigan L 77-98 53%     26 - 6 -17.7 +1.5 -18.0
Projected Record 26.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 1.7% 1.7% 12.0 0.1 1.6 0.0 98.3 1.7%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.7% 0.0% 1.7% 12.0 0.1 1.6 0.0 98.3 1.7%