Pre-tourney Rankings
Providence
Big East
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.3#25
Expected Predictive Rating+13.0#23
Pace68.6#115
Improvement+2.2#83

Offense
Total Offense+6.2#25
Improvement+0.9#133

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#25
Improvement+1.3#107
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 14.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 91.2% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round67.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen30.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight8.2% n/a n/a
Final Four2.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2014 148   Albany W 64-60 90%     1 - 0 +2.5 -0.7 -0.7
  Nov 17, 2014 321   Binghamton W 66-45 98%     2 - 0 +7.7 -6.7 -6.7
  Nov 20, 2014 266   Navy W 88-51 96%     3 - 0 +28.5 -4.2 -4.2
  Nov 22, 2014 82   Florida St. W 80-54 74%     4 - 0 +31.7 +2.8 +2.8
  Nov 23, 2014 10   Notre Dame W 75-74 34%     5 - 0 +17.6 +8.3 +8.3
  Nov 28, 2014 89   Yale W 72-66 83%     6 - 0 +8.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 30, 2014 1   @ Kentucky L 38-58 9%     6 - 1 +7.1 +13.6 +13.6
  Dec 05, 2014 91   @ Boston College L 60-69 67%     6 - 2 -1.3 +3.8 +3.8
  Dec 08, 2014 258   Brown L 67-77 96%     6 - 3 -18.2 -4.1 -4.1
  Dec 10, 2014 59   Rhode Island W 68-60 76%     7 - 3 +13.1 +2.5 +2.5
  Dec 13, 2014 145   Stony Brook W 79-61 90%     8 - 3 +16.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Dec 20, 2014 121   Massachusetts W 85-65 87%     9 - 3 +20.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Dec 22, 2014 41   Miami (FL) W 76-62 59%     10 - 3 +23.9 +5.0 +5.0
  Dec 31, 2014 71   Creighton W 65-53 79%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +15.7 +1.8 +1.8
  Jan 03, 2015 90   @ Marquette L 66-75 66%     11 - 4 1 - 1 -1.1 +4.0 +4.0
  Jan 06, 2015 20   @ Butler W 66-62 36%     12 - 4 2 - 1 +20.0 +8.0 +8.0
  Jan 10, 2015 21   Georgetown W 60-57 OT 58%     13 - 4 3 - 1 +13.1 +5.1 +5.1
  Jan 14, 2015 37   St. John's L 70-83 68%     13 - 5 3 - 2 -5.6 +3.7 +3.7
  Jan 17, 2015 71   @ Creighton W 74-65 61%     14 - 5 4 - 2 +18.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Jan 22, 2015 24   Xavier W 69-66 OT 60%     15 - 5 5 - 2 +12.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Jan 29, 2015 139   DePaul W 83-72 89%     16 - 5 6 - 2 +9.9 -0.6 -0.6
  Jan 31, 2015 37   @ St. John's L 66-75 47%     16 - 6 6 - 3 +4.2 +6.6 +6.6
  Feb 04, 2015 21   @ Georgetown W 74-71 36%     17 - 6 7 - 3 +18.9 +8.0 +8.0
  Feb 07, 2015 24   @ Xavier L 69-78 38%     17 - 7 7 - 4 +6.4 +7.7 +7.7
  Feb 11, 2015 4   Villanova L 68-74 29%     17 - 8 7 - 5 +12.0 +9.0 +9.0
  Feb 14, 2015 86   Seton Hall W 69-62 82%     18 - 8 8 - 5 +9.6 +1.3 +1.3
  Feb 18, 2015 139   @ DePaul W 84-57 77%     19 - 8 9 - 5 +31.6 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 24, 2015 4   @ Villanova L 61-89 14%     19 - 9 9 - 6 -4.2 +11.9 +11.9
  Mar 01, 2015 90   Marquette W 77-66 83%     20 - 9 10 - 6 +13.2 +1.1 +1.1
  Mar 04, 2015 86   @ Seton Hall W 79-66 65%     21 - 9 11 - 6 +21.4 +4.2 +4.2
  Mar 07, 2015 20   Butler L 64-68 58%     21 - 10 11 - 7 +6.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Mar 12, 2015 37   St. John's W 74-57 58%     22 - 10 +27.3 +5.1 +5.1
  Mar 13, 2015 4   Villanova L 61-63 21%     22 - 11 +18.9 +10.5 +10.5
Projected Record 22.0 - 11.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.4 0.9 13.9 41.8 34.6 8.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.4 0.9 13.9 41.8 34.6 8.5 0.3 0.0 100.0%