Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.5#24
Expected Predictive Rating+12.9#30
Pace74.9#43
Improvement-0.9#216

Offense
Total Offense+9.5#11
Improvement-1.8#273

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#72
Improvement+0.9#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 8.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 7.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.3% n/a n/a
Second Round58.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen20.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.5% n/a n/a
Final Four3.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 56   Georgetown W 82-75 66%     1 - 0 +16.3 +13.1 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2013 245   Western Carolina W 107-83 96%     2 - 0 +16.7 +19.1 -4.7
  Nov 19, 2013 200   Utah Valley W 69-54 95%     3 - 0 +10.0 -6.1 +16.1
  Nov 24, 2013 81   San Francisco W 100-82 82%     4 - 0 +21.6 +12.4 +6.5
  Nov 29, 2013 153   Pacific W 85-62 91%     5 - 0 +21.3 +10.5 +11.3
  Nov 30, 2013 255   North Dakota W 91-76 96%     6 - 0 +7.3 +3.9 +2.0
  Dec 01, 2013 178   Cal Poly W 82-61 94%     7 - 0 +17.3 +16.3 +3.1
  Dec 08, 2013 87   @ Mississippi W 115-105 OT 67%     8 - 0 +18.8 +18.5 -2.1
  Dec 14, 2013 59   Illinois W 71-64 68%     9 - 0 +15.8 +8.7 +7.3
  Dec 17, 2013 98   UC Irvine W 91-63 86%     10 - 0 +29.9 +16.3 +11.5
  Dec 21, 2013 47   BYU W 100-96 OT 72%     11 - 0 +11.4 +5.5 +5.0
  Dec 29, 2013 224   Morgan St. W 97-76 96%     12 - 0 +14.7 +7.9 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2014 33   @ Utah W 70-68 OT 46%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +16.5 -2.1 +18.4
  Jan 05, 2014 55   @ Colorado L 91-100 55%     13 - 1 1 - 1 +3.1 +15.7 -11.6
  Jan 09, 2014 62   California L 83-96 77%     13 - 2 1 - 2 -7.4 +0.1 -5.5
  Jan 12, 2014 34   Stanford L 80-82 68%     13 - 3 1 - 3 +6.8 +13.3 -6.6
  Jan 19, 2014 90   @ Oregon St. L 72-80 68%     13 - 4 1 - 4 +0.7 -6.1 +7.7
  Jan 23, 2014 91   @ Washington L 76-80 68%     13 - 5 1 - 5 +4.6 +7.8 -3.4
  Jan 26, 2014 158   @ Washington St. W 71-44 83%     14 - 5 2 - 5 +30.3 +8.5 +24.5
  Jan 30, 2014 11   UCLA L 68-70 51%     14 - 6 2 - 6 +11.2 +0.3 +10.9
  Feb 01, 2014 143   USC W 78-66 91%     15 - 6 3 - 6 +11.0 +2.3 +8.1
  Feb 06, 2014 2   @ Arizona L 65-67 19%     15 - 7 3 - 7 +20.9 +14.7 +6.0
  Feb 08, 2014 37   @ Arizona St. L 72-74 49%     15 - 8 3 - 8 +11.7 +3.2 +8.6
  Feb 16, 2014 90   Oregon St. W 93-83 83%     16 - 8 4 - 8 +13.2 +17.7 -4.7
  Feb 19, 2014 91   Washington W 78-71 84%     17 - 8 5 - 8 +10.0 +6.1 +4.1
  Feb 23, 2014 158   Washington St. W 67-53 92%     18 - 8 6 - 8 +11.8 +1.4 +11.8
  Feb 27, 2014 11   @ UCLA W 87-83 OT 30%     19 - 8 7 - 8 +22.8 +11.0 +11.2
  Mar 01, 2014 143   @ USC W 78-63 80%     20 - 8 8 - 8 +19.5 +12.1 +8.0
  Mar 04, 2014 37   Arizona St. W 85-78 70%     21 - 8 9 - 8 +15.1 +14.2 +0.6
  Mar 08, 2014 2   Arizona W 64-57 35%     22 - 8 10 - 8 +24.3 +6.1 +18.4
  Mar 12, 2014 90   Oregon St. W 88-74 76%     23 - 8 +20.0 +25.4 -3.9
  Mar 13, 2014 11   UCLA L 63-82 40%     23 - 9 -3.0 -4.6 +1.9
Projected Record 23.0 - 9.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 99.3% 99.3% 7.8 0.0 1.4 6.7 28.4 39.4 19.4 3.7 0.2 0.7 99.3%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.3% 0.0% 99.3% 7.8 0.0 1.4 6.7 28.4 39.4 19.4 3.7 0.2 0.7 99.3%