Pre-tourney Rankings
Butler
Big East
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#20
Expected Predictive Rating+13.1#22
Pace65.3#197
Improvement-2.5#279

Offense
Total Offense+6.5#20
Improvement-0.2#193

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#20
Improvement-2.3#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 6.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 71.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round99.8% n/a n/a
Second Round67.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen28.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.6% n/a n/a
Final Four3.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.8% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 345   Maine W 99-57 99%     1 - 0 +24.4 -8.8 -8.8
  Nov 18, 2014 162   Chattanooga W 70-48 92%     2 - 0 +19.1 -1.5 -1.5
  Nov 22, 2014 301   Loyola Maryland W 80-39 98%     3 - 0 +30.1 -5.5 -5.5
  Nov 26, 2014 9   North Carolina W 74-66 35%     4 - 0 +24.9 +8.5 +8.5
  Nov 27, 2014 12   Oklahoma L 46-59 37%     4 - 1 +3.5 +8.2 +8.2
  Nov 28, 2014 21   Georgetown W 64-58 50%     5 - 1 +19.0 +6.5 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2014 170   @ Indiana St. W 77-54 84%     6 - 1 +25.4 +1.2 +1.2
  Dec 06, 2014 95   Northwestern W 65-56 86%     7 - 1 +10.6 +0.8 +0.8
  Dec 08, 2014 336   Kennesaw St. W 93-51 99%     8 - 1 +26.1 -8.0 -8.0
  Dec 14, 2014 81   @ Tennessee L 55-67 67%     8 - 2 -3.3 +4.3 +4.3
  Dec 20, 2014 43   Indiana L 73-82 62%     8 - 3 +0.8 +4.9 +4.9
  Dec 22, 2014 187   Tennessee Martin W 64-37 94%     9 - 3 +22.7 -2.1 -2.1
  Dec 28, 2014 149   Belmont W 67-56 91%     10 - 3 +9.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 31, 2014 4   @ Villanova L 55-67 16%     10 - 4 0 - 1 +11.8 +11.9 +11.9
  Jan 03, 2015 37   @ St. John's W 73-69 50%     11 - 4 1 - 1 +17.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Jan 06, 2015 25   Providence L 62-66 64%     11 - 5 1 - 2 +5.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 10, 2015 24   Xavier W 88-76 63%     12 - 5 2 - 2 +21.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Jan 13, 2015 86   @ Seton Hall W 79-75 OT 68%     13 - 5 3 - 2 +12.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 17, 2015 21   @ Georgetown L 59-61 39%     13 - 6 3 - 3 +13.9 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 21, 2015 71   Creighton W 64-61 81%     14 - 6 4 - 3 +6.7 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 25, 2015 86   Seton Hall W 77-57 84%     15 - 6 5 - 3 +22.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Jan 31, 2015 90   @ Marquette W 72-68 OT 69%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +11.9 +4.0 +4.0
  Feb 03, 2015 37   St. John's W 85-62 71%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +30.4 +3.7 +3.7
  Feb 07, 2015 139   DePaul W 83-73 90%     18 - 6 8 - 3 +8.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Feb 14, 2015 4   Villanova L 65-68 32%     18 - 7 8 - 4 +15.0 +9.0 +9.0
  Feb 16, 2015 71   @ Creighton W 58-56 64%     19 - 7 9 - 4 +11.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Feb 21, 2015 24   @ Xavier L 56-73 41%     19 - 8 9 - 5 -1.6 +7.7 +7.7
  Feb 25, 2015 90   Marquette W 73-52 85%     20 - 8 10 - 5 +23.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Feb 28, 2015 139   @ DePaul W 67-53 79%     21 - 8 11 - 5 +18.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Mar 03, 2015 21   Georgetown L 54-60 61%     21 - 9 11 - 6 +4.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Mar 07, 2015 25   @ Providence W 68-64 42%     22 - 9 12 - 6 +19.2 +7.6 +7.6
  Mar 12, 2015 24   Xavier L 61-67 OT 52%     22 - 10 +6.5 +6.3 +6.3
Projected Record 22.0 - 10.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 99.8% 99.8% 5.9 0.4 6.5 28.4 35.9 24.5 3.9 0.2 0.2 99.8%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 99.8% 0.0% 99.8% 5.9 0.4 6.5 28.4 35.9 24.5 3.9 0.2 0.2 99.8%