Pre-tourney Rankings
Troy
Sun Belt
2013-14
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.7#248
Expected Predictive Rating-7.3#278
Pace64.5#265
Improvement+2.2#84

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#215
Improvement+3.7#27

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#251
Improvement-1.5#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2013 87   @ Mississippi L 54-69 11%     0 - 1 -6.2 -15.4 +9.3
  Nov 14, 2013 163   @ UAB L 69-81 23%     0 - 2 -8.9 -5.6 -2.4
  Nov 19, 2013 306   Nicholls St. W 77-62 77%     1 - 2 +2.6 +4.1 -0.3
  Nov 26, 2013 335   @ Central Arkansas L 53-60 71%     1 - 3 -17.5 -20.9 +2.8
  Dec 02, 2013 326   Alcorn St. W 73-70 OT 83%     2 - 3 -11.8 -10.7 -1.3
  Dec 07, 2013 300   Alabama St. W 85-69 75%     3 - 3 +4.2 +4.5 -0.9
  Dec 15, 2013 45   @ Kansas St. L 43-72 6%     3 - 4 -15.9 -16.7 -2.1
  Dec 19, 2013 108   UC Santa Barbara L 54-57 21%     3 - 5 +1.0 -2.6 +2.7
  Dec 20, 2013 263   Western Illinois L 58-61 54%     3 - 6 -8.7 -6.9 -2.1
  Dec 21, 2013 118   @ Utah St. L 50-71 16%     3 - 7 -14.8 -12.5 -6.2
  Jan 02, 2014 72   @ Georgia St. L 72-81 9%     3 - 8 0 - 1 +1.0 +0.6 +0.5
  Jan 04, 2014 181   Western Kentucky L 51-60 47%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -12.8 -16.5 +2.8
  Jan 09, 2014 161   @ Arkansas St. W 98-84 23%     4 - 9 1 - 2 +17.1 +17.6 -1.7
  Jan 11, 2014 222   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 75-62 35%     5 - 9 2 - 2 +12.4 +8.6 +4.7
  Jan 16, 2014 243   Louisiana Monroe L 64-75 60%     5 - 10 2 - 3 -18.3 +4.2 -24.9
  Jan 18, 2014 122   Louisiana L 59-72 31%     5 - 11 2 - 4 -12.7 -12.6 -0.8
  Jan 23, 2014 216   @ Texas Arlington L 56-59 34%     5 - 12 2 - 5 -3.3 -13.8 +10.2
  Jan 25, 2014 276   @ Texas St. L 65-73 46%     5 - 13 2 - 6 -11.5 -3.6 -8.2
  Feb 01, 2014 161   Arkansas St. L 73-83 41%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -12.4 -2.6 -9.7
  Feb 06, 2014 250   South Alabama W 79-74 61%     6 - 14 3 - 7 -2.5 +4.6 -7.1
  Feb 13, 2014 181   @ Western Kentucky L 76-81 27%     6 - 15 3 - 8 -3.2 +1.5 -4.4
  Feb 15, 2014 72   Georgia St. W 85-81 19%     7 - 15 4 - 8 +8.4 +16.1 -7.5
  Feb 20, 2014 122   @ Louisiana L 63-78 16%     7 - 16 4 - 9 -9.1 -4.4 -5.8
  Feb 22, 2014 250   @ South Alabama L 78-86 40%     7 - 17 4 - 10 -10.0 +1.9 -11.6
  Feb 27, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock L 55-62 56%     7 - 18 4 - 11 -13.2 -19.2 +6.0
  Mar 01, 2014 243   @ Louisiana Monroe W 61-46 39%     8 - 18 5 - 11 +13.3 -0.4 +16.1
  Mar 06, 2014 216   Texas Arlington L 86-87 2OT 55%     8 - 19 5 - 12 -6.9 -2.1 -4.6
  Mar 08, 2014 276   Texas St. W 72-50 67%     9 - 19 6 - 12 +12.9 +11.2 +5.6
  Mar 13, 2014 222   Arkansas Little Rock L 61-74 45%     9 - 20 -16.4 -10.0 -6.8
Projected Record 9.0 - 20.0 6.0 - 12.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 100.0% 100.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%