Pre-tourney Rankings
Southeastern
2015-16


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
7 Kentucky 100.0%   3   26 - 8 13 - 5 26 - 8 13 - 5 +18.1      +13.2 1 +4.9 52 68.3 223 +15.4 15 +14.5 1
16 Texas A&M 100.0%   4   26 - 8 13 - 5 26 - 8 13 - 5 +15.8      +7.1 33 +8.6 9 68.1 225 +15.0 18 +13.9 2
25 Vanderbilt 61.8%   11   19 - 13 11 - 7 19 - 13 11 - 7 +14.4      +7.3 32 +7.1 24 69.4 188 +10.1 51 +12.1 4
37 Florida 50.4%   11   19 - 14 9 - 9 19 - 14 9 - 9 +11.6      +3.7 88 +8.0 16 72.5 112 +10.7 46 +9.4 8
45 South Carolina 51.8%   11   23 - 8 11 - 7 23 - 8 11 - 7 +10.6      +3.0 96 +7.5 21 75.7 62 +12.2 35 +10.8 5
62 Georgia 16.5%   19 - 13 10 - 8 19 - 13 10 - 8 +8.7      +2.0 121 +6.7 31 68.3 222 +9.8 55 +9.6 6
66 Arkansas 0.0%   16 - 16 9 - 9 16 - 16 9 - 9 +8.2      +4.1 78 +4.1 68 74.8 72 +6.0 94 +8.8 9
67 Mississippi 0.0%   20 - 12 10 - 8 20 - 12 10 - 8 +8.1      +5.1 55 +3.0 96 71.3 142 +8.6 71 +9.4 7
73 Mississippi St. 0.0%   14 - 17 7 - 11 14 - 17 7 - 11 +7.7      +4.1 80 +3.6 81 72.3 119 +4.1 114 +6.3 11
75 LSU 2.5%   19 - 14 11 - 7 19 - 14 11 - 7 +7.5      +6.0 45 +1.6 129 77.5 42 +8.7 69 +12.8 3
81 Alabama 7.8%   18 - 14 8 - 10 18 - 14 8 - 10 +7.0      +1.5 138 +5.5 42 63.8 318 +10.0 52 +7.5 10
91 Tennessee 0.0%   15 - 19 6 - 12 15 - 19 6 - 12 +6.0      +4.2 77 +1.8 119 72.7 106 +5.0 102 +5.0 12
143 Missouri 0.0%   10 - 21 3 - 15 10 - 21 3 - 15 +1.4      +0.6 160 +0.8 154 70.1 171 +0.2 164 -0.5 14
180 Auburn 0.0%   11 - 20 5 - 13 11 - 20 5 - 13 -1.0      -2.1 219 +1.1 143 77.4 44 +2.8 128 +3.8 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th 13th 14th
Kentucky 1.0 100.0
Texas A&M 1.0 100.0
Vanderbilt 3.0 100.0
Florida 8.0 100.0
South Carolina 3.0 100.0
Georgia 6.0 100.0
Arkansas 8.0 100.0
Mississippi 6.0 100.0
Mississippi St. 11.0 100.0
LSU 3.0 100.0
Alabama 10.0 100.0
Tennessee 12.0 100.0
Missouri 14.0 100.0
Auburn 13.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Kentucky 13 - 5 100.0
Texas A&M 13 - 5 100.0
Vanderbilt 11 - 7 100.0
Florida 9 - 9 100.0
South Carolina 11 - 7 100.0
Georgia 10 - 8 100.0
Arkansas 9 - 9 100.0
Mississippi 10 - 8 100.0
Mississippi St. 7 - 11 100.0
LSU 11 - 7 100.0
Alabama 8 - 10 100.0
Tennessee 6 - 12 100.0
Missouri 3 - 15 100.0
Auburn 5 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0
Texas A&M 100.0% 100.0
Vanderbilt
Florida
South Carolina
Georgia
Arkansas
Mississippi
Mississippi St.
LSU
Alabama
Tennessee
Missouri
Auburn


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Kentucky 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 3   1.0 4.7 48.1 41.1 4.7 0.3
Texas A&M 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 4   0.0 6.6 39.2 39.1 14.7 0.4 100.0%
Vanderbilt 61.8% 0.0% 61.8% 11   0.2 4.7 12.1 27.3 17.4 0.1 38.2 61.8%
Florida 50.4% 0.0% 50.4% 11   0.0 0.5 2.3 12.9 33.8 1.0 49.6 50.4%
South Carolina 51.8% 0.0% 51.8% 11   0.0 0.3 1.8 9.8 37.8 2.1 0.0 48.2 51.8%
Georgia 16.5% 0.0% 16.5% 0.0 0.0 0.6 13.1 2.7 0.0 83.5 16.5%
Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
LSU 2.5% 0.0% 2.5% 0.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 97.5 2.5%
Alabama 7.8% 0.0% 7.8% 0.0 0.4 6.4 0.9 0.0 92.2 7.8%
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Kentucky 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 88.5% 60.4% 32.6% 17.9% 9.1% 4.5%
Texas A&M 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 80.3% 46.0% 19.8% 9.1% 3.8% 1.6%
Vanderbilt 61.8% 11.7% 57.7% 33.5% 12.6% 5.7% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%
Florida 50.4% 30.2% 37.0% 15.5% 5.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
South Carolina 51.8% 36.0% 34.4% 13.3% 3.9% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Georgia 16.5% 15.6% 8.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Arkansas 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Mississippi St. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
LSU 2.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alabama 7.8% 7.2% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Tennessee 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Missouri 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Auburn 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 3.9 4.7 27.7 43.0 21.3 3.2 0.0
1st Round 100.0% 3.4 12.5 42.8 35.7 8.5 0.4
2nd Round 99.0% 2.3 1.0 12.9 45.1 33.1 7.3 0.5 0.0
Sweet Sixteen 84.5% 1.3 15.5 46.3 32.4 5.5 0.3 0.0
Elite Eight 51.2% 0.6 48.8 41.7 9.1 0.4 0.0
Final Four 28.0% 0.3 72.0 26.1 1.9 0.0
Final Game 13.7% 0.1 86.3 13.4 0.3
Champion 6.5% 0.1 93.5 6.5