Pre-tourney Rankings
Illinois
Big Ten
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.8#59
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#55
Pace60.7#331
Improvement+0.6#155

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#147
Improvement-1.3#245

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#18
Improvement+1.9#86
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.3% n/a n/a
First Round5.3% n/a n/a
Second Round1.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 300   Alabama St. W 80-63 96%     1 - 0 +5.2 +0.2 +4.5
  Nov 10, 2013 309   Jacksonville St. W 86-62 96%     2 - 0 +11.6 +10.6 +1.8
  Nov 13, 2013 160   Valparaiso W 64-52 85%     3 - 0 +9.6 -6.9 +16.8
  Nov 17, 2013 199   Bradley W 81-55 90%     4 - 0 +21.0 +16.3 +7.6
  Nov 22, 2013 286   Chicago St. W 77-53 95%     5 - 0 +13.6 +10.8 +6.2
  Nov 26, 2013 77   @ UNLV W 61-59 47%     6 - 0 +11.5 -5.2 +16.8
  Nov 29, 2013 141   Purdue Fort Wayne W 57-55 82%     7 - 0 +1.0 -14.3 +15.4
  Dec 03, 2013 101   @ Georgia Tech L 64-67 56%     7 - 1 +4.2 +2.3 +1.6
  Dec 08, 2013 117   Auburn W 81-62 69%     8 - 1 +22.5 +18.1 +6.7
  Dec 10, 2013 229   Dartmouth W 72-65 92%     9 - 1 +0.2 +0.6 +0.1
  Dec 14, 2013 24   Oregon L 64-71 32%     9 - 2 +6.5 -2.4 +8.6
  Dec 21, 2013 65   Missouri W 65-64 53%     10 - 2 +9.0 -1.5 +10.6
  Dec 28, 2013 266   Illinois-Chicago W 74-60 91%     11 - 2 +8.3 +7.8 +2.2
  Dec 31, 2013 58   Indiana W 83-80 OT 60%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +9.0 +4.0 +4.7
  Jan 04, 2014 76   Penn St. W 75-55 68%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +24.0 +3.7 +20.4
  Jan 08, 2014 12   @ Wisconsin L 70-95 18%     13 - 3 2 - 1 -6.6 +1.1 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2014 116   @ Northwestern L 43-49 59%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +0.4 -12.4 +11.7
  Jan 15, 2014 84   Purdue L 58-66 70%     13 - 5 2 - 3 -4.6 -7.5 +2.2
  Jan 18, 2014 10   Michigan St. L 62-78 32%     13 - 6 2 - 4 -2.5 -2.4 -0.8
  Jan 23, 2014 18   @ Ohio St. L 55-62 21%     13 - 7 2 - 5 +10.2 +1.5 +7.9
  Jan 26, 2014 58   @ Indiana L 46-56 39%     13 - 8 2 - 6 +1.6 -15.2 +15.9
  Feb 01, 2014 20   Iowa L 74-81 40%     13 - 9 2 - 7 +4.4 +2.0 +2.5
  Feb 04, 2014 12   Wisconsin L 63-75 35%     13 - 10 2 - 8 +0.8 +0.9 -1.5
  Feb 09, 2014 76   @ Penn St. W 60-55 47%     14 - 10 3 - 8 +14.6 +3.8 +11.8
  Feb 12, 2014 49   @ Nebraska L 58-67 36%     14 - 11 3 - 9 +3.6 +1.5 +0.7
  Feb 15, 2014 18   Ohio St. L 39-48 39%     14 - 12 3 - 10 +2.6 -17.9 +19.2
  Feb 19, 2014 53   @ Minnesota W 62-49 37%     15 - 12 4 - 10 +25.2 +7.3 +20.6
  Feb 26, 2014 49   Nebraska W 60-49 57%     16 - 12 5 - 10 +18.0 +3.3 +16.7
  Mar 01, 2014 10   @ Michigan St. W 53-46 17%     17 - 12 6 - 10 +26.1 +2.2 +25.7
  Mar 04, 2014 13   Michigan L 53-84 36%     17 - 13 6 - 11 -18.5 -12.5 -9.7
  Mar 08, 2014 20   @ Iowa W 66-63 22%     18 - 13 7 - 11 +20.0 +8.1 +12.4
  Mar 13, 2014 58   Indiana W 64-54 50%     19 - 13 +18.8 +3.7 +16.1
  Mar 14, 2014 13   Michigan L 63-64 27%     19 - 14 +14.3 +5.8 +8.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 11.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 9.7% 9.7% 11.4 0.0 0.2 5.3 4.2 90.3 9.7%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.7% 0.0% 9.7% 11.4 0.0 0.2 5.3 4.2 90.3 9.7%