Pre-tourney Rankings
Fresno St.
Mountain West
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#189
Expected Predictive Rating-0.1#164
Pace67.0#151
Improvement+4.4#26

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#189
Improvement+2.1#70

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#189
Improvement+2.3#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 98   @ Pepperdine L 74-89 20%     0 - 1 -7.8 +3.6 +3.6
  Nov 20, 2014 202   @ Northern Arizona L 52-73 41%     0 - 2 -20.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Nov 24, 2014 133   Evansville L 52-58 36%     0 - 3 -3.9 +1.1 +1.1
  Nov 25, 2014 206   East Carolina L 52-58 53%     0 - 4 -8.2 -1.1 -1.1
  Nov 26, 2014 305   Marist L 64-68 75%     0 - 5 -12.4 -4.2 -4.2
  Nov 30, 2014 108   California L 57-64 41%     0 - 6 -6.1 +0.4 +0.4
  Dec 03, 2014 102   UC Irvine W 72-63 40%     1 - 6 +10.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Dec 06, 2014 254   @ Cal St. Bakersfield W 63-61 53%     2 - 6 -0.1 -1.1 -1.1
  Dec 10, 2014 124   @ Texas Tech L 56-73 25%     2 - 7 -11.4 +2.8 +2.8
  Dec 13, 2014 154   Cal Poly W 63-57 53%     3 - 7 +3.7 -1.2 -1.2
  Dec 20, 2014 217   @ Pacific L 68-71 44%     3 - 8 -3.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Dec 31, 2014 141   @ New Mexico L 64-76 28%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -7.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Jan 03, 2015 42   San Diego St. W 59-57 21%     4 - 9 1 - 1 +9.0 +3.5 +3.5
  Jan 07, 2015 122   Utah St. W 61-52 45%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +8.9 +0.0 +0.0
  Jan 10, 2015 259   @ Nevada W 69-66 54%     6 - 9 3 - 1 +0.5 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 14, 2015 346   @ San Jose St. W 73-62 85%     7 - 9 4 - 1 -1.5 -6.3 -6.3
  Jan 17, 2015 112   Wyoming L 65-70 3OT 41%     7 - 10 4 - 2 -4.2 +0.4 +0.4
  Jan 24, 2015 259   Nevada W 66-62 74%     8 - 10 5 - 2 -4.3 -4.1 -4.1
  Jan 27, 2015 42   @ San Diego St. L 47-58 10%     8 - 11 5 - 3 +1.7 +6.4 +6.4
  Jan 31, 2015 63   @ Colorado St. L 57-80 14%     8 - 12 5 - 4 -12.6 +5.2 +5.2
  Feb 04, 2015 346   San Jose St. W 81-63 93%     9 - 12 6 - 4 -0.3 -9.1 -9.1
  Feb 10, 2015 97   @ UNLV L 61-73 20%     9 - 13 6 - 5 -4.7 +3.6 +3.6
  Feb 14, 2015 51   Boise St. W 70-64 23%     10 - 13 7 - 5 +12.3 +3.1 +3.1
  Feb 18, 2015 63   Colorado St. L 73-81 28%     10 - 14 7 - 6 -3.4 +2.3 +2.3
  Feb 21, 2015 122   @ Utah St. L 79-85 25%     10 - 15 7 - 7 -0.3 +2.8 +2.8
  Feb 25, 2015 112   @ Wyoming W 64-59 22%     11 - 15 8 - 7 +11.5 +3.3 +3.3
  Feb 28, 2015 141   New Mexico W 59-55 49%     12 - 15 9 - 7 +2.8 -0.6 -0.6
  Mar 04, 2015 194   Air Force W 68-66 62%     13 - 15 10 - 7 -2.6 -2.3 -2.3
  Mar 07, 2015 51   @ Boise St. L 52-71 11%     13 - 16 10 - 8 -6.9 +6.0 +6.0
  Mar 12, 2015 63   Colorado St. L 59-71 20%     13 - 17 -4.5 +3.7 +3.7
Projected Record 13.0 - 17.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%