Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#122
Expected Predictive Rating+3.6#121
Pace76.8#22
Improvement-0.8#208

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#81
Improvement+3.3#37

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#191
Improvement-4.1#333
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.2 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round10.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen2.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2013 315   McNeese St. W 92-66 92%     1 - 0 +13.1 +2.8 +7.4
  Nov 15, 2013 46   @ Arkansas L 63-76 17%     1 - 1 +0.1 -8.2 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2013 30   @ Baylor L 68-87 13%     1 - 2 -3.7 -1.5 -1.9
  Nov 23, 2013 185   Oakland W 84-75 67%     2 - 2 +7.7 +1.7 +5.5
  Nov 24, 2013 238   @ Coastal Carolina W 73-69 67%     3 - 2 +2.5 -3.2 +5.4
  Nov 27, 2013 188   Northwestern St. W 105-74 76%     4 - 2 +26.8 +4.1 +16.0
  Dec 04, 2013 39   @ Louisiana Tech W 89-80 16%     5 - 2 +22.5 +12.9 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2013 1   @ Louisville L 74-113 3%     5 - 3 -13.8 +11.0 -23.1
  Dec 14, 2013 127   Houston W 79-76 OT 62%     6 - 3 +2.9 -3.1 +5.8
  Dec 19, 2013 305   @ Jackson St. L 70-73 82%     6 - 4 -9.8 -6.9 -2.7
  Jan 04, 2014 243   @ Louisiana Monroe L 98-103 OT 68%     6 - 5 0 - 1 -6.7 +1.7 -7.2
  Jan 11, 2014 216   Texas Arlington W 90-70 80%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +14.1 +5.2 +7.3
  Jan 13, 2014 276   Texas St. W 81-58 87%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +13.9 +12.3 +3.0
  Jan 16, 2014 250   @ South Alabama L 73-81 69%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -10.0 -11.5 +2.8
  Jan 18, 2014 248   @ Troy W 72-59 69%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +11.1 +1.6 +10.3
  Jan 23, 2014 72   Georgia St. L 70-77 45%     9 - 7 3 - 3 -2.6 -6.0 +3.6
  Jan 25, 2014 181   Western Kentucky L 70-79 75%     9 - 8 3 - 4 -12.8 -3.0 -9.8
  Jan 30, 2014 222   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 69-80 64%     9 - 9 3 - 5 -11.6 -2.8 -8.8
  Feb 01, 2014 243   Louisiana Monroe W 66-50 84%     10 - 9 4 - 5 +8.7 +3.1 +8.3
  Feb 06, 2014 216   @ Texas Arlington W 92-89 63%     11 - 9 5 - 5 +2.7 +3.5 -1.2
  Feb 08, 2014 276   @ Texas St. W 67-66 74%     12 - 9 6 - 5 -2.5 +2.5 -4.9
  Feb 13, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock W 93-87 2OT 81%     13 - 9 7 - 5 -0.2 -0.3 -1.1
  Feb 15, 2014 161   Arkansas St. W 85-67 70%     14 - 9 8 - 5 +15.6 +2.7 +11.2
  Feb 20, 2014 248   Troy W 78-63 84%     15 - 9 9 - 5 +7.5 +6.5 +2.1
  Feb 22, 2014 72   @ Georgia St. L 77-80 25%     15 - 10 9 - 6 +7.0 +5.9 +1.0
  Mar 02, 2014 250   South Alabama W 102-76 84%     16 - 10 10 - 6 +18.5 +21.4 -4.0
  Mar 06, 2014 181   @ Western Kentucky L 72-75 55%     16 - 11 10 - 7 -1.2 +2.6 -3.9
  Mar 08, 2014 161   @ Arkansas St. W 77-76 50%     17 - 11 11 - 7 +4.1 +3.8 +0.3
  Mar 14, 2014 216   Texas Arlington W 91-85 72%     18 - 11 +2.9 +9.8 -7.2
  Mar 15, 2014 181   Western Kentucky W 73-72 66%     19 - 11 +0.0 +4.0 -4.0
  Mar 16, 2014 72   Georgia St. W 82-81 OT 35%     20 - 11 +8.2 +8.7 -0.5
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.2 0.0 5.3 69.0 25.7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 5.3 69.0 25.7